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International Asset Excess Returns and Multivariate Conditional Volatilities

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  • Thomas Chiang
  • Sheng-Yung Yang

Abstract

This paper constructs a multivariate model in relating multi-asset excess returns to their conditional variances. Applying weekly data to investigate the foreign-exchange risk premium, the evidence from a multivariate GARCH model shows that the foreign-exchange excess returns are significantly correlated with economic fundamentals such as the real interest-rate differential, long-short interest-rate spread differential, and equity-premium differential. The evidence also suggests that foreign-exchange excess returns are not independent of the conditional variances of these fundamental variables, supporting the time-varying risk-premium hypothesis. Copyright Springer Science + Business Media, Inc. 2005

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  • Thomas Chiang & Sheng-Yung Yang, 2005. "International Asset Excess Returns and Multivariate Conditional Volatilities," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 295-312, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:24:y:2005:i:3:p:295-312
    DOI: 10.1007/s11156-005-6868-2
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    Cited by:

    1. Imad Moosa, 2011. "The profitability of interest arbitrage when the base currency is pegged to a basket," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 37(3), pages 267-281, October.

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