Backward Induction Is Not Robust: The Parity Problem and the Uncertainty Problem
Abstract
A cornerstone of game theory is backward induction, whereby players reason backward from the end of a game in extensive form to the beginning in order to determine what choices are rational at each stage of play. Truels, or three-person duels, are used to illustrate how the outcome can depend on (1) the evenness/oddness of the number of rounds (the parity problem) and (2) uncertainty about the endpoint of the game (the uncertainty problem).(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)
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Bibliographic Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Theory and Decision.
Volume (Year): 45 (1998)
Issue (Month): 3 (December)
Pages: 263-289
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Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=100341
Related research
Keywords: Backward induction; Bounded rationality; Continuation probability; Infinite horizon; Parity; Uncertainty;Other versions of this item:
- Kilgour, D.M. & Brams, S.J., 1996. "Backward Induction is not Robust: The Parity Problem and the Uncertainty Problem," Working Papers 96-21, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University.
- C70 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - General
- C73 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games
- C79 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Other
References
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Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Jean-Marie Dufour, 2000.
"Économétrie, théorie des tests et philosophie des sciences,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2000s-47, CIRANO.
- DUFOUR, Jean-Marie, 2000. "Économétrie, théorie des tests et philosophie des sciences," Cahiers de recherche 2000-14, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
- Dufour, J.M., 2000. "Econometrie, theorie des tests et philosophie des sciences," Cahiers de recherche 2000-14, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
- Bossert, Walter & Brams, Steven J. & Kilgour, D. Marc, 2002.
"Cooperative vs non-cooperative truels: little agreement, but does that matter?,"
Games and Economic Behavior,
Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 185-202, August.
- Bossert, W. & Brams, S. J. & Kilgour, D. M., 2000. "Cooperative vs. Non-Cooperative Truels: Little Agreement, But Does That Matter?," Working Papers 00-19, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University.
- Bossert, W. & Brams, S.J. & Kilgour, D.M., 2000. "Cooperative VS. Non-cooperative Truels: Little Agreement, but Does that Matter?," Cahiers de recherche 2000-15, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
- BOSSERT, Walter & BRAMS, Steven J. & KILGOUR, D. Marc, 2000. "Cooperative VS. Non-cooperative Truels: Little Agreement, but Does that Matter?," Cahiers de recherche 2000-15, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
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