Has the Basel Accord Improved Risk Management During the Global Financial Crisis?
Abstract
The Basel II Accord requires that banks and other Authorized Deposit-taking Institutions (ADIs) communicate their daily risk forecasts to the appropriate monetary authorities at the beginning of each trading day, using one or more risk models to measure Value-at-Risk (VaR). The risk estimates of these models are used to determine capital requirements and associated capital costs of ADIs, depending in part on the number of previous violations, whereby realised losses exceed the estimated VaR. In this paper we define risk management in terms of choosing from a variety of risk models, and discuss the selection of optimal risk models. A new approach to model selection for predicting VaR is proposed, consisting of combining alternative risk models, and we compare conservative and aggressive strategies for choosing between VaR models. We then examine how different risk management strategies performed during the 2008- 09 global financial crisis. These issues are illustrated using Standard and Poor’s 500 Composite Index.Download Info
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Paper provided by Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research in its series KIER Working Papers with number 832.Length: 34pages
Date of creation: Nov 2012
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:kyo:wpaper:832
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Keywords: Value-at-Risk (VaR); daily capital charges; violation penalties; optimizing strategy; risk forecasts; aggressive or conservative risk management strategies; Basel Accord; global financial crisis.;Other versions of this item:
- McAleer, M.J. & Jimenez-Martin, J-A. & Perez-Amaral, T., . "Has the Basel Accord Improved Risk Management During the Global Financial Crisis?," Econometric Institute Report EI 2012-34, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
- Michael McAleer & Juan-Ángel Jiménez-Martín & Teodosio Pérez-Amaral, 2013. "Has the Basel Accord Improved Risk Management During the Global Financial Crisis," Working Papers in Economics 13/08, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Michael McAleer & Juan-�ngel Jim�nez-Mart�n & Teodosio P�rez-Amaral, 2013. "Has the Basel Accord Improved Risk Management During the Global Financial Crisis?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-010/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- McAleer, M.J. & Jimenez-Martin, J-A. & Perez-Amaral, T., . "Has the Basel Accord Improved Risk Management During the Global Financial Crisis?," Econometric Institute Report EI 2012-29, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
- Michael McAleer & Juan-Ángel Jiménez-Martín & Teodosio Pérez Amaral, 2012. "Has the Basel Accord Improved Risk Management During the Global Financial Crisis?," Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico 2012-26, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, revised Oct 2012.
- G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
- G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
- G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2012-11-11 (All new papers)
- NEP-BAN-2012-11-11 (Banking)
- NEP-CBA-2012-11-11 (Central Banking)
- NEP-FMK-2012-11-11 (Financial Markets)
- NEP-FOR-2012-11-11 (Forecasting)
- NEP-RMG-2012-11-11 (Risk Management)
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Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Chia-Lin Chang & David Allen & Michael McAleer, 2013.
"Recent Developments in Financial Economics and Econometrics: An Overview,"
Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico
2013-03, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales.
- Chia-Lin Chang & David Allen & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Recent Developments in Financial Economics and Econometrics: An Overview," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-021/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & David Allen & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Recent Developments in Financial Economics and Econometrics: An Overview," Working Papers in Economics 13/06, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & David E Allen & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Recent Developments in Financial Economics and Econometrics:An Overview," KIER Working Papers 842, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chang, C.L. & Allen, D. & McAleer, M.J., 2013. "Recent Developments in Financial Economics and Econometrics: An Overview," Econometric Institute Report EI 2013-03, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & David Allen & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Recent Developments in Financial Economics and Econometrics: An Overview," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-021/III, Tinbergen Institute.
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