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Detecting Big Structural Breaks in Large Factor Models

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Bajraj, Gent & Lorca, Jorge & Wlasiuk, Juan M., 2023. "On foreign drivers of emerging markets fluctuations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
  2. Gent Bajraj & Jorge Lorca & Juan M. Wlasiuk, 2022. "On Foreign Drivers of EMEs Fluctuations," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 951, Central Bank of Chile.
  3. Ma, Shujie & Su, Liangjun, 2018. "Estimation of large dimensional factor models with an unknown number of breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 207(1), pages 1-29.
  4. Miranda Gualdrón, Karen Alejandra & Poncela, Pilar & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2021. "Dynamic factor models: does the specification matter?," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 32210, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  5. Massacci, Daniele & Kapetanios, George, 2024. "Forecasting in factor augmented regressions under structural change," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 62-76.
  6. Badi H. Baltagi & Qu Feng & Chihwa Kao, 2019. "Structural changes in heterogeneous panels with endogenous regressors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(6), pages 883-892, September.
  7. Laurent Callot & Johannes Tang Kristensen, 2016. "Regularized Estimation of Structural Instability in Factor Models: The US Macroeconomy and the Great Moderation," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 437-479, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  8. Charles Rahal, 2015. "Housing Market Forecasting with Factor Combinations," Discussion Papers 15-05, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
  9. Barigozzi, Matteo & Massacci, Daniele, 2025. "Modelling large dimensional datasets with Markov switching factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
  10. Kannika Duangnate & James W. Mjelde, 2020. "Prequential forecasting in the presence of structure breaks in natural gas spot markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(5), pages 2363-2384, November.
  11. Jorge Lorca, 2021. "Capital Flows and Emerging Markets Fluctuations," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 898, Central Bank of Chile.
  12. Duan, Jiangtao & Bai, Jushan & Han, Xu, 2023. "Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation of break point in high-dimensional factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 233(1), pages 209-236.
  13. Aslanidis, Nektarios & Hartigan, Luke, 2016. "Is the Assumption of Linearity in Factor Models too Strong in Practice?," Working Papers 2072/261531, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
  14. Han, Xu & Inoue, Atsushi, 2015. "Tests For Parameter Instability In Dynamic Factor Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(5), pages 1117-1152, October.
  15. Su, Liangjun & Wang, Xia, 2017. "On time-varying factor models: Estimation and testing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 198(1), pages 84-101.
  16. Beyhum, Jad & Striaukas, Jonas, 2024. "Testing for sparse idiosyncratic components in factor-augmented regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 244(1).
  17. Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Structural Breaks in Time Series," Papers 1805.03807, arXiv.org.
  18. Francesco Trebbi & Kairong Xiao, 2015. "Regulation and Market Liquidity," NBER Working Papers 21739, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  19. Barbara Rossi, 2021. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 59(4), pages 1135-1190, December.
  20. Chou, Ray Yeutien & Yen, Tso-Jung & Yen, Yu-Min, 2020. "Macroeconomic forecasting using approximate factor models with outliers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 267-291.
  21. Gagliardini, Patrick & Ossola, Elisa & Scaillet, Olivier, 2020. "Estimation of large dimensional conditional factor models in finance," Handbook of Econometrics, in: Steven N. Durlauf & Lars Peter Hansen & James J. Heckman & Rosa L. Matzkin (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 7, chapter 0, pages 219-282, Elsevier.
  22. Xu Cheng & Zhipeng Liao & Frank Schorfheide, 2016. "Shrinkage Estimation of High-Dimensional Factor Models with Structural Instabilities," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 83(4), pages 1511-1543.
  23. Otilia Boldea & Alastair R. Hall, 2025. "Testing for multiple change-points in macroeconometrics: an empirical guide and recent developments," Papers 2507.22204, arXiv.org.
  24. Karen Miranda & Pilar Poncela & Esther Ruiz, 2022. "Dynamic factor models: Does the specification matter?," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 397-428, May.
  25. Peng, Bin & Su, Liangjun & Yan, Yayi, 2025. "A robust residual-based test for structural changes in factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
  26. Baltagi, Badi H. & Kao, Chihwa & Wang, Fa, 2017. "Identification and estimation of a large factor model with structural instability," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 87-100.
  27. Bai, Jushan & Duan, Jiangtao & Han, Xu, 2024. "The likelihood ratio test for structural changes in factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
  28. Fu, Zhonghao & Hong, Yongmiao & Wang, Xia, 2023. "Testing for structural changes in large dimensional factor models via discrete Fourier transform," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 233(1), pages 302-331.
  29. Laura Mayoral & Evi Pappa, 2022. "Introduction to the special issue in honor of Juan Jose Dolado," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, May.
  30. Thomas Despois & Catherine Doz, 2021. "Identifying and interpreting the factors in factor models via sparsity: Different approaches," PSE Working Papers halshs-02235543, HAL.
  31. Wang, Luya & Li, Kunpeng, 2025. "Spatial panel data models with structural change," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
  32. Luke Hartigan & James Morley, 2020. "A Factor Model Analysis of the Australian Economy and the Effects of Inflation Targeting," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 96(314), pages 271-293, September.
  33. Norman R. Swanson & Weiqi Xiong, 2018. "Big data analytics in economics: What have we learned so far, and where should we go from here?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(3), pages 695-746, August.
  34. Massacci, Daniele, 2017. "Least squares estimation of large dimensional threshold factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 101-129.
  35. Jianqing Fan & Yuling Yan & Yuheng Zheng, 2024. "When can weak latent factors be statistically inferred?," Papers 2407.03616, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
  36. Luke Hartigan & James Morley, 2018. "A Factor Model Analysis of the Effects on Inflation Targeting on the Australian Economy," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: John Simon & Maxwell Sutton (ed.),Central Bank Frameworks: Evolution or Revolution?, Reserve Bank of Australia.
  37. Baltagi, Badi H. & Feng, Qu & Kao, Chihwa, 2016. "Estimation of heterogeneous panels with structural breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 176-195.
  38. Ma, Chenchen & Tu, Yundong, 2025. "When structural break meets threshold effect: Factor analysis under structural instabilities," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 249(PB).
  39. Barigozzi, Matteo & Trapani, Lorenzo, 2020. "Sequential testing for structural stability in approximate factor models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(8), pages 5149-5187.
  40. Catherine Doz & Peter Fuleky, 2019. "Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers 2019-4, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
  41. Luke Hartigan, 2015. "Changes in the Factor Structure of the U.S. Economy: Permanent Breaks or Business Cycle Regimes?," Discussion Papers 2015-17, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
  42. Bai, Jushan & Han, Xu & Shi, Yutang, 2020. "Estimation and inference of change points in high-dimensional factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 66-100.
  43. Chen, Liang, 2015. "Estimating the common break date in large factor models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 70-74.
  44. Matteo Barigozzi & Marc Hallin, 2023. "Dynamic Factor Models: a Genealogy," Working Papers ECARES 2023-15, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  45. Chen, Liang, 2012. "Identifying observed factors in approximate factor models: estimation and hypothesis testing," MPRA Paper 37514, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  46. Barigozzi, Matteo & Cho, Haeran & Fryzlewicz, Piotr, 2018. "Simultaneous multiple change-point and factor analysis for high-dimensional time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 206(1), pages 187-225.
  47. Chihwa Kao & Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2012. "Testing for Breaks in Cointegrated Panels," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 135, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
  48. Xialu Liu & John Guerard & Rong Chen & Ruey Tsay, 2024. "Improving Estimation of Portfolio Risk Using New Statistical Factors," Papers 2409.17182, arXiv.org.
  49. Erdenebat Bataa & Denise R.Osborn & Marianne Sensier, 2016. "China's Increasing Global Influence: Changes in International Growth Spillovers," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 221, Economics, The University of Manchester.
  50. Jaeheon Jung, 2019. "Estimating a Large Covariance Matrix in Time-varying Factor Models," Papers 1910.11965, arXiv.org.
  51. Wang, Xia & Jin, Sainan & Li, Yingxing & Qian, Junhui & Su, Liangjun, 2025. "On time-varying panel data models with time-varying interactive fixed effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 249(PB).
  52. Yohei Yamamoto & Naoko Hara, 2022. "Identifying factor‐augmented vector autoregression models via changes in shock variances," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 722-745, June.
  53. Horváth, Lajos & Rice, Gregory, 2019. "Asymptotics for empirical eigenvalue processes in high-dimensional linear factor models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 138-165.
  54. Corradi, Valentina & Swanson, Norman R., 2014. "Testing for structural stability of factor augmented forecasting models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 100-118.
  55. Baltagi, Badi H. & Kao, Chihwa & Wang, Fa, 2021. "Estimating and testing high dimensional factor models with multiple structural changes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 220(2), pages 349-365.
  56. Zhou, Ruichao & Wu, Jianhong, 2023. "Determining the number of change-points in high-dimensional factor models by cross-validation with matrix completion," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
  57. Marek Chudý & Erhard Reschenhofer, 2019. "Macroeconomic Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Adjusted Band Regression," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-14, December.
  58. Lorenzo Trapani, 2014. "Comments on: Extensions of some classical methods in change point analysis," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(2), pages 283-286, June.
  59. Han, Chirok & Kim, Dukpa, 2020. "Testing for the null of block zero restrictions in common factor models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
  60. Thomas Despois & Catherine Doz, 2021. "Identifying and interpreting the factors in factor models via sparsity: Different approaches," Working Papers halshs-02235543, HAL.
  61. Charles Olivier Mao Takongmo & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2015. "Selection Of The Number Of Factors In Presence Of Structural Instability: A Monte Carlo Study," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 91(1-2), pages 177-233.
  62. Mekelburg, Erik & Strauss, Jack, 2024. "Pooling and winsorizing machine learning forecasts to predict stock returns with high-dimensional data," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  63. Yamamoto, Yohei & Tanaka, Shinya, 2015. "Testing for factor loading structural change under common breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(1), pages 187-206.
  64. Li, Degui, 2024. "Estimation of Large Dynamic Covariance Matrices: A Selective Review," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 16-30.
  65. Yuan Liao & Viktor Todorov, 2024. "Changes in the span of systematic risk exposures," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 15(3), pages 817-847, July.
  66. Wang, Lu & Wu, Jianhong, 2022. "Estimation of high-dimensional factor models with multiple structural changes," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  67. Markus Pelger & Ruoxuan Xiong, 2022. "State-Varying Factor Models of Large Dimensions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 1315-1333, June.
  68. Byungsoo Kim & Junmo Song & Changryong Baek, 2021. "Robust test for structural instability in dynamic factor models," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 73(4), pages 821-853, August.
  69. Aslanidis, Nektarios & Hartigan, Luke, 2021. "Is the assumption of constant factor loadings too strong in practice?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 100-108.
  70. Charles Rahal, 2015. "Housing Market Forecasting with Factor Combinations," Discussion Papers 15-05r, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
  71. Xialu Liu & Elynn Y. Chen, 2022. "Identification and estimation of threshold matrix‐variate factor models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 49(3), pages 1383-1417, September.
  72. Cui, Junfeng & Wang, Guanghui & Zou, Changliang & Wang, Zhaojun, 2023. "Change-point testing for parallel data sets with FDR control," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
  73. Xialu Liu & John Guerard & Rong Chen & Ruey Tsay, 2025. "Improving estimation of portfolio risk using new statistical factors," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 346(1), pages 245-261, March.
  74. Su, Liangjun & Jin, Sainan & Wang, Xia, 2025. "Sieve estimation of state-varying factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
  75. Bai, Jushan & Duan, Jiangtao & Han, Xu, 2024. "Reprint of: The likelihood ratio test for structural changes in factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 244(2).
  76. Jushan Bai & Kunpeng Li & Lina Lu, 2016. "Estimation and Inference of FAVAR Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(4), pages 620-641, October.
  77. Ma, Chenchen & Tu, Yundong, 2023. "Shrinkage estimation of multiple threshold factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1876-1892.
  78. Francesco Trebbi & Kairong Xiao, 2019. "Regulation and Market Liquidity," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(5), pages 1949-1968, May.
  79. Xiang, Jingjie, 2025. "How to select the number of factors in break point estimation of high-dimensional factor models?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
  80. Chen, Sanpan & Cui, Guowei & Zhang, Jianhua, 2017. "On testing for structural break of coefficients in factor-augmented regression models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 141-145.
  81. Stock, J.H. & Watson, M.W., 2016. "Dynamic Factor Models, Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressions, and Structural Vector Autoregressions in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 415-525, Elsevier.
  82. Alessandro Morico & Ovidijus Stauskas, 2025. "Robust Tests for Factor-Augmented Regressions with an Application to the novel EA-MD-QD Dataset," Papers 2504.08455, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.
  83. Wang, Hanchao & Peng, Bin & Li, Degui & Leng, Chenlei, 2021. "Nonparametric estimation of large covariance matrices with conditional sparsity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 223(1), pages 53-72.
  84. Diego Fresoli, 2024. "Spanish GDP short-term point and density forecasting using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 145-177, June.
  85. Bennett, Donyetta & Mekelburg, Erik & Strauss, Jack & Williams, T.H., 2024. "Unlocking the black box of sentiment and cryptocurrency: What, which, why, when and how?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  86. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Festus V. Bekun, 2021. "Flexible Time-Varying Betas in a Novel Mixture Innovation Factor Model with Latent Threshold," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-20, April.
  87. Ma, Chenchen & Tu, Yundong, 2023. "Group fused Lasso for large factor models with multiple structural breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 233(1), pages 132-154.
  88. Dante Amengual & Luca Repetto, 2014. "Testing a Large Number of Hypotheses in Approximate Factor Models," Working Papers wp2014_1410, CEMFI.
  89. He, Lingyu & Huang, Fei & Shi, Jianjie & Yang, Yanrong, 2021. "Mortality forecasting using factor models: Time-varying or time-invariant factor loadings?," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 14-34.
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