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Asset Market Linkages in Crisis Periods

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Author Info
de Vries, Casper G
Hartmann, Philipp
Straetmans, Stefan

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Abstract

We characterize asset return linkages during periods of stress by an extremal dependence measure. Contrary to correlation analysis, this non-parametric measure is not predisposed towards the normal distribution and can account for non-linear relationships. Our estimates for the G-5 countries suggest that simultaneous crashes in stock markets are about two times more likely than in bond markets. Moreover, stock-bond contagion is about as frequent as flight to quality from stocks into bonds. Extreme cross-border linkages are surprisingly similar to national linkages, illustrating a potential downside to international financial integration.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 2916.

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Date of creation: Aug 2001
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:2916

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Related research
Keywords: bivariate extreme value analysis; contagion; extreme co-movements; financial crises; flight to quality; market crashes; systemic risk;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C49 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Other
F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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