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General Properties of Rational Stock-Market Fluctuations

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  • Mele, Antonio

    (The London School of Economics and Political Science)

Abstract

Which pricing kernel restrictions are needed to make low dimensional Markov models consistent with given sets of predictions on aggregate stock-market fluctuations? This paper develops theoretical test conditions addressing this and related reverse engineering issues arising within a fairly general class of long-lived asset pricing models. These conditions solely affect the first primitives of the economy (probabilistic descriptions of the world, information structures, and preferences). They thus remove some of the arbitrariness related to the specification of theoretical models involving unobserved variables, state-dependent preferences, and incomplete markets.

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File URL: http://www.ihs.ac.at/publications/eco/es-153.pdf
File Function: First version, 2004
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Institute for Advanced Studies in its series Economics Series with number 153.

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Length: 50 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ihs:ihsesp:153

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Keywords: Pricing kernel restrictions; Convexity; Equilibrium volatility;

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