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Volatility forecasting: The role of lunch-break returns, overnight returns, trading volume and leverage effects

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Yi-Hsuan Chen, Cathy & Fengler, Matthias & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Liu, Yanchu, 2018. "Textual Sentiment, Option Characteristics, and Stock Return Predictability," Economics Working Paper Series 1808, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
  2. Tian, Fengping & Yang, Ke & Chen, Langnan, 2017. "Realized volatility forecasting of agricultural commodity futures using the HAR model with time-varying sparsity," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 132-152.
  3. Chen, Cathy Yi-Hsuan & Fengler, Matthias R. & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Liu, Yanchu, 2022. "Media-expressed tone, option characteristics, and stock return predictability," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  4. Dimos Kambouroudis & David McMillan & Katerina Tsakou, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Volatility: The role of implied volatility, leverage effect, overnight returns and volatility of realized volatility," Working Papers 2019-03, Swansea University, School of Management.
  5. Chu, Xiaojun & Gu, Zherong & Zhou, Haigang, 2019. "Intraday momentum and reversal in Chinese stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 83-88.
  6. Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin, 2018. "Structural breaks and volatility forecasting in the copper futures market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 290-339, March.
  7. Zhu, Xuehong & Zhang, Hongwei & Zhong, Meirui, 2017. "Volatility forecasting using high frequency data: The role of after-hours information and leverage effects," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 58-70.
  8. Jing Hao & Feng He & Feng Ma & Tong Fu, 2023. "Trading around the clock: Revisit volatility spillover between crude oil and equity markets in different trading sessions," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 771-791, June.
  9. Dimos S. Kambouroudis & David G. McMillan & Katerina Tsakou, 2021. "Forecasting realized volatility: The role of implied volatility, leverage effect, overnight returns, and volatility of realized volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(10), pages 1618-1639, October.
  10. Yu, Miao & Song, Jinguo, 2018. "Volatility forecasting: Global economic policy uncertainty and regime switching," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 511(C), pages 316-323.
  11. Feng Ma & M. I. M. Wahab & Julien Chevallier & Ziyang Li, 2023. "A tug of war of forecasting the US stock market volatility: Oil futures overnight versus intraday information," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 60-75, January.
  12. Fei, Tianlun & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2021. "Herding and market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  13. Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2019. "Modeling stock market volatility using new HAR-type models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 516(C), pages 194-211.
  14. Jiqian Wang & Feng Ma & Chao Liang & Zhonglu Chen, 2022. "Volatility forecasting revisited using Markov‐switching with time‐varying probability transition," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1387-1400, January.
  15. Liu, Zhicao & Ye, Yong & Ma, Feng & Liu, Jing, 2017. "Can economic policy uncertainty help to forecast the volatility: A multifractal perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 181-188.
  16. Tianlun Fei & Xiaoquan Liu & Conghua Wen, 2023. "Forecasting stock return volatility: Realized volatility‐type or duration‐based estimators," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1594-1621, November.
  17. Fei, Tianlun & Liu, Xiaoquan & Wen, Conghua, 2019. "Cross-sectional return dispersion and volatility prediction," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  18. Meng, Xiaochun & Taylor, James W., 2018. "An approximate long-memory range-based approach for value at risk estimation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 377-388.
  19. Jayawardena, Nirodha I. & Todorova, Neda & Li, Bin & Su, Jen-Je, 2020. "Volatility forecasting using related markets’ information for the Tokyo stock exchange," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 143-158.
  20. Klein, Tony & Todorova, Neda, 2021. "Night trading with futures in China: The case of Aluminum and Copper," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  21. Yu Wei & Lan Bai & Kun Yang & Guiwu Wei, 2021. "Are industry‐level indicators more helpful to forecast industrial stock volatility? Evidence from Chinese manufacturing purchasing managers index," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 17-39, January.
  22. Jordan, Steven J. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Forecasting market returns: bagging or combining?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 102-120.
  23. Vladimir Pyrlik & Pavel Elizarov & Aleksandra Leonova, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility Using Machine Learning and Mixed-Frequency Data (the Case of the Russian Stock Market)," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp713, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
  24. Liang, Chao & Li, Yan & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu, 2021. "Global equity market volatilities forecasting: A comparison of leverage effects, jumps, and overnight information," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  25. Dinesh Gajurel & Biplob Chowdhury, 2021. "Realized Volatility, Jump and Beta: evidence from Canadian Stock Market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(55), pages 6376-6397, November.
  26. Zhang, Heng-Guo & Su, Chi-Wei & Song, Yan & Qiu, Shuqi & Xiao, Ran & Su, Fei, 2017. "Calculating Value-at-Risk for high-dimensional time series using a nonlinear random mapping model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 355-367.
  27. Min Liu & Wei‐Chong Choo & Chi‐Chuan Lee & Chien‐Chiang Lee, 2023. "Trading volume and realized volatility forecasting: Evidence from the China stock market," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 76-100, January.
  28. Xuan Yao & Xiaofeng Hui & Kaican Kang, 2021. "Can night trading sessions improve forecasting performance of gold futures' volatility in China?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 849-860, August.
  29. Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin, 2022. "Predicting the volatility of crude oil futures: The roles of leverage effects and structural changes," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 610-640, January.
  30. Pan, Qunxing & Mei, Xiaowen & Gao, Tianqing, 2022. "Modeling dynamic conditional correlations with leverage effects and volatility spillover effects: Evidence from the Chinese and US stock markets affected by the recent trade friction," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  31. Chu, Xiaojun & Wan, Xinmin & Qiu, Jianying, 2023. "The relative importance of overnight sentiment versus trading-hour sentiment in volatility forecasting," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
  32. Jiawen Luo & Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Forecasting Multivariate Volatilities with Exogenous Predictors: An Application to Industry Diversification Strategies," Working Papers 202258, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  33. Ma, Feng & Wahab, M.I.M. & Huang, Dengshi & Xu, Weiju, 2017. "Forecasting the realized volatility of the oil futures market: A regime switching approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 136-145.
  34. Newaz, Mohammad Khaleq & Park, Jin Suk, 2019. "The impact of trade intensity and Market characteristics on asymmetric volatility, spillovers and asymmetric spillovers: Evidence from the response of international stock markets to US shocks," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 79-94.
  35. Wang, Jiqian & Huang, Yisu & Ma, Feng & Chevallier, Julien, 2020. "Does high-frequency crude oil futures data contain useful information for predicting volatility in the US stock market? New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  36. Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie & Huang, Dengshi & Lai, Xiaodong, 2018. "Forecasting oil futures price volatility: New evidence from realized range-based volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 400-409.
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