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The effect of terror and economic sector in early career years on future career path

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  • Aviad Tur-Sinai

    (The Max Stern Yezreel Valley College
    University of Rochester Medical Center)

Abstract

The study uses the deterioration of security situation in Israel (the “Intifada”) to investigate the uniqueness of results obtained previously in regard to Israel’s security-guard industry, as against other economic sectors, in regard to the employment stability and its implications for future career path. The findings emphasize the negative effect of a person’s mere presence in the labor market during the Intifada on his career path, irrespective of the industry in which he worked. They emphasize the variance attributed to the economic sector in which people hold their first job on their future employment career, as well as the variance attributed to working as a security guard during the Intifada, with the upturn in terror associated with it. The findings stress the role that policymakers should play for minimizing possible adverse effects on the earning trajectory and labor-market attachment of employed persons at a time of declining security and the emphasis and attention that should be given to persons employed in the security-guard industry at any time—due to the inferiority of permanent employment patterns in this industry in contrast to other industries—to minimize possible impairment to their earning trajectory and assure their long-term attachment to the labor market.

Suggested Citation

  • Aviad Tur-Sinai, 2020. "The effect of terror and economic sector in early career years on future career path," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(5), pages 2153-2184, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:59:y:2020:i:5:d:10.1007_s00181-019-01737-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-019-01737-x
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Employment mobility; Income mobility; Labor-market attachment; Career development; Difference-in-differences;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J22 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Time Allocation and Labor Supply
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • J62 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Job, Occupational and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion

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