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Speculation in the Housing Market?

Author

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  • Eric J. Levin

    (Department of Economics, University of Stirling, Stirling, FK9 4LA, UK, e.j.levin@stir.ac.uk)

  • Robert E. Wright

    (Department of Economics, University of Stirling, Stirling, FK9 4LA, UK, r.e.wright@stir.ac.uk)

Abstract

This paper presents and tests a model of house price speculation. The mechanisms by which price speculation may occur in the housing market are described and formalised. A model of house prices is constructed that allows for speculation. Aspects of this model are tested using time-series data for the UK and the Greater London area (1969-95). Overall, the analysis presents some evidence of the process of speculation as a possible determinant of house prices in the London and UK-wide housing markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric J. Levin & Robert E. Wright, 1997. "Speculation in the Housing Market?," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 34(9), pages 1419-1437, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:34:y:1997:i:9:p:1419-1437
    DOI: 10.1080/0042098975493
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    Cited by:

    1. Park, Donghyun & Xiao, Qin, 2009. "Housing Prices and the Role of Speculation: The Case of Seoul," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 146, Asian Development Bank.
    2. Mantu Kumar Mahalik & Hrushikesh Mallick, 2016. "Are house prices guided by fundamentals or speculative factors? An empirical inquiry for India," International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 9(1), pages 47-64.
    3. Richard Whittle & Thomas Davies & Matthew Gobey & John Simister, 2014. "Behavioural Economics and House Prices: A Literature Review," Business and Management Horizons, Macrothink Institute, vol. 2(2), pages 15-28, December.
    4. John Muellbauer & Gavin Cameron & John Muellbauer, 2006. "Was There A British House Price Bubble? Evidence from a Regional Panel," Economics Series Working Papers 276, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    5. Diao, Mi & Fan, Yi & Sing, Tien Foo, 2021. "Rational pricing responses of developers to supply shocks: Evidence from Singapore," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 802-815.
    6. José Francisco Bellod Redondo, 2011. "Detección de burbujas inmobiliarias: el caso español," Contribuciones a la Economía, Servicios Académicos Intercontinentales SL, issue 2011-05, May.
    7. Mauricio Alejandro Oyarzo Aguilar & Dusan Paredes Araya, 2017. "The impact of mining patents on public education: evidence for mining municipalities in Chile," Documentos de Trabajo en Economia y Ciencia Regional 72, Universidad Catolica del Norte, Chile, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2017.
    8. An-Ming Wang, 2016. "Agglomeration and simplified housing boom," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 53(5), pages 936-956, April.
    9. Joseph T. L. Ooi & Thao T. T. Le, 2012. "New Supply and Price Dynamics in the Singapore Housing Market," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 49(7), pages 1435-1451, May.
    10. Eric Levin & Alberto Montagnoli & Robert E. Wright, 2009. "Demographic Change and the Housing Market: Evidence from a Comparison of Scotland and England," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 46(1), pages 27-43, January.
    11. Riddel, Mary, 1999. "Fundamentals, Feedback Trading, and Housing Market Speculation: Evidence from California," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 272-284, December.
    12. Duran, Hasan Engin & Özdoğan, Hilal, 2020. "Asymmetries across regional housing markets in Turkey," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    13. Fabozzi, Frank J. & Xiao, Keli, 2017. "Explosive rents: The real estate market dynamics in exuberance," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 100-107.
    14. Jie Wang & Biyu Peng & Xiaohua Xia & Zhu Ma, 2021. "Are Housing Prices Sustainable in 35 Large and Medium-Sized Chinese Cities? A Study Based on the Cheap Talk Game and Dynamic GMM," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-18, November.
    15. Paul Anthony Mariadas & Mahiswaran Selvanathan & Tan Kok Hong, 2016. "A Study on Housing Price in Klang Valley, Malaysia," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(12), pages 103-109, December.
    16. Manuel B. Aalbers, 2006. "'When the Banks Withdraw, Slum Landlords Take Over' : The Structuration of Neighbourhood Decline through Redlining, Drug Dealing, Speculation and Immigrant Exploitation," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 43(7), pages 1061-1086, June.
    17. Qin Xiao & Donghyun Park, 2010. "Seoul housing prices and the role of speculation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 619-644, June.

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