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The Determinants of Sovereign Bond Spreads: Theory and Facts From Latin America Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Martín Grandes
This paper aims to identify the macroeconomic determinants of sovereign bond spreads in Argentina, Brazil and Mexico and discusses the economic policies underlying the divergent fortunes experienced by these countries over 1993-2001. Those determinants, namely real GDP growth, gross capital inflows and debt service burden (as a percentage of GDP), are derived from a consistent theoretical framework and empirically tested. The econometric analysis suggests that a permanent change in these determinants has a more significant and robust impact on spreads than transitory shocks. It also points out that financial contagion or risk-aversion variables have a meaningful role in explaining sovereign spreads across Latin American countries.
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Article provided by Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. in its journal Cuadernos de Economía .
Volume (Year): 44 (2007)
Issue (Month): 130 ()
Pages: 151-181
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Handle: RePEc:ioe:cuadec:v:44:y:2007:i:130:p:151-181Contact details of provider: Postal: Avda. Vicu� Mackenna 4860, Macul, Santiago Phone: (562) 686-4303 Fax: (562) 553-1664 Email: Web page: http://www.economia.puc.cl/ More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: Sovereign Debt ; Default Risk ; Contagion ; Latin America ; Emerging Markets. ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Determination of Interest Rates; Term Structure of Interest Rates F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing
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Alex Luiz Ferreira., 2009.
"Is it Risk? An Automated Approach to Explain the ex ante UIP Deviations of Brazil ,"
Cuadernos de Economía (Latin American Journal of Economics) ,
Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 46(133), pages 51-66.
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