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Do political connections shield from negative shocks? Evidence from rating changes in advanced emerging economies

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  • Jackowicz, Krzysztof
  • Kozłowski, Łukasz
  • Podgórski, Błażej
  • Winkler-Drews, Tadeusz

Abstract

In this study, we examine whether political connections affect market reactions to rating changes. Using a new and comprehensive dataset on ten advanced emerging markets, we find that political connections attenuate negative reactions linked to rating downgrades. This effect is shaped by political ties involving influential politicians and concerns all sample firms and a subsample of nonfinancial companies. Moreover, we establish that state-owned companies or companies with significant state ownership do not benefit from the mitigation effect of political connections.

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  • Jackowicz, Krzysztof & Kozłowski, Łukasz & Podgórski, Błażej & Winkler-Drews, Tadeusz, 2020. "Do political connections shield from negative shocks? Evidence from rating changes in advanced emerging economies," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finsta:v:51:y:2020:i:c:s1572308920300851
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2020.100786
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Shielding potential of political connections; Market reactions; Rating changes;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General

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