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The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey
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Cited by:
- Jens J. Krüger, 2021. "A Wavelet Evaluation of Some Leading Business Cycle Indicators for the German Economy," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(3), pages 293-319, December.
- Born, Benjamin & Enders, Zeno & Menkhoff, Manuel & Müller, Gernot & Niemann, Knut, 2022.
"Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
17768, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Benjamin Born & Zeno Enders & Manuel Menkhoff & Gernot J. Müller & Knut Niemann, 2023. "Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro," ifo Working Paper Series 400, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Benjamin Born & Zeno Enders & Manuel Menkhoff & Gernot J. Müller & Knut Niemann & Gernot Müller, 2022. "Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro," CESifo Working Paper Series 10192, CESifo.
- Born, Benjamin & Enders, Zeno & Menkhoff, Manuel & Müller, Gernot J. & Niemann, Knut, 2023. "Firm expectations and news: Micro v macro," Working Papers 43, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
- Liudmila Kitrar & Tamara Lipkind, 2021. "Development Of Composite Indicators Of Cyclical Response In Business Surveys Considering The Specifics Of The ‘Covid-19 Economy’," HSE Working papers WP BRP 121/STI/2021, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
- Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2023.
"Information frictions among firms and households,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 99-115.
- Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," CEBI working paper series 21-07, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).
- Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2021. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 556, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
- Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2021. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242376, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2022. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," IZA Discussion Papers 15090, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2022. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 140, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
- Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," CESifo Working Paper Series 8969, CESifo.
- Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2021. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1341, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Deimante Teresiene & Greta Keliuotyte-Staniuleniene & Yiyi Liao & Rasa Kanapickiene & Ruihui Pu & Siyan Hu & Xiao-Guang Yue, 2021. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Consumer and Business Confidence Indicators," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-23, April.
- Robert Lehmann & Sascha Möhrle, 2022. "Forecasting Regional Industrial Production with High-Frequency Electricity Consumption Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 9917, CESifo.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wikman, Ida, 2022.
"Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States,"
MPRA Paper
112642, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Robert Lehmann & Ida Wikman, 2022. "Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States," ifo Working Paper Series 370, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Robert Lehmann & Ida Wikman, 2023. "Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States: New Data for Business Cycle Analyses and Long-Run Dynamics," CESifo Working Paper Series 10280, CESifo.
- Florian Dorn & Sahamoddin Khailaie & Marc Stoeckli & Sebastian C. Binder & Tanmay Mitra & Berit Lange & Stefan Lautenbacher & Andreas Peichl & Patrizio Vanella & Timo Wollmershäuser & Clemens Fuest & , 2023.
"The common interests of health protection and the economy: evidence from scenario calculations of COVID-19 containment policies,"
The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 24(1), pages 67-74, February.
- Florian Dorn & Sahamoddin Khailaie & Marc Stöckli & Sebastian C. Binder & Tanmay Mitra & Berit Lange & Stefan Lautenbacher & Andreas Peichl & Patrizio Vanella & Timo Wollmershäuser & Clemens Fuest & M, 2022. "The Common Interests of Health Protection and the Economy: Evidence from Scenario Calculations of Covid-19 Containment Policies," ifo Working Paper Series 367, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Florian Dorn & Sahamoddin Khailaie & Marc Stoeckli & Sebastian C. Binder & Tanmay Mitra & Berit Lange & Stefan Lautenbacher & Andreas Peichl & Patrizio Vanella & Timo Wollmershäuser & Clemens Fuest & , 2022. "The Common Interests of Health Protection and the Economy: Evidence from Scenario Calculations of Covid-19 Containment Policies," CESifo Working Paper Series 9600, CESifo.
- Robert Lehmann & Magnus Reif, 2021.
"Predicting the German Economy: Headline Survey Indices Under Test,"
Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(2), pages 215-232, November.
- Robert Lehmann & Magnus Reif, 2020. "Tracking and Predicting the German Economy: ifo vs. PMI," CESifo Working Paper Series 8145, CESifo.
- Grimme, Christian & Lehmann, Robert & Noeller, Marvin, 2021.
"Forecasting imports with information from abroad,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 109-117.
- Christian Grimme & Robert Lehmann & Marvin Noeller, 2018. "Forecasting Imports with Information from Abroad," CESifo Working Paper Series 7079, CESifo.
- Christian Grimme & Robert Lehmann & Marvin Noeller, 2019. "Forecasting Imports with Information from Abroad," ifo Working Paper Series 294, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Dorine Boumans & Clemens Fuest & Carla Krolage & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020.
"Expected effects of the US tax reform on other countries: global and local survey evidence,"
International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 27(6), pages 1608-1630, December.
- Dorine Boumans & Clemens Fuest & Carla Krolage & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Expected Effects of the US Tax Reform on Other Countries: Global and Local Survey Evidence," CESifo Working Paper Series 7491, CESifo.
- Dorine Boumans & Clemens Fuest & Carla Krolage & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "Expected Effects of the US Tax Reform on Other Countries: Global and Local Survey Evidence," ifo Working Paper Series 331, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Jonas Hennrich & Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2023. "Who Reports the Mood in German Boardrooms? Evidence from the ifo Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 10571, CESifo.
- Balleer, Almut & Noeller, Marvin, 2023. "Monetary policy in the presence of supply constraints: Evidence from German firm-level data," Ruhr Economic Papers 1060, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Magdolna Hiersemenzel & Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2022. "On the Representativeness of the ifo Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 9863, CESifo.
- Liu, Congzheng & Letchford, Adam N. & Svetunkov, Ivan, 2022. "Newsvendor problems: An integrated method for estimation and optimisation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 300(2), pages 590-601.
- Jonas Hennrich & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2023. "From ‘I Don’t Like Mondays’ to ‘Friday I’m in Love’ – Day-of-the-Week Effects in Business Surveys," CESifo Working Paper Series 10750, CESifo.
- Michael Berlemann & Vera Jahn & Robert Lehmann, 2022.
"Is the German Mittelstand more resistant to crises?,"
Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 59(3), pages 1169-1195, October.
- Michael Berlemann & Vera Jahn & Robert Lehmann, 2020. "Is the German Mittelstand More Resistant to Crises? Empirical Evidence from the Great Recession," CESifo Working Paper Series 8777, CESifo.
- Gourlay, Sydney & Kilic, Talip & Martuscelli, Antonio & Wollburg, Philip & Zezza, Alberto, 2021. "Viewpoint: High-frequency phone surveys on COVID-19: Good practices, open questions," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
- Robert Lehmann, 2023. "READ-GER: Introducing German Real-Time Regional Accounts Data for Revision Analysis and Nowcasting," CESifo Working Paper Series 10315, CESifo.
- Kerstin Bruckmeier & Andreas Peichl & Martin Popp & Jürgen Wiemers & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2021. "Distributional effects of macroeconomic shocks in real-time," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 19(3), pages 459-487, September.
- Robert Lehmann & Lara Zarges, 2024. "What Drives German Trend Output Growth? A Sectoral View," CESifo Working Paper Series 11089, CESifo.
- Robert Lehmann & Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2022. "Gesamtwirtschafliche ifo Kapazitätsauslastungen für die deutschen Bundesländer," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 29(03), pages 19-25, June.
- Shrub, Yuliya & Rieger, Jonas & Müller, Henrik & Jentsch, Carsten, 2022. "Text data rule - don't they? A study on the (additional) information of Handelsblatt data for nowcasting German GDP in comparison to established economic indicators," Ruhr Economic Papers 964, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Ruediger Bachmann & Kai Carstensen & Stefan Lautenbacher & Martin Schneider, 2021.
"Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms' Subjective Beliefs,"
NBER Working Papers
29430, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ruediger Bachmann & Kai Carstensen & Stefan Lautenbacher & Martin Schneider, 2021. "Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms's Subjective Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series 9394, CESifo.
- Demmelhuber Katrin & Sauer Stefan & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2023. "Beyond the Business Climate: Supplementary Questions in the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 243(2), pages 169-182, April.
- Fabian Kruger & Hendrik Plett, 2022. "Prediction intervals for economic fixed-event forecasts," Papers 2210.13562, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.