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The relationship between Bitcoin returns and trade policy uncertainty

Citations

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  1. Matkovskyy, Roman & Jalan, Akanksha & Dowling, Michael, 2020. "Effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks on the interdependence between Bitcoin and traditional financial markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 150-155.
  2. Assaf, Ata & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between uncertainty and energy markets: Do investor sentiments matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  3. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Risk transmissions between bitcoin and traditional financial assets during the COVID-19 era: The role of global uncertainties," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  4. Singh, Sanjeet & Bansal, Pooja & Bhardwaj, Nav, 2022. "Correlation between geopolitical risk, economic policy uncertainty, and Bitcoin using partial and multiple wavelet coherence in P5 + 1 nations," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
  5. Hau, Liya & Zhu, Huiming & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sun, Wuqin, 2021. "Does transaction activity predict Bitcoin returns? Evidence from quantile-on-quantile analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
  6. Kreuzer, Christian & Laschinger, Ralf & Priberny, Christopher & Benninghoff, Sven, 2024. "Cryptocurrencies as a vehicle for capital exodus: Evidence from the Russian–Ukrainian crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
  7. Aharon, David Y. & Demir, Ender & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Zaremba, Adam, 2022. "Twitter-Based uncertainty and cryptocurrency returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  8. Maher Abida & Emna Mnif, 2023. "Investor Attention in Cryptocurrency Markets: Examining the Effects of Vaccination and COVID-19 Spread through a Wavelet Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 43-51, September.
  9. Wu, Wanshan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gozgor, Giray & Leping, Huang, 2021. "Does economic policy uncertainty affect cryptocurrency markets? Evidence from Twitter-based uncertainty measures," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  10. Papadamou, Stephanos & Kyriazis, Nikolaos A. & Tzeremes, Panayiotis G., 2021. "Non-linear causal linkages of EPU and gold with major cryptocurrencies during bull and bear markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
  11. Demir, Ender & Simonyan, Serdar & García-Gómez, Conrado-Diego & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2021. "The asymmetric effect of bitcoin on altcoins: evidence from the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
  12. Sinem Guler Kangalli Uyar & Umut Uyar & Emrah Balkan, 2024. "Fundamental predictors of price bubbles in precious metals: a machine learning analysis," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 37(1), pages 65-87, March.
  13. Jiang, Yonghong & Wu, Lanxin & Tian, Gengyu & Nie, He, 2021. "Do cryptocurrencies hedge against EPU and the equity market volatility during COVID-19? – New evidence from quantile coherency analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  14. Chengying He & Yong Li & Tianqi Wang & Salman Ali Shah, 2024. "Is cryptocurrency a hedging tool during economic policy uncertainty? An empirical investigation," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
  15. Khalid Khan & Jiluo Sun & Sinem Derindere Koseoglu & Ashfaq U. Rehman, 2021. "Revisiting Bitcoin Price Behavior Under Global Economic Uncertainty," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, August.
  16. Emon Kalyan Chowdhury & Mohammad Nayeem Abdullah, 2024. "Gauging Demand for Cryptocurrency over the Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(1), pages 37-55, July.
  17. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "Trade Policy Uncertainty Effects on Macro Economy and Financial Markets: An Integrated Survey and Empirical Investigation," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-20, January.
  18. Achraf Ghorbel & Wajdi Frikha & Yasmine Snene Manzli, 2022. "Testing for asymmetric non-linear short- and long-run relationships between crypto-currencies and stock markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 387-425, September.
  19. Bazán-Palomino, Walter, 2021. "How are Bitcoin forks related to Bitcoin?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
  20. Hung, Jui-Cheng & Liu, Hung-Chun & Jimmy Yang, J., 2024. "The economic value of Bitcoin: A volatility timing perspective with portfolio rebalancing," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  21. Mustafa Tevfik Kartal & Mustafa Kevser & Fatih Ayhan, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of global factors on return of cryptocurrencies by novel nonlinear quantile approaches," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1515-1535, June.
  22. Peter Albrecht & Evžen Kočenda, 2025. "Event-Driven Changes in Return Connectedness Among Cryptocurrencies," CESifo Working Paper Series 11658, CESifo.
  23. Qiao, Xingzhi & Zhu, Huiming & Hau, Liya, 2020. "Time-frequency co-movement of cryptocurrency return and volatility: Evidence from wavelet coherence analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  24. Das, Debojyoti & Le Roux, Corlise Liesl & Jana, R.K. & Dutta, Anupam, 2020. "Does Bitcoin hedge crude oil implied volatility and structural shocks? A comparison with gold, commodity and the US Dollar," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
  25. Zhou, Zhongbao & Fu, Zhangyan & Jiang, Yong & Zeng, Ximei & Lin, Ling, 2020. "Can economic policy uncertainty predict exchange rate volatility? New evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
  26. Fang, Tong & Su, Zhi & Yin, Libo, 2020. "Economic fundamentals or investor perceptions? The role of uncertainty in predicting long-term cryptocurrency volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  27. Lei Wang & Provash Kumer Sarker & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Short- and Long-Term Interactions Between Bitcoin and Economic Variables: Evidence from the US," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1305-1330, April.
  28. Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Assaf, Ata & Mokni, Khaled, 2023. "Does economic policy uncertainty drive the dynamic spillover among traditional currencies and cryptocurrencies? The role of the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  29. Chowdhury, Md Shahedur R. & Damianov, Damian S., 2024. "Uncertainty and bubbles in cryptocurrencies: Evidence from newly developed uncertainty indices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  30. Abdollah Ah Mand, 2025. "Cryptocurrency returns and cryptocurrency uncertainty: a time–frequency analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-29, December.
  31. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Batten, Jonathan A. & Gozgor, Giray & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Nanaeva, Zhamal, 2023. "Twitter matters for metaverse stocks amid economic uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
  32. Vasilios Plakandaras & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Forecasting Bitcoin Returns: Is there a Role for the U.S. – China Trade War?," Working Papers 201980, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  33. Aloui, Chaker & Hamida, Hela ben & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2021. "Are Islamic gold-backed cryptocurrencies different?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
  34. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chen, Mei-Ping, 2021. "The effects of investor attention and policy uncertainties on cross-border country exchange-traded fund returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 830-852.
  35. Jin, Daxiang & Yu, Jize, 2023. "Predicting cryptocurrency market volatility: Novel evidence from climate policy uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
  36. Jinghua Wang & Geoffrey M. Ngene & Yan Shi & Ann Nduati Mungai, 2023. "An Investigation of the Predictability of Uncertainty Indices on Bitcoin Returns," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-12, October.
  37. Peng‐Fei Dai & John W. Goodell & Luu Duc Toan Huynh & Zhifeng Liu & Shaen Corbet, 2023. "Understanding the transmission of crash risk between cryptocurrency and equity markets," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 58(3), pages 539-573, August.
  38. Ben Nouir, Jihed & Ben Haj Hamida, Hayet, 2023. "How do economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk drive Bitcoin volatility?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  39. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Trade uncertainties and the hedging abilities of Bitcoin," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 49(3), September.
  40. Giménez Roche, Gabriel A. & Noël, Antoine & Sauce, Loïc, 2025. "Bitcoin trade volume in decentralized markets: International evidence," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
  41. Shen, Dehua & Wu, Yize, 2025. "The role of Guru investor in Bitcoin: Evidence from Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  42. Ren, Xiaohang & Wang, Rui & Duan, Kun & Chen, Jinyu, 2022. "Dynamics of the sheltering role of Bitcoin against crude oil market crash with varying severity of the COVID-19: A comparison with gold," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  43. Tamilselvan, M. & Halder, Abhishek & Kannadhasan, M., 2024. "Exploring the ingredients, mixtures, and inclinations of geopolitical risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 187-206.
  44. Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "When, where, and how economic policy uncertainty predicts Bitcoin returns and volatility? A quantiles-based analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 65-73.
  45. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin: The Role of the Trade War," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 29-53, January.
  46. Chikashi Tsuji, 2025. "The risk–return trade-off of Bitcoin: Evidence from regime-switching analysis," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 1-25, December.
  47. Tayyaba Ahsan & Krystian Zawadzki & Mubashir Khan, 2024. "Cryptocurrencies as a Speculative Asset: How Much Uncertainty is Included in Cryptocurrency Price?," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(2), pages 21582440241, June.
  48. Kyriazis, Nikolaos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Tzeremes, Panayiotis & Corbet, Shaen, 2023. "The differential influence of social media sentiment on cryptocurrency returns and volatility during COVID-19," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 307-317.
  49. Ahmed H. Elsayed & Giray Gozgor & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2022. "Causality and dynamic spillovers among cryptocurrencies and currency markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2026-2040, April.
  50. Wang, Qingyu & Huang, Qing & Wu, Xiangfang & Tan, Jin & Sun, Panxu, 2023. "Categorical uncertainty in policy and bitcoin volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
  51. Simran, & Sharma, Anil Kumar, 2023. "Asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty on cryptocurrency market: Evidence from NARDL approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
  52. Karabulut, Gokhan & Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin & Doker, Asli Cansin, 2020. "The relationship between commodity prices and world trade uncertainty," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 276-281.
  53. Chien-Chiang Lee & Farzan Yahya, 2024. "Have Dynamic Spillovers and the Connectedness of Trade Policy Uncertainty Changed During the COVID-19 Pandemic and Sino-US Trade Frictions?," Working Papers DP-2023-35, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
  54. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Gozgor, Giray & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2022. "Volatility and return connectedness of cryptocurrency, gold, and uncertainty: Evidence from the cryptocurrency uncertainty indices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
  55. Colon, Francisco & Kim, Chaehyun & Kim, Hana & Kim, Wonjoon, 2021. "The effect of political and economic uncertainty on the cryptocurrency market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
  56. Khaled Mokni & Elie Bouri & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2021. "Does Bitcoin Hedge Categorical Economic Uncertainty? A Quantile Analysis," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, May.
  57. Hodula, Martin, 2025. "Retail crypto investors when facing financial constraints: Evidence from energy shocks and the use and downloads of crypto trading apps," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  58. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2022. "Robust drivers of Bitcoin price movements: An extreme bounds analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  59. Yaman Omer Erzurumlu & Tunc Oygur & Alper Kirik, 2020. "One size does not fit all: external driver of the cryptocurrency world," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 37(3), pages 545-560, June.
  60. Ngo Thai Hung & Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Muhammad Ali Nasir, 2024. "Cryptocurrencies in an uncertain world: Comprehensive insights from a wide range of uncertainty indices," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 3811-3825, July.
  61. Aiman Hairudin & Imtiaz Mohammad Sifat & Azhar Mohamad & Yusniliyana Yusof, 2022. "Cryptocurrencies: A survey on acceptance, governance and market dynamics," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4633-4659, October.
  62. Baş Tuğba & Özaydın Orhan & Dura Yahya Can, 2023. "Does Bitcoin Affect Term Deposits? Evidence from MINT Countries," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-13.
  63. Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Assaf, Ata & Mokni, Khaled, 2022. "When bitcoin lost its position: Cryptocurrency uncertainty and the dynamic spillover among cryptocurrencies before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
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