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Suleyman Ozmucur

Personal Details

First Name:Suleyman
Middle Name:
Last Name:Ozmucur
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:poz6
https://web.sas.upenn.edu/ozmucur/
University of Pennsylvania Department of Economics 33 S. 36th Street, Philadelphia, PA 19104
215 898 6583

Affiliation

Department of Economics
University of Pennsylvania

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (United States)
http://www.econ.upenn.edu/
RePEc:edi:deupaus (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles Chapters Books

Working papers

  1. Roberto S. Mariano & Suleyman Ozmucur, 2020. "Predictive Performance of Mixed-Frequency Nowcasting and Forecasting Models (with Application to Philippine Inflation and GDP Growth)Abstract: We study how the separation of time and risk preferences ," PIER Working Paper Archive 20-029, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
  2. Roberto S. Mariano & Suleyman Ozmucur, 2020. "Fighting COVID-19:Performance of Countries in the First Half of 2020," PIER Working Paper Archive 20-040, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
  3. Suleyman Ozmucur, 2003. "Wage and Productivity Differentials in Private and Public," Industrial Organization 0303002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. Behlul Usdiken & Suleyman Ozmucur, 2002. "Succession Effects in Radically Different Environments: A Study in Turkish Banking before and after Liberalization," Working Papers 0210, Economic Research Forum, revised 04 Apr 2002.
  5. O. Cevdet Akcay & C. Emre Alper & Suleyman Ozmucur, 2001. "Budget Deficit, Inflation and Debt Sustainability: Evidence from Turkey(1970-2000)," Working Papers 2001/12, Bogazici University, Department of Economics.
  6. Suleyman Ozmucur, 1997. "Productivity and Profitability in 500 Largest Firms of Turkey, 1980-1994," Working Papers 9713, Economic Research Forum, revised 09 Apr 1997.
  7. O. Cevdet Akcay & C. Emre Alper & Suleyman Ozmucur, 1996. "Budget Deficit, Money Supply and Inflation: Evidence from Low and High Frequency Data for Turkey," Working Papers 1996/12, Bogazici University, Department of Economics.
  8. Ziya Önis & Süleyman Özmucur, 1991. "Capital Flows and the External Financing of Turkey's Imports (Special Series on Mixed Credits, in Collaboration with ICEPS)," OECD Development Centre Working Papers 36, OECD Publishing.
  9. Roberto S. Mariano & Suleyman Ozmucur, "undated". "Lawrence R. Klein’s Principles in Modeling and Contributions in Nowcasting, Real-Time Forecasting, and Machine Learning," PIER Working Paper Archive 20-034, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.

Articles

  1. Roberto S. Mariano & Suleyman Ozmucur & Veronica B. Bayangos & Faith Christian Q. Cacnio & Marites B. Oliva, 2018. "Potential output and output gap estimation models for the Philippines," Philippine Review of Economics, University of the Philippines School of Economics and Philippine Economic Society, vol. 55(1 and 2), pages 161-197, June and .
  2. Klein, Lawrence R. & Özmucur, Süleyman, 2010. "The use of consumer and business surveys in forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 1453-1462, November.
  3. Ozmucur, Suleyman, 2007. "Liberalization and concentration: Case of Turkey," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(5), pages 762-777, February.
  4. Klein, L.R. & Ozmucur, Suleyman, 2007. "The wealth effect: A contemporary update to the age of affluence," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 609-622.
  5. Mariano Roberto S & Gultekin Bulent N & Ozmucur Suleyman & Shabbir Tayyeb & Alper C. Emre, 2004. "Prediction of Currency Crises: Case of Turkey," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 2(2), pages 1-21, August.
  6. Özmucur, Süleyman & Pamuk, Şevket, 2002. "Real Wages And Standards Of Living In The Ottoman Empire, 1489–1914," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 62(2), pages 293-321, June.
  7. Lawrence R. Klein & Suleyman Ozmucur, 2002. "Consumer Behavior Under the Influence of Terrorism Within the United States," Journal of Entrepreneurial Finance, Pepperdine University, Graziadio School of Business and Management, vol. 7(3), pages 1-16, Fall.
  8. Onis, Ziya & Ozmucur, Suleyman, 1990. "Exchange rates, inflation and money supply in Turkey : Testing the vicious circle hypothesis," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 133-154, January.
  9. İbrahım Kavrakoğlu & Alı Riza Kaylan & Süleyman Özekıcı & Süleyman Özmucur & Güniz Tamer, 1987. "A Systems Approach for the Turkish Housing Problem," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 17(5), pages 1-10, October.
  10. Ozmucur, Suleyman, 1979. "More on Built-in Flexibility of Taxation," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 34(3), pages 443-451.
  11. Ozmucur, Suleyman & Krzyzaniak, Marian, 1978. "The Short Run Burden of Taxes on Turkish Agriculture-A Reply," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 33(1-2), pages 168-169.
  12. Krzyzaniak, Marian & Ozmucur, Suleyman, 1976. "The Short-run Burden of Taxes on Turkish Agriculture in the Sixties," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 31(1), pages 31-57.
    RePEc:lrk:eeaart:33_2_5 is not listed on IDEAS

Chapters

  1. Roberto S. Mariano & Suleyman Ozmucur, 2018. "High-mixed-frequency forecasting models for GDP and inflation," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Peter Pauly (ed.), Global Economic Modeling A Volume in Honor of Lawrence R. Klein, chapter 2, pages 2-29, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  2. Süleyman …zmucur, 2009. "Current Quarter Model for Turkey," Chapters, in: Lawrence R. Klein (ed.), The Making of National Economic Forecasts, chapter 9, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  3. Lawrence R. Klein & Süleyman …zmucur, 2009. "Estimation of the US Treasury Yield Curve at Daily and Intra-Daily Frequency," Chapters, in: Lawrence R. Klein (ed.), The Making of National Economic Forecasts, chapter 10, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  4. Lawrence R. Klein & Suleyman Ozmucur, 2008. "The University Of Pennsylvania Models For High-Frequency Macroeconomic Modeling," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Roberto S Mariano & Yiu-Kuen Tse (ed.), Econometric Forecasting And High-Frequency Data Analysis, chapter 2, pages 53-91, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  5. Lawrence R. Klein & Roberto S. Mariano & Su_leyman …zmucur, 2006. "Capital Controls, Financial Crises and Cures: Simulations with an Econometric Model for Malaysia," Chapters, in: Lawrence R. Klein & Tayyeb Shabbir (ed.), Recent Financial Crises, chapter 4, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  6. Suleyman Ozmucur, 1998. "A Monthly Econometric Model For Turkey, January 1981–June 1991," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Bert G Hickman & Lawrence Klein (ed.), Link Proceedings 1991, 1992 Selected Papers from Meetings in Moscow, 1991, and Ankara, 1992, chapter 15, pages 289-303, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..

Books

  1. Kibritçioğlu, Aykut & Rittenberg, Libby & Selçuk, Faruk & Akçay, O. Cevdet & Alper, C. Emre & Berument, M. Hakan & Dibooğlu, Selahattin & Erlat, Haluk & Ertuğrul, Ahmet & Malatyalı, N. Kamuran & Nas, , 2002. "Inflation and Disinflation in Turkey," EconStor Books, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 110203, July.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Suleyman Ozmucur, 2003. "Wage and Productivity Differentials in Private and Public," Industrial Organization 0303002, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Erol Taymaz & Ebru Voyvoda & Kamil Yilmaz, 2008. "Turkiye Imalat Sanayiinde Yapisal Dönüsüm ve Teknolojik Degisme Dinamikleri," ERC Working Papers 0804, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Jun 2008.

  2. O. Cevdet Akcay & C. Emre Alper & Suleyman Ozmucur, 2001. "Budget Deficit, Inflation and Debt Sustainability: Evidence from Turkey(1970-2000)," Working Papers 2001/12, Bogazici University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kurayish Ssebulime & Bbaale Edward, 2019. "Budget deficit and inflation nexus in Uganda 1980–2016: a cointegration and error correction modeling approach," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, December.
    2. OG Dayaratna-Banda Ph.D & A. A. S. Priyadarshanee, 2014. "Sustainability of Government Debt in Sri Lanka," International Journal of Business and Social Research, MIR Center for Socio-Economic Research, vol. 4(7), pages 100-108, July.
    3. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & A. P. Tiwari, 2011. "Fiscal Deficit and Inflation: An empirical analysis for India," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 14(42), pages 131-158, December.
    4. Sadia Tahir, 2006. "Core Inflation Measures for Pakistan," SBP Research Bulletin, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, vol. 2, pages 319-342.
    5. Clement Olalekan Olaniyi, 2020. "Application of Bootstrap Simulation and Asymmetric Causal Approach to Fiscal Deficit-Inflation Nexus," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 12(2), pages 123-140, May.
    6. OG Dayaratna-Banda Ph.D & A. A. S. Priyadarshanee, 2014. "Sustainability of Government Debt in Sri Lanka," International Journal of Business and Social Research, LAR Center Press, vol. 4(7), pages 100-108, July.
    7. Ozgur ASLAN & H. Levent KORAP, 2007. "Monetary Transmission Mechanism In An Open Economy Framework: The Case Of Turkey," Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, vol. 5(1), pages 41-66, May.
    8. Ata Özkaya, 2014. "Hidden Overhang of Domestic Debt and Its Role in the This-Time-Is-Different Syndrome: An Empirical Contingent Liabilities Model," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(4), pages 73-94.
    9. Ari, Ali, 2012. "Early warning systems for currency crises: The Turkish case," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 391-410.
    10. Ari, Ali & Yılmaz, Ahmet & Cergibozan, Raif & Ozcan, Yunus, 2013. "The Inflation Dynamics of the Turkish Economy in 1990-2011 Period," MPRA Paper 95675, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  3. O. Cevdet Akcay & C. Emre Alper & Suleyman Ozmucur, 1996. "Budget Deficit, Money Supply and Inflation: Evidence from Low and High Frequency Data for Turkey," Working Papers 1996/12, Bogazici University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Abbas Alavirad & Sanhita Athawale, 2005. "The impact of the budget deficit on inflation in the Islamic Republic of Iran," OPEC Energy Review, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, vol. 29(1), pages 37-49, March.
    2. Aykut Kibritcioglu, 2001. "Causes of Inflation in Turkey: A Literature Survey with Special Reference to Theories of Inflation," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 28(21), pages 1.
    3. Levent, Korap, 2006. "An empirical analysis of Turkish inflation (1988-2004): some non-monetarist estimations," MPRA Paper 19630, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Mehmet BÖLÜKBAÞ, 2016. "The Effects of Economic Policies in Turkey: An Application for the Period After 2000," Journal of Social and Administrative Sciences, KSP Journals, vol. 3(4), pages 315-322, December.
    5. S. Adnan & H.A.S. BUKHARI & Safdar Ullah KHAN, 2008. "Does Volatility In Government Borrowing Leads To Higher Inflation? Evidence From Pakistan," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 3(3(5)_Fall), pages 187-202.
    6. Bhuiyan, Rubaiyat Ahsan & Husain, Afzol & Zhang, Changyong, 2021. "A wavelet approach for causal relationship between bitcoin and conventional asset classes," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    7. K. Azim Özdemir & Mesut Saygılı, 2013. "Economic uncertainty and money demand stability in Turkey," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 40(3), pages 314-333, July.
    8. Atilla Gökçe & Umut Ãakmak, 2016. "Long-Term Relationship between Inflation and Public Sector Deficit in the Turkish Economy and its Macroeconomic Implications (1975-2014)," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 8(4), pages 109-122.
    9. Aykut Kibritcioglu, 2004. "A Short Review of the Long History of Turkish High Inflation," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 28(2), pages 1.
    10. Albert Makochekanwa, 2011. "Impact of Budget Deficit on Inflation in Zimbabwe," Economic Research Guardian, Weissberg Publishing, vol. 1(2), pages 49-59, December.
    11. Jamaleddin Mohseni Zonuzi & Mahnaz S.Hashemi Pourvaladi & Nasrin Faraji, 2011. "The Relationship between Budget Deficit and Inflation in Iran," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 16(1), pages 117-133, winter.
    12. Jude Okechukwu Chukwu, 2013. "Budget Deficits, Money Growth and Price Level in Nigeria," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 25(4), pages 468-477.
    13. Amankwah, Ernest & Atta Sarfo, Prince, 2019. "The causal linkages among money growth, inflaion and interest rates in Ghana," MPRA Paper 96485, University Library of Munich, Germany.

Articles

  1. Klein, Lawrence R. & Özmucur, Süleyman, 2010. "The use of consumer and business surveys in forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 1453-1462, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018. "A Data-Driven Approach to Construct Survey-Based Indicators by Means of Evolutionary Algorithms," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 135(1), pages 1-14, January.
    2. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2017. "“Let the data do the talking: Empirical modelling of survey-based expectations by means of genetic programming”," AQR Working Papers 201706, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised May 2017.
    3. Daniel Kaufmann & Rolf Scheufele, 2015. "Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations," KOF Working papers 15-378, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    4. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2019. "Empirical modelling of survey-based expectations for the design of economic indicators in five European regions," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 46(2), pages 205-227, May.
    5. Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski, 2022. "Macroeconometric forecasting using a cluster of dynamic factor models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 43-91, July.
    6. Camila Figueroa S. & Michael Pedersen, 2019. "Extracting information on economic activity from business and consumer surveys in an emerging economy (Chile)," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 22(3), pages 098-131, December.
    7. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2017. "A new approach for the quantification of qualitative measures of economic expectations," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 51(6), pages 2685-2706, November.
    8. Sergey V. Arzhenovskiy, 2024. "Forecasting GDP Dynamics Based on the Bank of Russia’s Enterprise Monitoring Data," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 1, pages 31-44, February.
    9. Hall, Stephen George & Roudoi, Andrei & Albu, Lucian Liviu & Lupu, Radu & Calin, Adrian Cantemir, 2014. "Lawrence R. Klein and the Economic Forecasting – A Survey," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 5-14, March.
    10. Claveria, Oscar & Monte, Enric & Torra, Salvador, 2020. "Economic forecasting with evolved confidence indicators," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 576-585.
    11. Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2013. "Do corporate executives have accurate predictions for the economy? A directional analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 167-174.
    12. Marcin Olkiewicz, 2022. "The Impact of Economic Indicators on the Evolution of Business Confidence during the COVID-19 Pandemic Period," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-17, April.
    13. Gabriel Caldas Montes & André Almeida, 2017. "Corruption and business confidence: a panel data analysis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(4), pages 2692-2702.
    14. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018. "“Tracking economic growth by evolving expectations via genetic programming: A two-step approach”," IREA Working Papers 201801, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jan 2018.
    15. André Filipe Guedes Almeida & Gabriel Caldas Montes, 2020. "Effects of crime and violence on business confidence: evidence from Rio de Janeiro," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 47(7), pages 1669-1688, May.
    16. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2020. "Stock market reactions to domestic sentiment: Panel CS-ARDL evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    17. Helder Ferreira Mendonça & André Filipe Guedes Almeida, 2019. "Importance of credibility for business confidence: evidence from an emerging economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1979-1996, December.
    18. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2019. "Evolutionary Computation for Macroeconomic Forecasting," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(2), pages 833-849, February.
    19. Alžbeta Suhányiová & Ladislav Suhányi & Michaela Kočišová, 2023. "Business Confidence in the Sustainable Manufacturing Sector in the Context of Production, Production Prices, and Interest Rates," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-20, December.
    20. Oscar Claveria, 2021. "Forecasting with Business and Consumer Survey Data," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-22, February.
    21. Dimitriou Dimitrios & Pappas Anastasios & Kazanas Thanassis & Kenourgios Dimitris, 2021. "Do confidence indicators lead Greek economic activity?," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 1-15.
    22. Luboš Marek & Stanislava Hronová & Richard Hindls, 2019. "Možnosti odhadů krátkodobých makroekonomických agregátů na základě výsledků konjunkturních průzkumů [Possibilities of Estimations of Short-term Macroeconomic Aggregates Based on Business Survey Res," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(4), pages 347-370.
    23. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2021. ""Nowcasting and forecasting GDP growth with machine-learning sentiment indicators"," IREA Working Papers 202103, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Feb 2021.

  2. Ozmucur, Suleyman, 2007. "Liberalization and concentration: Case of Turkey," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(5), pages 762-777, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Serra Eren Sarıoğlu, 2012. "Changes In The Corporate Governance And Ownership Structure In Stock Markets: Demutualization Of Istanbul Stock Exchange," Annales Universitatis Apulensis Series Oeconomica, Faculty of Sciences, "1 Decembrie 1918" University, Alba Iulia, vol. 2(14), pages 1-22.

  3. Mariano Roberto S & Gultekin Bulent N & Ozmucur Suleyman & Shabbir Tayyeb & Alper C. Emre, 2004. "Prediction of Currency Crises: Case of Turkey," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 2(2), pages 1-21, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Wajih Khallouli & Rene Sandretto, 2011. "Testing for “Contagion” of the Subprime Crisis on the Middle East And North African Stock Markets: A Markov Switching EGARCH Approach," Working Papers 609, Economic Research Forum, revised 08 Jan 2011.
    2. Feridun, Mete, 2008. "Currency crises in emerging markets: The case of post-liberalization Turkey," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 7922, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
    3. Balaga Mohana Rao & Puja Padhi, 2019. "Identifying the Early Warnings of Currency Crisis in India," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 54(4), pages 269-299, November.
    4. Joscha Beckmann & Robert L. Czudaj, 2023. "The role of expectations for currency crisis dynamics—The case of the Turkish lira," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 625-642, April.
    5. Omotosho, Babatunde S., 2015. "Is Real Exchange Rate Misalignment a Leading Indicator of Currency Crises in Nigeria?," MPRA Paper 98353, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Wajih Khallouli & Mahmoud Sami Nabi, 2010. "Financial Crises’ Prevention and Recovery," Working Papers 529, Economic Research Forum, revised 06 Jan 2010.
    7. Wajih Khallouli & Modibo René Sandretto, 2010. "Testing for “contagion” of the subprime crisis on the Middle East and North African stock markets : A Markov Switching EGARCH approach," Working Papers 1022, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
    8. El-Shagi, Makram & Knedlik, Tobias & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2012. "Predicting Financial Crises: The (Statistical) Significance of the Signals Approach," IWH Discussion Papers 3/2012, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    9. Katircioglu, Salih Turan & Feridun, Mete, 2010. "Do macroeconomic fundamentals affect exchange market pressure? Evidence from bounds testing approach for Turkey," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 7916, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
    10. Mete Feridun, 2009. "Determinants of Exchange Market Pressure in Turkey: An Econometric Investigation," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(2), pages 65-81, March.
    11. Ari, Ali, 2012. "Early warning systems for currency crises: The Turkish case," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 391-410.
    12. Panayotis Michaelides & Mike Tsionas & Panos Xidonas, 2020. "A Bayesian Signals Approach for the Detection of Crises," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(3), pages 551-585, September.

  4. Özmucur, Süleyman & Pamuk, Şevket, 2002. "Real Wages And Standards Of Living In The Ottoman Empire, 1489–1914," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 62(2), pages 293-321, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Pamuk, Sevket & Karaman, Kivanc & Yıldırım-Karaman, Seçil, 2018. "Money and Monetary Stability in Europe, 1300-1914," CEPR Discussion Papers 12583, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2008. "This Time is Different: A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises," NBER Working Papers 13882, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Kumon, Yuzuru & Saleh, Mohamed, 2023. "The Middle-Eastern marriage pattern? Malthusian dynamics in nineteenth-century Egypt," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117692, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Metin M. Cosgel & Thomas J. Miceli & Jared Rubin, 2009. "Guns and Books: Legitimacy, Revolt and Technological Change in the Ottoman Empire," Working papers 2009-12, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    5. Allen, Robert C., 2014. "American Exceptionalism as a Problem in Global History," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 74(2), pages 309-350, June.
    6. Arroyo Abad, Leticia & Davies, Elwyn & van Zanden, Jan Luiten, 2012. "Between conquest and independence: Real wages and demographic change in Spanish America, 1530–1820," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 149-166.
    7. Robert C. Allen, 2017. "Real Wages Once More: A Response to Judy Stephenson," Working Papers 20170006, New York University Abu Dhabi, Department of Social Science, revised Jul 2017.
    8. Hanedar, Avni Önder & Yaldız Hanedar, Elmas, 2017. "Stock market reactions to wars and political risks: A cliometric perspective for a falling empire," MPRA Paper 85600, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 25 Mar 2018.
    9. Nuno Palma & Jaime Reis, 2018. "From Convergence to Divergence: Portuguese Economic Growth, 1527-1850," Economics Discussion Paper Series 1811, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    10. Ewout Frankema & Marlous van Waijenburg, 2011. "Structural Impediments to African Growth? New Evidence from Real Wages in British Africa, 1880-1965," Working Papers 0024, Utrecht University, Centre for Global Economic History.
    11. Milanovic, Branko & Mijatovic, Bosko, 2019. "Real urban wage in an agricultural economy without landless farmers: Serbia, 1862-1910," MPRA Paper 92585, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Ewout Frankema & Marlous van Waijenburg, 2011. "African Real Wages in Asian Perspective, 1880-1940," Working Papers 0002, Utrecht University, Centre for Global Economic History.
    13. Deng, Kent & O'Brien, Patrick, 2014. "Clarifying data for reciprocal comparisons of nutritional standards of living in England and the Yangtze Delta (Jiangnan), c.1644 – c.1840," Economic History Working Papers 59303, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
    14. Chor, Davin, 2005. "Institutions, wages, and inequality: The case of Europe and its periphery (1500-1899)," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 547-566, October.
    15. Jörg Baten & Mojgan Stegl, 2008. "Tall and Shrinking Muslims, Short and Growing Europeans: The Long-Run Welfare Development of the Middle East, 1840-1980," Working Papers 8030, Economic History Society.
    16. K. Kivanç Karaman & Sevket Pamuk, 2011. "Different Paths to the Modern State in Europe: The interaction between domestic political economy and interstate competition," LEQS – LSE 'Europe in Question' Discussion Paper Series 37, European Institute, LSE.
    17. Robert C. Allen & Jean‐Pascal Bassino & Debin Ma & Christine Moll‐Murata & Jan Luiten Van Zanden, 2011. "Wages, prices, and living standards in China, 1738–1925: in comparison with Europe, Japan, and India," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 64(s1), pages 8-38, February.
    18. Robert Allen & Robert C. Allen, 2007. "How Prosperous were the Romans? Evidence from Diocletian`s Price Edict (301 AD)," Economics Series Working Papers 363, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    19. Ali Coşkun Tuncer & Gürer Karagedikli, 2016. "‘The people next door’: housing and neighbourhood in eighteenth-century Ottoman Edirne," Working Papers 16010, Economic History Society.
    20. Laura Panza, 2014. "De-industrialization and re-industrialization in the Middle East: reflections on the cotton industry in Egypt and in the Izmir region," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 67(1), pages 146-169, February.
    21. Julio Martínez-Galarraga & Marc Prat, 2014. "Wages and prices in early Catalan industrialisation," UB School of Economics Working Papers 2014/305, University of Barcelona School of Economics.
    22. Timur Kuran & Scott Lustig, 2012. "Judicial Biases in Ottoman Istanbul: Islamic Justice and Its Compatibility with Modern Economic Life," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 55(3), pages 631-666.
    23. Robert C. Allen, 2007. "Economics, science, and the British industrial revolution," Working Papers 7004, Economic History Society.
    24. Paul Caruana-Galizia, 2015. "Strategic colonies and economic development: real wages in Cyprus, Gibraltar, and Malta, 1836–1913," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 68(4), pages 1250-1276, November.
    25. Robert Sinclair & Jess Diamond, 2022. "Basic food and drink price distributions transcend time and culture," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-7, December.
    26. Leonardo Ridolfi, 2017. "Six centuries of real wages in France from Louis IX to Napoleon III: 1250-1860," LEM Papers Series 2017/14, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    27. Robert Allen & Robert C. Allen, 2007. "Wages, Prices, and Living Standards in China, Japan, and Europe, 1738-1925," Economics Series Working Papers 316, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    28. Sara Horrell, 2023. "Household consumption patterns and the consumer price index, England, 1260–1869," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 76(4), pages 1023-1050, November.
    29. Metin Cosgel, 2012. "The Political Economy of Law and Economic Development in Islamic History," Working papers 2012-44, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    30. Pim de Zwart, 2011. "Real wages at the Cape of Good Hope: A long-term perspective, 1652-1912," Working Papers 0013, Utrecht University, Centre for Global Economic History.
    31. Van Zanden, Jan Luiten, 2009. "The skill premium and the ‘Great Divergence’," European Review of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(1), pages 121-153, April.
    32. Klovland, Jan Tore, 2014. "Challenges for the construction of historical price indices: The case of Norway, 1777-1920," Discussion Paper Series in Economics 5/2014, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics.
    33. Timur Kuran & Jared Rubin, 2014. "The Financial Power of the Powerless: Socio-Economic Status and Interest Rates under Partial Rule of Law," Working Papers 14-22, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
    34. Seven Ağır, 2023. "The ‘Missing Middle’: A Historical-Institutional Perspective on the Stagnation of Small and Medium Enterprises in Turkey," ERC Working Papers 2305, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Nov 2023.
    35. Zeynep Dörtok Abacı & Jun Akiba & Metin Cosgel & Boğaç Ergene, 2022. "Judiciary and Wealth in the Ottoman Empire, 1689–1843," Working papers 2022-02, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.

  5. Lawrence R. Klein & Suleyman Ozmucur, 2002. "Consumer Behavior Under the Influence of Terrorism Within the United States," Journal of Entrepreneurial Finance, Pepperdine University, Graziadio School of Business and Management, vol. 7(3), pages 1-16, Fall.

    Cited by:

    1. Baumert, Thomas & de Obesso, María Mercedes & Valbuena, Esther, 2020. "How does the terrorist experience alter consumer behaviour? An analysis of the Spanish case," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 357-364.
    2. Klein, Lawrence R. & Özmucur, Süleyman, 2010. "The use of consumer and business surveys in forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 1453-1462, November.
    3. Gilboa, Shaked & Seger-Guttmann, Tali & Partouche-Sebban, Judith, 2022. "Increasing customer loyalty and WOM in an age of terror: Cross-cultural development and validation of the customers’ reactions to terror scale (CRTS)," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    4. Christian L. Redfearn, 2004. "Land Markets & Terrorism: Uncovering Perceptions of Risk by Examining Land Price Changes Following 9/11," Working Paper 8591, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.

  6. Onis, Ziya & Ozmucur, Suleyman, 1990. "Exchange rates, inflation and money supply in Turkey : Testing the vicious circle hypothesis," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 133-154, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Aykut Kibritcioglu, 2001. "Causes of Inflation in Turkey: A Literature Survey with Special Reference to Theories of Inflation," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 28(21), pages 1.
    2. Dibooglu, Sel & Kibritcioglu, Aykut, 2004. "Inflation, output growth, and stabilization in Turkey, 1980-2002," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 43-61.
    3. Masoumi , Esmat & Tehranchian , Amir Mansor, 2015. "The Impact of Exchange Rate Misalignment on the Persistence of Inflation in Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 10(2), pages 45-69, January.
    4. Yeldan, A. Erinc, 1997. "Financial liberalization and fiscal repression in Turkey: Policy analysis in a CGE model with financial markets," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 79-117, February.
    5. Atilla Gökçe & Umut Ãakmak, 2016. "Long-Term Relationship between Inflation and Public Sector Deficit in the Turkish Economy and its Macroeconomic Implications (1975-2014)," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 8(4), pages 109-122.
    6. Aykut Kibritcioglu, 2004. "A Short Review of the Long History of Turkish High Inflation," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 28(2), pages 1.
    7. Husaini, Dzul Hadzwan & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2021. "Asymmetric impact of oil price and exchange rate on disaggregation price inflation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    8. A. Erinc Yeldan, 1993. "Conflicting Interests and Structural Inflation: Turkey, 1980-1990," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 32(3), pages 303-327.
    9. Suwareh Darbo & Amandine Nakumuryango, 2018. "Working Paper 305 - Inflation Dynamics In Post-Secession Sudan," Working Paper Series 2432, African Development Bank.

  7. Ozmucur, Suleyman, 1979. "More on Built-in Flexibility of Taxation," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 34(3), pages 443-451.

    Cited by:

    1. Sanz Labrador, Ismael & Sanz-Sanz, José Félix, 2013. "Política fiscal y crecimiento económico: consideraciones microeconómicas y relaciones macroeconómicas," Macroeconomía del Desarrollo 5367, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    2. John Creedy & José Félix Sanz?Sanz, 2010. "Modelling Personal Income Taxation in Spain:Revenue Elasticities and Regional Comparisons," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 1097, The University of Melbourne.

Chapters

  1. Roberto S. Mariano & Suleyman Ozmucur, 2018. "High-mixed-frequency forecasting models for GDP and inflation," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Peter Pauly (ed.), Global Economic Modeling A Volume in Honor of Lawrence R. Klein, chapter 2, pages 2-29, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..

    Cited by:

    1. Roberto S. Mariano & Suleyman Ozmucur, 2021. "Predictive Performance of Mixed-Frequency Nowcasting and Forecasting Models (with Application to Philippine Inflation and GDP Growth)," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(1), pages 383-400, December.

  2. Süleyman …zmucur, 2009. "Current Quarter Model for Turkey," Chapters, in: Lawrence R. Klein (ed.), The Making of National Economic Forecasts, chapter 9, Edward Elgar Publishing.

    Cited by:

  3. Lawrence R. Klein & Suleyman Ozmucur, 2008. "The University Of Pennsylvania Models For High-Frequency Macroeconomic Modeling," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Roberto S Mariano & Yiu-Kuen Tse (ed.), Econometric Forecasting And High-Frequency Data Analysis, chapter 2, pages 53-91, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..

    Cited by:

    1. A. Girardi & R. Golinelli & C. Pappalardo, 2014. "The Role of Indicator Selection in Nowcasting Euro Area GDP in Pseudo Real Time," Working Papers wp919, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    2. Guido Bulligan & Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2010. "Forecasting monthly industrial production in real-time: from single equations to factor-based models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 39(2), pages 303-336, October.

Books

  1. Kibritçioğlu, Aykut & Rittenberg, Libby & Selçuk, Faruk & Akçay, O. Cevdet & Alper, C. Emre & Berument, M. Hakan & Dibooğlu, Selahattin & Erlat, Haluk & Ertuğrul, Ahmet & Malatyalı, N. Kamuran & Nas, , 2002. "Inflation and Disinflation in Turkey," EconStor Books, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 110203, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Levent, Korap, 2008. "Modeling base money demand and inflation for the Turkish economy," MPRA Paper 19617, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Ardic, Oya Pinar, 2006. "Output, the Real Exchange Rate, and the Crises in Turkey," MPRA Paper 6099, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Dibooglu, Sel & Kibritcioglu, Aykut, 2004. "Inflation, output growth, and stabilization in Turkey, 1980-2002," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 43-61.
    4. Michael Arghyrou & Virginie Boinet & Christopher Martin, 2006. "Non-linear and non-symmetric exchange-rate adjustment: Evidence from medium- and high-inflation countries," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 30(1), pages 38-56, March.
    5. Michael Arghyrou & Virginie Boinet & Christopher Martin, 2004. "Non-linear and non-symmetric exchange-rate adjustment: new evidence from medium- and high-inflation economies," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 2, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    6. Levent Korap, 2009. "Parasal Buyume ve Tuketici Enflasyonu Degisim Orani Arasindaki Nedensellik Iliskisi Uzerine Bir Deneme: Turkiye Ornegi," Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, vol. 9(1), pages 56-74, May.
    7. Zeren, Fatma & Korap, Levent, 2010. "A cost-based empirical model of the aggregate price determination for the Turkish economy: a multivariate cointegration approach," MPRA Paper 23655, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Hande Kucuk & Burc Tuger, 2004. "Relative Price Variability : The Case Of Turkey 1994-2002," Working Papers 0402, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    9. F. Gulcin Ozkan, 2005. "Currency and Financial Crises in Turkey 2000 –2001: Bad Fundamentals or Bad Luck?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(4), pages 541-572, April.
    10. Çiçek, Deniz & Elgin, Ceyhun, 2011. "Not-quite-great depressions of Turkey: A quantitative analysis of economic growth over 1968–2004," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 2691-2700.
    11. Haluk Erlat, 2009. "Persistence in Turkish Real Exchange Rates: Panel Approaches," FIW Working Paper series 029, FIW.
    12. Ardic Oya Pinar & Yuzereroglu Uygar, 2009. "How Do Individuals Choose Banks? An Application to Household Level Data from Turkey," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-26, June.
    13. Kulaksizoglu, Tamer, 2015. "Measuring the Core Inflation in Turkey with the SM-AR Model," MPRA Paper 62653, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Ozgur ASLAN & H. Levent KORAP, 2007. "Monetary Transmission Mechanism In An Open Economy Framework: The Case Of Turkey," Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, vol. 5(1), pages 41-66, May.
    15. Chortareas, Georgios & Cipollini, Andrea & Eissa, Mohamed Abdelaziz, 2012. "Switching to floating exchange rates, devaluations, and stock returns in MENA countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 119-127.
    16. Faruk Selçuk, 2005. "The Policy Challenge with Floating Exchange Rates: Turkey’s Recent Experience," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 295-312, July.
    17. Voyvoda, Ebru & Yeldan, Erinc, 2005. "Managing Turkish debt: An OLG investigation of the IMF's fiscal programming model for Turkey," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 743-765, September.
    18. Bilici, Berk & Çekin, Semih Emre, 2020. "Inflation persistence in Turkey: A TVP-estimation approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 64-69.
    19. Ozbek, Levent & Ozlale, Umit, 2005. "Employing the extended Kalman filter in measuring the output gap," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 29(9), pages 1611-1622, September.
    20. Ari, Ali & Yılmaz, Ahmet & Cergibozan, Raif & Ozcan, Yunus, 2013. "The Inflation Dynamics of the Turkish Economy in 1990-2011 Period," MPRA Paper 95675, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Aykut Kibritcioglu, 2004. "Economic Crises and Governments in Turkey, 1969-2001 (Turkiye'de Ekonomik Krizler ve Hukumetler, 1969-2001)," Macroeconomics 0401008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Abidin Ozdemir, Zeynel & Fisunoglu, Mahir, 2008. "On the inflation-uncertainty hypothesis in Jordan, Philippines and Turkey: A long memory approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 1-12.

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  1. Turkish Economists

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  1. NEP-LAB: Labour Economics (1) 2003-03-19

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