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Stock†Bond Co†Movements And Flight†To†Quality In G7 Countries: A Time†Frequency Analysis

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  • Selcuk Bayraci
  • Sercan Demiralay
  • Hatice Gaye Gencer

Abstract

This paper examines co†movement between stock returns and changes in 10†year government bond yields as well as flight†to†quality behaviour in G7 countries. We conduct the wavelet squared coherence analysis to explore the dynamics in both time and frequency domain. Our results provide evidence of positive co†movements, which vary over time and across investment horizon. The higher co†movement is found to be more concentrated in the lower frequency bands. We further analyse the dynamic nature of the scale†dependent wavelet correlations and find that the correlations are highly volatile and significantly increase across different time scales during the episodes of equity market turbulence. The increase in correlations reflects flights from stocks to safer bond investments as a result of dramatic changes in investor sentiment and risk aversion at times of market stress.

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  • Selcuk Bayraci & Sercan Demiralay & Hatice Gaye Gencer, 2018. "Stock†Bond Co†Movements And Flight†To†Quality In G7 Countries: A Time†Frequency Analysis," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(1), pages 29-49, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:buecrs:v:70:y:2018:i:1:p:e29-e49
    DOI: 10.1111/boer.12118
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    2. Alomari, Mohammad & Al Rababa’a, Abdel Razzaq & El-Nader, Ghaith & Alkhataybeh, Ahmad & Ur Rehman, Mobeen, 2021. "Examining the effects of news and media sentiments on volatility and correlation: Evidence from the UK," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 280-297.
    3. Behera, Harendra & Gunadi, Iman & Rath, Badri Narayan, 2023. "COVID-19 uncertainty, financial markets and monetary policy effects in case of two emerging Asian countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 173-189.
    4. Soylu, Pınar Kaya & Güloğlu, Bülent, 2019. "Financial contagion and flight to quality between emerging markets and U.S. bond market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    5. Giofré, Maela, 2022. "Foreign investment in times of COVID-19: How strong is the flight to advanced economies?," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    6. João Martins, 2022. "Bond Yields Movement Similarities and Synchronization in the G7: A Time–Frequency Analysis," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(2), pages 189-214, July.
    7. Román Ferrer & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Adrián Maizonada, 2019. "Nonlinear and extreme dependence between long-term sovereign bond yields and the stock market: A quantile-on-quantile analysis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(2), pages 969-981.
    8. Demiralay, Sercan & Gencer, Hatice Gaye & Bayraci, Selcuk, 2021. "How do Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Stocks co-move with traditional and alternative assets in the age of the 4th industrial revolution? Implications and Insights for the COVID-19 period," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).

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