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Do foreign exchange risk premiums relate to the volatility in the foreign exchange and equity markets?

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  • Christine Jiang
  • Thomas Chiang

Abstract

Empirical tests are performed to examine whether foreign exchange excess returns for the British pound, Canadian dollar, Deutsche mark, and Japanese yen are related to volatility in the currency market and volatility in the stock markets. Our results indicate that volatility (measured by standard deviation and variance) from currency markets is significant in explaining the excess returns, suggesting that the excess returns are indeed reward for risk-taking. In addition, shocks in equity markets are found to have a significant impact on currency risk premium as well. In some cases, we find nonlinearity in the risk premium. Finally, our results emerged from Glosten, Jagannathan, Runkle's model (Journal of Finance,48 (5), 1993) suggest that risk premiums for each currency tend to respond to positive and negative shocks differently.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.

Volume (Year): 10 (2000)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 95-104

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Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:10:y:2000:i:1:p:95-104

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Cited by:
  1. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller & Stephen K. Pollard, 2009. "Dynamic Stock Market Interactions between the Canadian, Mexican, and the United States Markets: The NAFTA Experience," Working Papers 0905, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
  2. Thomas Chiang & Sheng-Yung Yang, 2005. "International Asset Excess Returns and Multivariate Conditional Volatilities," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 295-312, May.
  3. Kumar, Satish & Trück, Stefan, 2014. "Unbiasedness and risk premiums in the Indian currency futures market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 13-32.
  4. Ana Filipa Carvalho & Jose Sa da Costa & Jose Assis Lopes, 2006. "A systematic modelling strategy for futures markets volatility," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(11), pages 819-833.
  5. Herrmann, Sabine & Jochem, Axel, 2003. "Die internationale Intregration der Devisenmärkte in den mittel- und osteuropäischen Beitrittsländern: Spekulative Effizienz, Transaktionskosten und Wechselkursprämien," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2003,08, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
  6. WenShwo Fang & Stephen M. Miller, 2002. "Dynamic Effects of Currency Depreciation on Stock Market Returns during the Asian Financial Crisis," Working papers 2002-31, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
  7. Chiang, Thomas C. & Kim, Doseong & Lee, Euiseong, 2006. "Country-fund discounts and risk: Evidence from stock market volatility and macroeconomic volatility," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 58(4), pages 303-322.

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