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The European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England: Is the Taylor Rule a useful benchmark for the last decade?

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  • Antonio Forte

Abstract

In this article, using a Taylor type rule, I focus on the Euro era and compare the ECB with other two central banks, the Fed and the Bank of England. A very interesting result comes out from the analysis: it seems that these central banks do not observe the inflation course before deciding on the variation of the interest rates. This result can be linked to two ideas: firstly, the use of stationary time series drops out the significance of the inflation gap; secondly, a really forward looking central bank focuses on other macroeconomic leading indicators instead of examining the inflation gap.

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  • Antonio Forte, 2010. "The European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England: Is the Taylor Rule a useful benchmark for the last decade?," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 53(2), pages 1-31.
    • Handle: RePEc:eei:journl:v:53:y:2010:i:2:p:1-31
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    Cited by:

    1. Kancs, d'Artis & Kielyte, Julda, 2010. "European Integration and Labour Migration," European Integration online Papers (EIoP), European Community Studies Association Austria (ECSA-A), vol. 14, November.
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    3. Emna Trabelsi, 2012. "The relationship between central bank transparency and the quality of inflation forecasts: is it U-shaped?," EERI Research Paper Series EERI_RP_2012_02, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Taylor rule; European Central Bank; Federal Reserve; Bank of England.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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