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The case for reforming euro area entry criteria

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  • Zsolt Darvas

    ()
    (Corvinus University of Budapest, Budapest, Hungary
    Bruegel, Belgium
    Institute of Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Budapest, Hungary)

Abstract

The global economic and financial crisis has raised further concerns about the euro-entry criteria, in addition to other factors, such as the effective tightening of the criteria due to the enlargement of the EU from 12 to 27 members, the highly unfavourable property of business cycle dependence, the internal inconsistency of the criteria due to the structural price level convergence of Central and Eastern European countries, and the continuous violation of the criteria by euro-area members. The interest rate criterion became a highly volatile measure. Many US metropolitan areas would fail to qualify to be members of the US monetary union by applying the currently used inflation criterion to the US. It is time to reform the criteria and to strengthen their economic rationale within the legal framework of the EU treaty. A good solution would be to relate all numerical criteria to the average of the euro area and simultaneously to extend the compliance period from the currently considered one year to a longer period.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary in its journal Society and Economy.

Volume (Year): 32 (2010)
Issue (Month): 2 (December)
Pages: 195-219

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Handle: RePEc:aka:soceco:v:32:y:2010:i:2:p:195-219

Note: This article partly draws on the paper that the author prepared for the conference on “The Future of the Baltic Sea Region in Europe”, held on 27–28 August 2009 in Hamina, Finland. The conference was organised by Centrum Balticum and the Town of Hamina together with the Finnish Prime Minister’s Office to commemorate the 200th anniversary of the Treaty of Hamina that established the autonomous Grand Duchy of Finland within Imperial Russia, which marked the gradual emergence of Finnish nationhood. The author is grateful to Torbjörn Becker, Daumantas Lapinskas, Jean Pisani-Ferry, Indhira Santos, André Sapir, Karsten Staehr, György Szapáry, Vilija Tauraitë, Jakob von Weizsäcker and two lawyers who wished to stay in anonymity for stimulating discussions about this paper, to the conference participants in Hamina and to the seminar participants at the German Marshall Fund in Berlin for helpful comments. However, ###
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Keywords: Euro; EU institutions; financial crisis; Maastricht-criteria;

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References

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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  1. Zsolt Darvas, 2008. "Estimation Bias and Inference in Overlapping Autoregressions: Implications for the Target-Zone Literature," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(1), pages 1-22, 02.
  2. Darvas, Zsolt & Rose, Andrew K & Szapáry, György, 2005. "Fiscal Divergence and Business Cycle Synchronization: Irresponsibility is Idiosyncratic," CEPR Discussion Papers 5188, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  3. Zsolt Darvas & György Szapáry, 2006. "Business Cycle Synchronization in the Enlarged EU," Working Papers 0604, Department of Mathematical Economics and Economic Analysis, Corvinus University of Budapest.
  4. Darvas, Zsolt, 2009. "Leveraged carry trade portfolios," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 944-957, May.
  5. Zsolt Darvas & Gy�rgy Szap�ry, 2008. "Euro Area Enlargement and Euro Adoption Strategies," European Economy - Economic Papers 304, Directorate General Economic and Monetary Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  6. Zsolt Darvas & Zoltán Schepp, 2006. "Long maturity forward rates of major currencies are stationary," Working Papers 0603, Department of Mathematical Economics and Economic Analysis, Corvinus University of Budapest.
  7. John Lewis & Karsten Staehr, 2010. "The Maastricht Inflation Criterion: What is the Effect of European Union Enlargement?," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48, pages 687-708, 06.
  8. André Sapir & Jean Pisani-Ferry, 2010. "Whither Growth in Central and Eastern Europe ?Policy Lessons for an Integrated Europe," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/174279, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  9. Zsolt Darvas & Jean Pisani-Ferry, 2008. "Avoiding a new European divide," Policy Briefs 227, Bruegel.
  10. Zsolt Darvas, 2009. "The Baltic Challenge and Euro-Area Entry," Policy Contributions 357, Bruegel.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Zsombor Z. Méder & András Simonovits & János Vincze, 2012. "Tax Morale and Tax Evasion: Social Preferences and Bounded Rationality," Working Papers 1202, Department of Mathematical Economics and Economic Analysis, Corvinus University of Budapest.
  2. Triandafil, Cristina Maria, 2011. "The Analysis Of The Convergence Criteria. Empirical Perspective In The Context Of The Sustainable Character Highlight," Working Papers of National Institute of Economic Research 111205, National Institute of Economic Research.
  3. Zsolt Darvas, 2012. "The euro crisis: ten roots, but fewer solutions," Policy Contributions 755, Bruegel.
  4. Avadanei, Andreea, 2011. "O abodare de ansamblu privind provocările adoptării euro: cazul României
    [An overview of euro adoption challenges: the case of Romania]
    ," MPRA Paper 28420, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  5. Zsolt Darvas, 2011. "Exchange Rate Policy and Economic Growth after the Financial Crisis in Central and Eastern Europe," Working Papers 1103, Department of Mathematical Economics and Economic Analysis, Corvinus University of Budapest.
  6. Dumitriu, Ramona & Stefanescu, Razvan, 2013. "Provocările politicii monetare
    [Monetary policy challenges]
    ," MPRA Paper 50261, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Sep 2013.
  7. Zaenal Mutaqin & Masaru Ichihashi, 2013. "Widening and Deepening Economic Integration Impact on Bilateral Trade in the Eurozone and ASEAN," IDEC DP2 Series 3-3, Hiroshima University, Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation (IDEC).

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