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Corn and Soybean Basis Behavior and Forecasting: Fundamental and Alternative Approaches

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Prilly Oktoviany & Robert Knobloch & Ralf Korn, 2021. "A machine learning-based price state prediction model for agricultural commodities using external factors," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 1063-1085, December.
  2. Lee, Yoonsuk & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2012. "Impacts of Permanent and Transitory Shocks on Optimal Length of Moving Average to Predict Wheat Basis," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 125001, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  3. Sanders, Dwight R. & Manfredo, Mark R., 2006. "Forecasting Basis Levels in the Soybean Complex: A Comparison of Time Series Methods," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 38(3), pages 513-523, December.
  4. Hoffman, Linwood A. & Beachler, Michael, 2001. "Evaluating The Use Of Futures Prices To Forecast The Farm Level U.S. Corn Price," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20612, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  5. Kastens, Terry L. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C., 1998. "Post-harvest Grain Marketing with Efficient Futures," 1981-1999 Conference Archive 285731, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  6. Onel, Gulcan & Karali, Berna, 2014. "Relative Performance of Semi-Parametric Nonlinear Models in Forecasting Basis," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 169795, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  7. Mattos, Fabio & Silveira, Rodrigo L. F., 2015. "The Effects of Brazilian Second (Winter) Corn Crop on Price Seasonality, Basis Behavior and Integration to International Market," 2015 Conference, April 20-21, 2015, St. Louis, Missouri 285840, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  8. Hyunseok Kim & GianCarlo Moschini, 2018. "The Dynamics of Supply: U.S. Corn and Soybeans in the Biofuel Era," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 94(4), pages 593-613.
  9. Sanders, Daniel J. & Baker, Timothy G., 2012. "Forecasting Corn and Soybean Basis Using Regime-Switching Models," 2012 Conference, April 16-17, 2012, St. Louis, Missouri 285765, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  10. Bullock, David W. & Wilson, William W. & Lakkakula, Prithviraj, 2020. "Short-Term Dynamics and Structural Changes in the United States and Brazil Soybean Basis: Seasonality, Volatility, Structural Breaks and Information Flows," 2020 Conference, St. Louis, Missouri 309641, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  11. Dhuyvetter, Kevin C. & Kastens, Terry L., 1998. "Forecasting Crop Basis: Practical Alternatives," 1981-1999 Conference Archive 285711, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  12. Song, Wenxing & Fortenbery, T. Randall, 2017. "Forecasting Hard Red Winter and Soft White Wheat Basis in Washington State," 2017 Conference, April 24-25, 2017, St. Louis, Missouri 285875, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  13. Anton Bekkerman & Mykel Taylor, 2020. "The Role of Spatial Density and Technological Investment on Optimal Pricing Strategies in the Grain Handling Industry," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 57(1), pages 27-58, August.
  14. Kastens, Terry L. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin, 1999. "Post-Harvest Grain Storing and Hedging with Efficient Futures," 1981-1999 Conference Archive 285761, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  15. Mohammad Hasan Mobarok & Wyatt Thompson & Theodoros Skevas, 2024. "Sensitivity of the United States crop basis and distribution network to precipitation," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 908-925, October.
  16. Bekkerman, Anton & Pelletier, Denis, 2009. "Basis Volatilities of Corn and Soybean in Spatially Separated Markets: The Effect of Ethanol Demand," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 49281, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  17. Welch, J. Mark & Mkrtchyan, Vardan & Power, Gabriel J., 2009. "Predicting the Corn Basis in the Texas Triangle Area," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 27(01-2), pages 1-15.
  18. Adjemian, Michael K. & Kuethe, Todd & Breneman, Vince, 2011. "A Spatial Approach to Estimating Factors that Influence the Corn Basis," 2011 Conference, April 18-19, 2011, St. Louis, Missouri 285339, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  19. Kim, Sanghyo & Zulauf, Carl & Roberts, Matthew, 2015. "Forecasting Returns to Storage: The Role of Factors other than the Basis Strategy," 2015 Conference, April 20-21, 2015, St. Louis, Missouri 285828, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  20. Renyuan Shao & Brian Roe, 2003. "The design and pricing of fixed‐ and moving‐window contracts: An application of Asian‐Basket option pricing methods to the hog‐finishing sector," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(11), pages 1047-1073, November.
  21. Bullock, Shaina S. & Bullock, David W. & Wilson, William W., 2023. "Short-Term Factors Influencing Corn Export Basis Values in the Pre- and Post-COVID Periods: A Comparison of Econometric and Machine Learning Approaches," 2023 Conference, April 24-25, 2023, St. Louis, Missouri 379019, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  22. Tonsor, Glynn T. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C. & Mintert, James R., 2004. "Improving Cattle Basis Forecasting," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(2), pages 1-14, August.
  23. William W. Wilson & Dragan Miljkovic, 2013. "Dynamic Interrelationships in Hard Wheat Basis Markets," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 61(3), pages 397-416, September.
  24. Zhang, Rui (Carolyn) & Houston, Jack E., 2005. "Effects of Price Volatility and Surging South American Soybean Production on Short-run Soybean Basis Dynamics," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19038, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  25. Payne, Nicholas & Karali, Berna, 2015. "Can Cattle Basis Forecasts Be Improved? A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," 2015 Conference, April 20-21, 2015, St. Louis, Missouri 285826, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  26. Kim, Sanghyo & Zulauf, Carl, 2014. "Return and Risk Performance of Basis Strategy: A Case Study of Illinois Corn and Soybeans, 1975-2012 Crop Years," 2014 Conference, April 21-22, 2014, St. Louis, Missouri 285816, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  27. Flores, Ivan & Janzen, Joseph, 2023. "Physical and Economic Distance in US Soybean Markets," 2023 Conference, April 24-25, 2023, St. Louis, Missouri 379024, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  28. Kastens, Terry L. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C., 1999. "Post-Harvest Grain Storing And Hedging With Efficient Futures," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 1-24, December.
  29. Bekkerman, Anton & Taylor, Mykel, 2015. "A Bayesian Learning Approach to Estimating Unbalanced Spatial Panel Models," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205507, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
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