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Fixing Market Failures or Fixing Elections? Agricultural Credit in India

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Author Info
Shawn Cole
Abstract

This paper integrates theories of political budget cycles with theories of tactical electoral redistribution to test for political capture in a novel way. Studying banks in India, I find that government-owned bank lending tracks the electoral cycle, with agricultural credit increasing by 5-10 percentage points in an election year. There is significant cross-sectional targeting, with large increases in districts in which the election is particularly close. This targeting does not occur in nonelection years or in private bank lending. I show capture is costly: elections affect loan repayment, and election-year credit booms do not measurably affect agricultural output. (JEL D72, O13, O17, Q14, Q18)

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Economic Association in its journal American Economic Journal: Applied Economics.

Volume (Year): 1 (2009)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 219-50
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Handle: RePEc:aea:aejapp:v:1:y:2009:i:1:p:219-50

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  1. Christa Hainz & Hendrik Hakenes, 2009. "The Politician and his Banker – How to Efficiently Grant State Aid," Ifo Working Paper Series Ifo Working Paper No. 71, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich. [Downloadable!]
  2. Menkhoff, Lukas & Rungruxsirivorn, Ornsiri, 2009. "Village Funds and Access to Finance in Rural Thailand," Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover dp-417, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-16.

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