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Probabilistic individual load forecasting using pinball loss guided LSTM

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Jonathan Roth & Jayashree Chadalawada & Rishee K. Jain & Clayton Miller, 2021. "Uncertainty Matters: Bayesian Probabilistic Forecasting for Residential Smart Meter Prediction, Segmentation, and Behavioral Measurement and Verification," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-22, March.
  2. Cao, Chaojin & He, Yaoyao & Yang, Xiaodong, 2025. "Online decoupling feature framework for optimal probabilistic load forecasting in concept drift environments," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 392(C).
  3. Sel, Burakhan & Minner, Stefan, 2022. "A hedging policy for seaborne forward freight markets based on probabilistic forecasts," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
  4. Kim, Minsoo & Park, Taeseop & Jeong, Jaeik & Kim, Hongseok, 2023. "Stochastic optimization of home energy management system using clustered quantile scenario reduction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 349(C).
  5. Zhu, Shibo & Shi, Xiaodan & Zhao, Huan & Chen, Yuntian & Zhang, Haoran & Song, Xuan & Wu, Tianhao & Yan, Jinyue, 2025. "Personalized federated learning for household electricity load prediction with imbalanced historical data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 384(C).
  6. Chen, Zhengganzhe & Zhang, Bin & Du, Chenglong & Meng, Wei & Meng, Anbo, 2024. "A novel dynamic spatio-temporal graph convolutional network for wind speed interval prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
  7. Sun, Fangyuan & Kong, Xiangyu & Wu, Jianzhong & Gao, Bixuan & Chen, Ke & Lu, Ning, 2022. "DSM pricing method based on A3C and LSTM under cloud-edge environment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 315(C).
  8. Bilgili, Mehmet & Pinar, Engin, 2023. "Gross electricity consumption forecasting using LSTM and SARIMA approaches: A case study of Türkiye," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
  9. Kang-Min Koo & Kuk-Heon Han & Kyung-Soo Jun & Gyumin Lee & Jung-Sik Kim & Kyung-Taek Yum, 2021. "Performance Assessment for Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting Models on Distinctive Water Uses in Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-18, May.
  10. Imani, Maryam & Ghassemian, Hassan, 2019. "Residential load forecasting using wavelet and collaborative representation transforms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
  11. Thangjam Aditya & Sanjita Jaipuria & Pradeep Kumar Dadabada, 2025. "A Review of Methods for Long‐Term Electric Load Forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 1403-1423, July.
  12. Pavlos Nikolaidis & Harris Partaourides, 2021. "A Model Predictive Control for the Dynamical Forecast of Operating Reserves in Frequency Regulation Services," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-14, March.
  13. Batalla-Bejerano, Joan & Trujillo-Baute, Elisa & Villa-Arrieta, Manuel, 2020. "Smart meters and consumer behaviour: Insights from the empirical literature," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  14. Lemos-Vinasco, Julian & Bacher, Peder & Møller, Jan Kloppenborg, 2021. "Probabilistic load forecasting considering temporal correlation: Online models for the prediction of households’ electrical load," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
  15. Zang, Haixiang & Xu, Ruiqi & Cheng, Lilin & Ding, Tao & Liu, Ling & Wei, Zhinong & Sun, Guoqiang, 2021. "Residential load forecasting based on LSTM fusing self-attention mechanism with pooling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
  16. Botman, Lola & Lago, Jesus & Becker, Thijs & Vanthournout, Koen & Moor, Bart De, 2025. "A global probabilistic approach for short-term forecasting of individual households electricity consumption," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 382(C).
  17. Chenqing Shen & Huayou Chen, 2025. "Common Mutual Information Selection Algorithm and Its Application on Combination Forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 1326-1346, July.
  18. Zheng, Zhuang & Sun, Zhankun & Pan, Jia & Luo, Xiaowei, 2021. "An integrated smart home energy management model based on a pyramid taxonomy for residential houses with photovoltaic-battery systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
  19. Georgios Tsoumplekas & Christos Athanasiadis & Dimitrios I. Doukas & Antonios Chrysopoulos & Pericles Mitkas, 2025. "Few-Shot Load Forecasting Under Data Scarcity in Smart Grids: A Meta-Learning Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(3), pages 1-23, February.
  20. Lork, Clement & Li, Wen-Tai & Qin, Yan & Zhou, Yuren & Yuen, Chau & Tushar, Wayes & Saha, Tapan K., 2020. "An uncertainty-aware deep reinforcement learning framework for residential air conditioning energy management," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
  21. Xue-Bo Jin & Wei-Zhen Zheng & Jian-Lei Kong & Xiao-Yi Wang & Yu-Ting Bai & Ting-Li Su & Seng Lin, 2021. "Deep-Learning Forecasting Method for Electric Power Load via Attention-Based Encoder-Decoder with Bayesian Optimization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-18, March.
  22. Saima Akhtar & Sulman Shahzad & Asad Zaheer & Hafiz Sami Ullah & Heybet Kilic & Radomir Gono & Michał Jasiński & Zbigniew Leonowicz, 2023. "Short-Term Load Forecasting Models: A Review of Challenges, Progress, and the Road Ahead," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-29, May.
  23. Li, Yiyan & Zhang, Si & Hu, Rongxing & Lu, Ning, 2021. "A meta-learning based distribution system load forecasting model selection framework," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
  24. Wang, Qianggang & Zhou, Yiyao & Fan, Bingxin & Liao, Jianquan & Huang, Tao & Zhang, Xuefei & Zou, Yao & Zhou, Niancheng, 2025. "Hierarchical optimal operation for bipolar DC distribution networks with remote residential communities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 378(PA).
  25. Sanlei Dang & Long Peng & Jingming Zhao & Jiajie Li & Zhengmin Kong, 2022. "A Quantile Regression Random Forest-Based Short-Term Load Probabilistic Forecasting Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-20, January.
  26. Xu, Lei & Wang, Shengwei & Tang, Rui, 2019. "Probabilistic load forecasting for buildings considering weather forecasting uncertainty and uncertain peak load," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 180-195.
  27. Aslam, Sheraz & Herodotou, Herodotos & Mohsin, Syed Muhammad & Javaid, Nadeem & Ashraf, Nouman & Aslam, Shahzad, 2021. "A survey on deep learning methods for power load and renewable energy forecasting in smart microgrids," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  28. Liu, Mingping & Wang, Jialong & Deng, Suhui & Zhong, Chunxiao & Wang, Yuhao, 2025. "Short-term load probabilistic forecasting based on non-equidistant monotone composite quantile regression and improved MICN," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 320(C).
  29. Fanidhar Dewangan & Almoataz Y. Abdelaziz & Monalisa Biswal, 2023. "Load Forecasting Models in Smart Grid Using Smart Meter Information: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-55, January.
  30. Cheng, Haoyuan & Lu, Tianguang & Hao, Ran & Li, Jiamei & Ai, Qian, 2024. "Incentive-based demand response optimization method based on federated learning with a focus on user privacy protection," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
  31. Morais, Lucas Barros Scianni & Aquila, Giancarlo & de Faria, Victor Augusto Durães & Lima, Luana Medeiros Marangon & Lima, José Wanderley Marangon & de Queiroz, Anderson Rodrigo, 2023. "Short-term load forecasting using neural networks and global climate models: An application to a large-scale electrical power system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 348(C).
  32. Wang, Shaomin & Wang, Shouxiang & Chen, Haiwen & Gu, Qiang, 2020. "Multi-energy load forecasting for regional integrated energy systems considering temporal dynamic and coupling characteristics," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
  33. Lu, Shixiang & Xu, Qifa & Jiang, Cuixia & Liu, Yezheng & Kusiak, Andrew, 2022. "Probabilistic load forecasting with a non-crossing sparse-group Lasso-quantile regression deep neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
  34. Roth, Jonathan & Martin, Amory & Miller, Clayton & Jain, Rishee K., 2020. "SynCity: Using open data to create a synthetic city of hourly building energy estimates by integrating data-driven and physics-based methods," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
  35. Rongheng Lin & Shuo Chen & Zheyu He & Budan Wu & Hua Zou & Xin Zhao & Qiushuang Li, 2024. "Electricity Behavior Modeling and Anomaly Detection Services Based on a Deep Variational Autoencoder Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-20, August.
  36. Jiang, He & Dong, Yawei & Dong, Yao & Wang, Jianzhou, 2024. "Power load forecasting based on spatial–temporal fusion graph convolution network," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
  37. Wang, Jianguo & Han, Lincheng & Zhang, Xiuyu & Wang, Yingzhou & Zhang, Shude, 2023. "Electrical load forecasting based on variable T-distribution and dual attention mechanism," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
  38. Meisenbacher, Stefan & Phipps, Kaleb & Taubert, Oskar & Weiel, Marie & Götz, Markus & Mikut, Ralf & Hagenmeyer, Veit, 2025. "AutoPQ: Automating quantile estimation from point forecasts in the context of sustainability," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 392(C).
  39. Brusaferri, Alessandro & Matteucci, Matteo & Spinelli, Stefano & Vitali, Andrea, 2022. "Probabilistic electric load forecasting through Bayesian Mixture Density Networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 309(C).
  40. Diogo M. F. Izidio & Paulo S. G. de Mattos Neto & Luciano Barbosa & João F. L. de Oliveira & Manoel Henrique da Nóbrega Marinho & Guilherme Ferretti Rissi, 2021. "Evolutionary Hybrid System for Energy Consumption Forecasting for Smart Meters," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-19, March.
  41. Ghimire, Sujan & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Casillas-Pérez, David & Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho & Acharya, Rajendra & Dinh, Toan, 2025. "Electricity demand uncertainty modeling with Temporal Convolution Neural Network models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
  42. Sharma, Abhishek & Jain, Sachin Kumar, 2022. "A novel seasonal segmentation approach for day-ahead load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
  43. Zhuolin Wu & Jiaqi Zhou & Xiaobing Yu, 2025. "Forecast Natural Gas Price by an Extreme Learning Machine Framework Based on Multi-Strategy Grey Wolf Optimizer and Signal Decomposition," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(12), pages 1-37, June.
  44. Wang, Xiaorong & Zhou, Yangze, 2025. "Privacy-preserving probabilistic wind power forecasting: An adaptive federated approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 396(C).
  45. Teng, Sin Yong & Máša, Vítězslav & Touš, Michal & Vondra, Marek & Lam, Hon Loong & Stehlík, Petr, 2022. "Waste-to-energy forecasting and real-time optimization: An anomaly-aware approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 142-155.
  46. Wang, Yun & Xu, Houhua & Zou, Runmin & Zhang, Fan & Hu, Qinghua, 2024. "Dynamic non-constraint ensemble model for probabilistic wind power and wind speed forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
  47. Benalcazar, Pablo & Kalka, Maciej & Kamiński, Jacek, 2024. "From consumer to prosumer: A model-based analysis of costs and benefits of grid-connected residential PV-battery systems," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
  48. Mingliang Bai & Jinfu Liu & Yujia Ma & Xinyu Zhao & Zhenhua Long & Daren Yu, 2020. "Long Short-Term Memory Network-Based Normal Pattern Group for Fault Detection of Three-Shaft Marine Gas Turbine," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-22, December.
  49. He, Yaoyao & Cao, Chaojin & Wang, Shuo & Fu, Hong, 2022. "Nonparametric probabilistic load forecasting based on quantile combination in electrical power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
  50. Andrés M. Alonso & Francisco J. Nogales & Carlos Ruiz, 2020. "A Single Scalable LSTM Model for Short-Term Forecasting of Massive Electricity Time Series," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-19, October.
  51. Yu, Binbin & Li, Jianjing & Liu, Che & Sun, Bo, 2022. "A novel short-term electrical load forecasting framework with intelligent feature engineering," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
  52. Qiu, Dawei & Dong, Zihang & Zhang, Xi & Wang, Yi & Strbac, Goran, 2022. "Safe reinforcement learning for real-time automatic control in a smart energy-hub," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 309(C).
  53. Seok-Jun Bu & Sung-Bae Cho, 2020. "Time Series Forecasting with Multi-Headed Attention-Based Deep Learning for Residential Energy Consumption," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-16, September.
  54. Henni, Sarah & Becker, Jonas & Staudt, Philipp & vom Scheidt, Frederik & Weinhardt, Christof, 2022. "Industrial peak shaving with battery storage using a probabilistic forecasting approach: Economic evaluation of risk attitude," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
  55. Xu, Xiuqin & Chen, Ying & Goude, Yannig & Yao, Qiwei, 2021. "Day-ahead probabilistic forecasting for French half-hourly electricity loads and quantiles for curve-to-curve regression," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
  56. Xing, Zhuoqun & Pan, Yiqun & Yang, Yiting & Yuan, Xiaolei & Liang, Yumin & Huang, Zhizhong, 2024. "Transfer learning integrating similarity analysis for short-term and long-term building energy consumption prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 365(C).
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