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Determinants of private savings behaviour in Turkey

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Author Info
Kivilcim Metin Ozcan
Asli Gunay
Seda Ertac

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Abstract

This study investigates the effects on private saving rates of a number of policy and non-policy variables. The analysis covers the period 1968-1994. The empirical private saving model for Turkey is estimated. The findings support the hypothesis that private saving rates have strong inertia. The evidence indicates that government saving does not tend to crowd out private savings and the Ricardian equivalence does not hold strictly. Income level has a positive impact on private saving rate, and growth rate of income is not statistically significant. From a policy point of view, financial depth and development measures in Turkey suggest that countries with deeper financial systems tend to have higher private saving rates. Private credit and real interest rates try to capture the severity of the borrowing constraints and the degree of financial repression for Turkey. Moreover, the negative impact of life expectancy rate lends support to the life-cycle hypothesis. The precautionary motive for saving is supported by the findings that inflation captures the degree of macroeconomic volatility and has a positive impact on private saving in Turkey.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics.

Volume (Year): 35 (2003)
Issue (Month): 12 (August)
Pages: 1405-1416
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Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:12:p:1405-1416

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Gupta, Kanhaya L, 1971. "Dependency Rates and Savings Rates: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 61(3), pages 469-71, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Koskela, Erkki & Viren, Matti, 1985. "Anticipated versus 'surprise' inflation in household consumption behaviour," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 17(1-2), pages 77-81. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. James MacKinnon, 1990. "Critical Values for Cointegration Tests," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 90-4, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
  4. Anuradha Dayal-Gulati & Christian Thimann, 1997. "Saving in Southeast Asia and Latin America Compared - Searching for Policy Lessons," IMF Working Papers 97/110, International Monetary Fund.
  5. Feldstein, Martin, 1980. "International differences in social security and saving," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 225-244, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Gupta, K L, 1970. "Foreign Capital and Domestic Savings: A Test of Haavelmo's Hypothesis with Cross-Country Data: A Comment," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 52(2), pages 214-16, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Tamim Bayoumi & Paul R. Masson & Hossein Samiei, 1995. "International Evidence on the Determinants of Private Saving," IMF Working Papers 95/51, International Monetary Fund.
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  8. Aron, Janine & Muellbauer, John, 2000. "Personal and Corporate Saving in South Africa," CEPR Discussion Papers 2656, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Gupta, K L, 1970. "On Some Determinants of Rural and Urban Household Saving Behaviour," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 46(116), pages 578-83, December.
  10. Leff, Nathaniel H, 1969. "Dependency Rates and Savings Rates," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 59(5), pages 886-96, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Modigliani, Franco, 1986. "Life Cycle, Individual Thrift, and the Wealth of Nations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(3), pages 297-313, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Giovannini, Alberto, 1983. "The interest elasticity of savings in developing countries: The existing evidence," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 11(7), pages 601-607, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Norman Loayza & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Luis Servén, 2000. "What Drives Private Saving Across the World?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(2), pages 165-181, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Martin Feldstein, 1995. "Social Security and Saving: New Time Series Evidence," NBER Working Papers 5054, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Jonathan David Ostry & Carmen Reinhart, 1991. "Private Saving and Terms of Trade Shocks: Evidence from Developing Countries," IMF Working Papers 91/100, International Monetary Fund.
  16. Koskela, Erkki & Viren, Matti, 1982. "Saving and inflation : Some international evidence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 337-344. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Jappelli, Tullio & Pagano, Marco, 1994. "Saving, Growth, and Liquidity Constraints," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 109(1), pages 83-109, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  18. Corbo, Vittorio & Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus, 1991. "Public policies and saving in developing countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 89-115, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Paresh Narayan & Saud AL Siyabi, 2005. "An Empirical Investigation of the Determinants of Oman's National Savings," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(51), pages 1-7. [Downloadable!]
  2. Yasemin Barlas Ozer & Kam-Ki Tang, . "This paper investigates the financial and housing wealth effects on aggregate private consumption in Turkey for the period 1987-2007. Given the lack of data, the study proposes an innovative method to," MRG Discussion Paper Series 2809, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia. [Downloadable!]
  3. Enrica Carbone, 2006. "Understanding intertemporal choices," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(8), pages 889-898, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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