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Dependence changes between the carbon price and its fundamentals: A quantile regression approach

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  1. Fang, Sheng & Lu, Xinsheng & Li, Jianfeng & Qu, Ling, 2018. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of carbon emission allowance and stock returns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 551-566.
  2. Alkathery, Mohammed A. & Chaudhuri, Kausik & Nasir, Muhammad Ali, 2023. "Dependence between the GCC energy equities, global clean energy and emission markets: Evidence from wavelet analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
  3. Pakrooh, Parisa & Manera, Matteo, 2024. "Causality, Connectedness, and Volatility pass-through among Energy-Metal-Stock-Carbon Markets: New Evidence from the EU," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
  4. Huang, Wenyang & Wang, Huiwen & Qin, Haotong & Wei, Yigang & Chevallier, Julien, 2022. "Convolutional neural network forecasting of European Union allowances futures using a novel unconstrained transformation method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
  5. Chang, Kai & Ye, Zhifang & Wang, Weihong, 2019. "Volatility spillover effect and dynamic correlation between regional emissions allowances and fossil energy markets: New evidence from China’s emissions trading scheme pilots," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 1314-1324.
  6. Xinghua Fan & Ying Zhang & Jiuli Yin, 2018. "Evolutionary Analysis of a Three-Dimensional Carbon Price Dynamic System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, December.
  7. Lovcha, Yuliya & Perez-Laborda, Alejandro & Sikora, Iryna, 2022. "The determinants of CO2 prices in the EU emission trading system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
  8. Ping Wei & Jingzi Zhou & Xiaohang Ren & Luu Duc Toan Huynh, 2025. "Financialisation of the European Union Emissions Trading System and its influencing factors in quantiles," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 925-940, January.
  9. Guo, Li-Yang & Feng, Chao & Yang, Jun, 2022. "Can energy predict the regional prices of carbon emission allowances in China?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  10. Wenjun Chu & Shanglei Chai & Xi Chen & Mo Du, 2020. "Does the Impact of Carbon Price Determinants Change with the Different Quantiles of Carbon Prices? Evidence from China ETS Pilots," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-19, July.
  11. Huang, Wenyang & Zhao, Jianyu & Wang, Xiaokang, 2024. "Model-driven multimodal LSTM-CNN for unbiased structural forecasting of European Union allowances open-high-low-close price," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
  12. Minggang Wang & Chenyu Hua & Hua Xu, 2022. "Dynamic Linkages among Carbon, Energy and Financial Markets: Multiplex Recurrence Network Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-23, May.
  13. Wei Jiang & Jingang Jiang & Sonia Chien-I Chen, 2025. "Untangling Carbon–Clean Energy Dynamics: A Quantile Granger-Causality Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-20, April.
  14. Zhikai Zhang & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang & Qunwei Wang, 2024. "The predictability of carbon futures volatility: New evidence from the spillovers of fossil energy futures returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 557-584, April.
  15. Yaqi Wu & Chen Zhang & Po Yun & Dandan Zhu & Wei Cao & Zulfiqar Ali Wagan, 2021. "Time–frequency analysis of the interaction mechanism between European carbon and crude oil markets," Energy & Environment, , vol. 32(7), pages 1331-1357, November.
  16. Liu, Jianing & Man, Yuanyuan & Dong, Xiuliang, 2023. "Tail dependence and risk spillover effects between China's carbon market and energy markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 553-567.
  17. Zhao, Xin & Han, Meng & Ding, Lili & Kang, Wanglin, 2018. "Usefulness of economic and energy data at different frequencies for carbon price forecasting in the EU ETS," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 132-141.
  18. Uddin, Gazi Salah & Hernandez, Jose Areola & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hedström, Axel, 2018. "Multivariate dependence and spillover effects across energy commodities and diversification potentials of carbon assets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 35-46.
  19. Ye, Jing & Xue, Minggao, 2021. "Influences of sentiment from news articles on EU carbon prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
  20. Wang, Xiao-Qing & Su, Chi-Wei & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Li, Hao & Nicoleta-Claudia, Moldovan, 2022. "Is China's carbon trading market efficient? Evidence from emissions trading scheme pilots," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
  21. Rujie Liu & Wei He & Hongwei Dong & Tao Han & Yuting Yang & Hongwei Yu & Zhu Li, 2024. "Application of Dynamic Weight Mixture Model Based on Dual Sliding Windows in Carbon Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(15), pages 1-18, July.
  22. Piao Wang & Shahid Hussain Gurmani & Zhifu Tao & Jinpei Liu & Huayou Chen, 2024. "Interval time series forecasting: A systematic literature review," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 249-285, March.
  23. Chune Young Chung & Minkyu Jeong & Jason Young, 2018. "The Price Determinants of the EU Allowance in the EU Emissions Trading Scheme," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-29, November.
  24. Jiang, Wei & Chen, Yunfei, 2022. "The time-frequency connectedness among carbon, traditional/new energy and material markets of China in pre- and post-COVID-19 outbreak periods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
  25. Wen, Fenghua & Wang, Kangsheng & Zeng, Aiqing, 2024. "Return spillover across the carbon market and financial markets: A quantile-based approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  26. Lei, Heng & Xue, Minggao & Liu, Huiling, 2022. "Probability distribution forecasting of carbon allowance prices: A hybrid model considering multiple influencing factors," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  27. Tang, Chun & Liu, Xiaoxing & Chen, Guangkun, 2023. "The spillover effects in the “Energy – Carbon – Stock” system – Evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).
  28. Zafar, Muhammad Wasif & Zaidi, Syed Anees Haider & Sinha, Avik & Gedikli, Ayfer & Hou, Fujun, 2019. "The role of stock market and banking sector development, and renewable energy consumption in carbon emissions: Insights from G-7 and N-11 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 427-436.
  29. Tran, Thomas T.D. & Smith, Amanda D., 2018. "Incorporating performance-based global sensitivity and uncertainty analysis into LCOE calculations for emerging renewable energy technologies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 157-171.
  30. Tianyou Li & Yanbing Ju & Peiwu Dong, 2023. "Investigating the interconnectedness of carbon, fossil energy, and financial markets: A dynamic spillover index approach," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(12), pages 1-21, December.
  31. Dai, Xingyu & Xiao, Ling & Wang, Qunwei & Dhesi, Gurjeet, 2021. "Multiscale interplay of higher-order moments between the carbon and energy markets during Phase III of the EU ETS," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
  32. Cheng, Fenfen & Yang, Shanlin & Zhou, Kaile, 2020. "Quantile partial adjustment model with application to predicting energy demand in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
  33. Demiralay, Sercan & Gencer, Hatice Gaye & Bayraci, Selcuk, 2022. "Carbon credit futures as an emerging asset: Hedging, diversification and downside risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  34. Zhang, Chen & Yang, Yu & Yun, Po, 2020. "Risk measurement of international carbon market based on multiple risk factors heterogeneous dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
  35. Huang, Wenyang & Gao, Tianxiao & Hao, Yun & Wang, Xiuqing, 2023. "Transformer-based forecasting for intraday trading in the Shanghai crude oil market: Analyzing open-high-low-close prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
  36. Yan, Kai & Zhang, Wei & Shen, Dehua, 2020. "Stylized facts of the carbon emission market in China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 555(C).
  37. Qiang Cao & Qin Hong & Wenmei Yu, 2025. "Oil price shocks, policy uncertainty, and China’s carbon emissions trading market price," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
  38. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2021. "How do Islamic equity markets respond to good and bad volatility of cryptocurrencies? The case of Bitcoin," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  39. Qi, Shaozhou & Cheng, Shihan & Tan, Xiujie & Feng, Shenghao & Zhou, Qi, 2022. "Predicting China's carbon price based on a multi-scale integrated model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
  40. Fang Zhang & Zhengjun Zhang, 2020. "The tail dependence of the carbon markets: The implication of portfolio management," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(8), pages 1-17, August.
  41. Chang, Kai & Zhang, Chao, 2018. "Asymmetric dependence structure between emissions allowances and wholesale diesel/gasoline prices in emerging China's emissions trading scheme pilots," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 124-136.
  42. Joao Leitao & Joaquim Ferreira & Ernesto Santibanez‐Gonzalez, 2021. "Green bonds, sustainable development and environmental policy in the European Union carbon market," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(4), pages 2077-2090, May.
  43. Tan, Xueping & Sirichand, Kavita & Vivian, Andrew & Wang, Xinyu, 2020. "How connected is the carbon market to energy and financial markets? A systematic analysis of spillovers and dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  44. Li, Houjian & Li, Qingman & Huang, Xinya & Guo, Lili, 2023. "Do green bonds and economic policy uncertainty matter for carbon price? New insights from a TVP-VAR framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  45. Huang, Wenyang & Wang, Huiwen & Wei, Yigang, 2023. "Identifying the determinants of European carbon allowances prices: A novel robust partial least squares method for open-high-low-close data," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  46. Fang, Guochang & Tian, Lixin & Liu, Menghe & Fu, Min & Sun, Mei, 2018. "How to optimize the development of carbon trading in China—Enlightenment from evolution rules of the EU carbon price," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 1039-1049.
  47. Ren, Xiaohang & Duan, Kun & Tao, Lizhu & Shi, Yukun & Yan, Cheng, 2022. "Carbon prices forecasting in quantiles," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  48. Tian, Tingting & Lai, Kee-hung & Wong, Christina W.Y., 2022. "Connectedness mechanisms in the “Carbon-Commodity-Finance” system: Investment and management policy implications for emerging economies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
  49. Wang, Jiqiang & Dai, Peng-Fei & Zhang, Xuewen, 2024. "Untangling the entanglement of US monetary policy uncertainty and European natural gas and carbon prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  50. Wu, Ruirui & Qin, Zhongfeng & Liu, Bing-Yue, 2022. "A systemic analysis of dynamic frequency spillovers among carbon emissions trading (CET), fossil energy and sectoral stock markets: Evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).
  51. Tang, Chun & Yang, Guangyi & Liu, Xiaoxing, 2024. "Risk spillover within the carbon-energy system – New evidence considering China's national carbon market," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1227-1240.
  52. Duan, Kun & Ren, Xiaohang & Shi, Yukun & Mishra, Tapas & Yan, Cheng, 2021. "The marginal impacts of energy prices on carbon price variations: Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
  53. Hanif, Waqas & Arreola Hernandez, Jose & Mensi, Walid & Kang, Sang Hoon & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2021. "Nonlinear dependence and connectedness between clean/renewable energy sector equity and European emission allowance prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
  54. Huang, Wenyang & Wang, Yizhi, 2024. "Identifying price bubbles in global carbon markets: Evidence from the SADF test, GSADF test and LPPLS method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  55. Xu Gong & Mengjie Li & Keqin Guan & Chuanwang Sun, 2023. "Climate change attention and carbon futures return prediction," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(9), pages 1261-1288, September.
  56. Hengzhen Lu & Qiujin Gao & Ling Xiao & Gurjeet Dhesi, 2024. "Forecasting EUA futures volatility with geopolitical risk: evidence from GARCH-MIDAS models," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 18(7), pages 1917-1943, July.
  57. Wang, Yun & Hu, Qinghua & Meng, Deyu & Zhu, Pengfei, 2017. "Deterministic and probabilistic wind power forecasting using a variational Bayesian-based adaptive robust multi-kernel regression model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 1097-1112.
  58. Chen, Weidong & Xiong, Shi & Chen, Quanyu, 2022. "Characterizing the dynamic evolutionary behavior of multivariate price movement fluctuation in the carbon-fuel energy markets system from complex network perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
  59. Man, Yuanyuan & Zhang, Sunpei & He, Yongda, 2024. "Dynamic risk spillover and hedging efficacy of China’s carbon-energy-finance markets: Economic policy uncertainty and investor sentiment non-linear causal effects," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1397-1416.
  60. Gong, Xu & Shi, Rong & Xu, Jun & Lin, Boqiang, 2021. "Analyzing spillover effects between carbon and fossil energy markets from a time-varying perspective," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
  61. Chen, Linfei & Zhao, Xuefeng, 2024. "A multiscale and multivariable differentiated learning for carbon price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  62. Mohammed Ahmar Uddin & Bisharat Hussain Chang & Salem Hamad Aldawsari & Ruoyu Li, 2025. "The Interplay Between Green Finance, Policy Uncertainty and Carbon Market Volatility: A Time Frequency Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-28, February.
  63. Guangxi Cao & Fei Xie & Meijun Ling, 2022. "Spillover effects in Chinese carbon, energy and financial markets," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 416-434, December.
  64. Su, Chi Wei & Wei, Shenkai & Wang, Yan & Tao, Ran, 2024. "How does climate policy uncertainty affect the carbon market?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
  65. Sun, Qingqing & Chen, Hong & Long, Ruyin & Chen, Jiawei, 2024. "Integrated prediction of carbon price in China based on heterogeneous structural information and wall-value constraints," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
  66. Tan, Xueping & Sirichand, Kavita & Vivian, Andrew & Wang, Xinyu, 2022. "Forecasting European carbon returns using dimension reduction techniques: Commodity versus financial fundamentals," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 944-969.
  67. Jianguo Zhou & Xuejing Huo & Xiaolei Xu & Yushuo Li, 2019. "Forecasting the Carbon Price Using Extreme-Point Symmetric Mode Decomposition and Extreme Learning Machine Optimized by the Grey Wolf Optimizer Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-22, March.
  68. Yongjie Zhang & Yue Li & Dehua Shen, 2022. "Investor Attention and the Carbon Emission Markets in China: A Nonparametric Wavelet-Based Causality Test," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 29(1), pages 123-137, March.
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