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The Role of El Niño Southern Oscillation in Commodity Price Movement and Predictability

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Nicolas Legrand, 2023. "War in Ukraine: The rational “wait‐and‐see” mode of global food markets," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 45(2), pages 626-644, June.
  2. María Lucía Martínez Martínez, 2021. "Efectos de precipitaciones en precios de la leche usando modelos con umbrales según la estructura del mercado," Documentos Departamento de Economía 20752, Universidad del Norte.
  3. Andrea Bastianin & Alessandro Lanza & Matteo Manera, 2018. "Economic impacts of El Niño southern oscillation: evidence from the Colombian coffee market," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(5), pages 623-633, September.
  4. Arellano Gonzalez Jesus & Juárez-Torres Miriam & Zazueta Borboa Francisco, 2023. "Temperature shocks and their effect on the price of agricultural products: panel data evidence from vegetables in Mexico," Working Papers 2023-02, Banco de México.
  5. Arellano-Gonzalez, Jesus & Juarez-Torres, Miriam & Zazueta-Borboa, Francisco, 2021. "Temperature shocks and local price changes of agricultural products: panel data evidence from Mexico," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 314060, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  6. Ubilava, David & Valera, Harold Glenn & Pede, Valerien, 2022. "The Rice Market Reaction to El Nino Southern Oscillation Shocks," MPRA Paper 123384, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  7. repec:ags:aaea22:343706 is not listed on IDEAS
  8. Yasuhiro Iwanaga & Ryuta Sakemoto, 2023. "Commodity momentum decomposition," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 198-216, February.
  9. Arellano Gonzalez Jesus & Juárez-Torres Miriam & Zazueta Borboa Francisco, 2023. "Weather Shocks, Prices and Productivity: Evidence from Staples in Mexico," Working Papers 2023-16, Banco de México.
  10. Sabine Liebenehm & Ingmar Schumacher & Eric Strobl, 2024. "Rainfall shocks and risk aversion: Evidence from Southeast Asia," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 106(1), pages 145-176, January.
  11. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Luca Rossini, 2022. "The Role of the Monthly ENSO in Forecasting the Daily Baltic Dry Index," Working Papers 202229, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  12. Goswami, Alankrita & Karali, Berna, 2025. "Effects of growing-season weather on the dynamic price relationships between biofuel feedstocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
  13. Dufrénot, Gilles & Ginn, William & Pourroy, Marc, 2026. "Climate change impacts on commodity price stability through changing ENSO patterns," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
  14. Amadu, Festus O. & Miller, Daniel C. & McNamara, Paul E., 2020. "Agroforestry as a pathway to agricultural yield impacts in climate-smart agriculture investments: Evidence from southern Malawi," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
  15. Amadu, Festus O. & McNamara, Paul E. & Miller, Daniel C., 2020. "Yield effects of climate-smart agriculture aid investment in southern Malawi," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  16. James L. Mitchell & Hunter D. Biram, 2025. "The effects of extreme weather on rural transportation infrastructure and crop prices along the Lower Mississippi River," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 47(3), pages 1139-1161, July.
  17. Mariëtte Geyser & Anmar Pretorius, 2025. "Climate’s Currency: How ENSO Events Shape Maize Pricing Structures Between the United States and South Africa," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-13, March.
  18. Brown, Molly E. & Carr, Edward R. & Grace, Kathryn L. & Wiebe, Keith & Funk, Christopher C. & Attavanich, Witsanu & Backlund, Peter & Buja, Lawrence, 2017. "Do markets and trade help or hurt the global food system adapt to climate change?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 154-159.
  19. Gilles Dufrénot & William Ginn & Marc Pourroy, 2021. "The Effect of ENSO Shocks on Commodity Prices: A Multi-Time Scale Approach," Working Papers halshs-03225070, HAL.
  20. Zhang, Dongna & Dai, Xingyu & Wang, Qunwei & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2023. "Impacts of weather conditions on the US commodity markets systemic interdependence across multi-timescales," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
  21. Quaye, Leonard-Allen A. & Stewart, Shamar L. & Holt, Matthew T., 2024. "Exploring the Dynamics of Commodity Prices and Weather Anomalies using a STAR model," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343706, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  22. Geraldo Costa Junior & Andrea Calef, 2023. "Precipitation events and local corn prices: evidence from Brazil," University of East Anglia School of Economics Working Paper Series 2023-04, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
  23. Guo, Kun & Li, Yichong & Zhang, Yunhan & Ji, Qiang & Zhao, Wanli, 2023. "How are climate risk shocks connected to agricultural markets?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
  24. Nelson B. Villoria, 2026. "Trade frictions and domestic food price stability in the presence of large‐scale climate shocks," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 108(1), pages 285-308, January.
  25. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  26. Ventosa-Santaulària, Daniel & Tapia, Edwin & Pérez-Peña, Anna Karina, 2024. "Inflation dynamics under different weather regimes: Evidence from Mexico," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
  27. Pham, Linh & Kamal, Javed Bin, 2024. "Blessings or curse: How do media climate change concerns affect commodity tail risk spillovers?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
  28. Matteo Bonato & Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "El Niño, La Niña, and forecastability of the realized variance of agricultural commodity prices: Evidence from a machine learning approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 785-801, July.
  29. David Ubilava, 2022. "A comparison of multistep commodity price forecasts using direct and iterated smooth transition autoregressive methods," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(5), pages 687-701, September.
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