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A New World Order: Explaining the Emergence of the Classical Gold Standard

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Author Info
Christopher M. Meissner

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Abstract

The classical gold standard only gradually became an international monetary regime after 1870. This paper provides a cross-country analysis of why countries adopted when they did. I use duration analysis to show that network externalities operating through trade channels help explain the pattern of diffusion of the gold standard. Countries adopted the gold standard sooner when they had a large share of trade with other gold countries relative to GDP. The quality of the financial system also played a role. Support is found for the idea that a weak gold backing for paper currency emissions, possibly because of an unsustainable fiscal position or an un-sound banking system, delayed adoption. A large public debt burden also led to a later transition. Data are also consistent with the idea that nations adopted the gold standard earlier to lower the costs of borrowing on international capital markets. I find no evidence that the level of exchange rate volatility or agricultural interests mattered for the timing of adoption.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 9233.

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Date of creation: Sep 2002
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:9233

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
N10 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Growth and Fluctuations - - - General, International, or Comparative
F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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  2. J. Ernesto Lopez-Cordova & Christopher M. Meissner, 2003. "Exchange-Rate Regimes and International Trade: Evidence from the Classical Gold Standard Era," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 344-353, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. António Portugal Duarte & João Sousa Andrade, 2005. "How the gold standard functioned in Portugal: an analysis of some macroeconomic aspects," Method and Hist of Econ Thought 0505002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  4. Maurice Obstfeld & Alan M. Taylor & ), 2003. "Sovereign Risk, Credibility and the Gold Standard: 1870-1913 versus 1925-31," International Trade 0303001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Sébastien Wälti, 2005. "The duration of fixed exchange rate regimes," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp96, IIIS. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Maurice Obstfeld & Jay C.Shambaugh & Alan M.Taylor, 2003. "The Trilemma in History:Tradeoffs among Exchange Rates, Monetary Policies,and Capital Mobility," DNB Staff Reports (discontinued) 94, Netherlands Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Sophia Lazaretou, 2004. "The Drachma, Foreign Creditors and the International Monetary System: Tales of a Currency during the 19th and the Early 20th Century," Working Papers 16, Bank of Greece. [Downloadable!]
  9. Kris James Mitchener & Marc D. Weidenmier, 2005. "Supersanctions and Sovereign Debt Repayment," NBER Working Papers 11472, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Sean Barrett, 2005. "Risk Equalisation and Competition in the Irish Health Insurance Market," Trinity Economics Papers 200058, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  11. Niall Ferguson & Moritz Schularick, 2004. "The Empire Effect: The Determinants of Country Risk in the First Age of Globalization, 1880-1913," Working Papers 04-03, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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