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A two-pillar DSGE monetary policy model for the euro area

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  • Barthélemy, Jean
  • Clerc, Laurent
  • Marx, Magali

Abstract

The current financial crisis has revived the interest for monitoring both monetary and credit developments. Over the past two decades, consistent with the adoption of inflation targeting strategies by a growing number of central banks and the development of New Keynesian models for which monetary aggregates are largely irrelevant, money and credit have been progressively neglected in the conduct of monetary policy. A striking exception has been the Eurosystem, which has implemented a strategy known as the "two-pillar monetary policy strategy" giving a prominent role for money. In this paper, we develop a small optimizing model based on Ireland (2004), estimated on euro area data and featuring this two-pillar strategy. We evaluate an ECB-style cross-checking policy rule in a DSGE model with real balance effects of money. We find some evidence that indeed money plays a non-trivial role in explaining the euro area business cycle. This provides a rationale for the central bank to factor in monetary developments but also raises some issues regarding the reliability of M3 as an appropriate monetary indicator. We find some evidence that the ECB has systematically reacted to a filtered measure of money growth but weak evidence it has reacted more aggressively during excess money growth periods.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Economic Modelling.

Volume (Year): 28 (2011)
Issue (Month): 3 (May)
Pages: 1303-1316

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Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:28:y:2011:i:3:p:1303-1316

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30411

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Keywords: Monetary policy Monetary aggregates Monetary policy rules ECB;

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References

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Cited by:
  1. Fabio Canova & Tobias Menz, 2009. "Does money matter in shaping domestic business cycles? An international investigation (with appendices)," Economics Working Papers 1242, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Nov 2010.
  2. Benchimol, Jonathan, 2014. "Risk aversion in the Eurozone," Research in Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 39-56.
  3. Franz Seitz & Markus A. Schmidt, 2014. "Money In Modern Macro Models: A Review of the Arguments," Journal of Reviews on Global Economics, Lifescience Global, vol. 3, pages 156-174.
  4. Meixing DAI, 2010. "Financial market imperfections and monetary policy strategy," Working Papers of BETA 2010-19, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  5. Fabio Canova & Tobias Menz, 2011. "Does Money Matter in Shaping Domestic Business Cycles? An International Investigation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(4), pages 577-607, 06.
  6. Benchimol, Jonathan & Fourçans, André, 2012. "Money and risk in a DSGE framework: A Bayesian application to the Eurozone," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 95-111.
  7. Jonathan Benchimol, 2012. "Risk Aversion in the Euro area," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00713669, HAL.
  8. Rhee, Hyuk-jae & Turdaliev, Nurlan, 2012. "Optimal monetary policy in a small open economy with inflation and output persistence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2533-2542.

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