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Confidence Sets for the Date of a Single Break in Linear Time Series Regressions

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Cited by:

  1. Felix Pretis & Lea Schneider & Jason E. Smerdon & David F. Hendry, 2016. "Detecting Volcanic Eruptions In Temperature Reconstructions By Designed Break-Indicator Saturation," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3), pages 403-429, July.
  2. Rossi, Barbara, 2013. "Advances in Forecasting under Instability," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1203-1324, Elsevier.
  3. Boldea, Otilia & Hall, Alastair R., 2013. "Estimation and inference in unstable nonlinear least squares models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(1), pages 158-167.
  4. Hirano, Keisuke & Wright, Jonathan H., 2022. "Analyzing cross-validation for forecasting with structural instability," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 226(1), pages 139-154.
  5. Alaa Abi Morshed & Elena Andreou & Otilia Boldea, 2018. "Structural Break Tests Robust to Regression Misspecification," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-39, May.
  6. Ulrich K. Müller & Andriy Norets, 2016. "Coverage Inducing Priors in Nonstandard Inference Problems," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 111(515), pages 1233-1241, July.
  7. João Pedro Pereira & Vasco Pesquita & Paulo M. M. Rodrigues & António Rua, 2019. "Market integration and the persistence of electricity prices," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(5), pages 1495-1514, November.
  8. González-Rivera, Gloria & Sun, Yingying, 2017. "Density forecast evaluation in unstable environments," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 416-432.
  9. Casini, Alessandro & Perron, Pierre, 2022. "Generalized Laplace Inference In Multiple Change-Points Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 38(1), pages 35-65, February.
  10. Marmer, Vadim & Shneyerov, Artyom, 2012. "Quantile-based nonparametric inference for first-price auctions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(2), pages 345-357.
  11. Yunjong Eo & James Morley, 2015. "Likelihood‐ratio‐based confidence sets for the timing of structural breaks," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 6(2), pages 463-497, July.
  12. Yohei Yamamoto, 2018. "A modified confidence set for the structural break date in linear regression models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(9), pages 974-999, October.
  13. Casini, Alessandro & Perron, Pierre, 2021. "Continuous record Laplace-based inference about the break date in structural change models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 3-21.
  14. Yaein Baek, 2018. "Estimation of a Structural Break Point in Linear Regression Models," Papers 1811.03720, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
  15. Chen, Haiqiang, 2015. "Robust Estimation And Inference For Threshold Models With Integrated Regressors," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(4), pages 778-810, August.
  16. Eiji Kurozumi & Anton Skrobotov, 2018. "Confidence Sets for the Break Date in Cointegrating Regressions," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(3), pages 514-535, June.
  17. Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, "undated". "Generalized Laplace Inference in Multiple Change-Points Models," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2018-012, Boston University - Department of Economics.
  18. Varun Agiwal & Jitendra Kumar & Dahud Kehinde Shangodoyin, 2020. "A Bayesian analysis of complete multiple breaks in a panel autoregressive (CMB-PAR(1)) time series model," Statistics in Transition New Series, Polish Statistical Association, vol. 21(5), pages 133-149, December.
  19. Yoonseok Lee & Yulong Wang, 2020. "Inference in Threshold Models," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 223, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
  20. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2015. "Confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 262-279.
  21. Tom Boot & Andreas Pick, 2017. "A near optimal test for structural breaks when forecasting under square error loss," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-039/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  22. Hu, Junjie & López Cabrera, Brenda & Melzer, Awdesch, 2021. "Advanced statistical learning on short term load process forecasting," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2021-020, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
  23. Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Structural Breaks in Time Series," Papers 1805.03807, arXiv.org.
  24. Abhimanyu Gupta & Myung Hwan Seo, 2023. "Robust Inference on Infinite and Growing Dimensional Time‐Series Regression," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(4), pages 1333-1361, July.
  25. Linda S. Goldberg & Michael W. Klein, 2005. "Establishing Credibility: Evolving Perceptions of the European Central Bank," NBER Working Papers 11792, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  26. Campa, Jose M. & Goldberg, Linda S. & Gonzalez-Minguez, Jose M., 2005. "Exchange-rate pass-through to import prices in the euro area," IESE Research Papers D/609, IESE Business School.
  27. Isaiah Andrews & Toru Kitagawa & Adam McCloskey, 2018. "Inference on winners," CeMMAP working papers CWP31/18, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  28. Eo, Yunjong & Morley, James C., 2008. "Likelihood-Based Confidence Sets for the Timing of Structural Breaks," MPRA Paper 10372, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  29. Seong Yeon Chang & Pierre Perron, 2018. "A comparison of alternative methods to construct confidence intervals for the estimate of a break date in linear regression models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(6), pages 577-601, July.
  30. Andrews, Isaiah & Kitagawa, Toru & McCloskey, Adam, 2021. "Inference after estimation of breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 39-59.
  31. Alastair R. Hall & Denise R. Osborn & Nikolaos Sakkas, 2017. "The asymptotic behaviour of the residual sum of squares in models with multiple break points," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6-9), pages 667-698, October.
  32. Elliott, Graham & Müller, Ulrich K., 2014. "Pre and post break parameter inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 180(2), pages 141-157.
  33. Alessandro Casini & Taosong Deng & Pierre Perron, 2021. "Theory of Low Frequency Contamination from Nonstationarity and Misspecification: Consequences for HAR Inference," Papers 2103.01604, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
  34. Eiji Kurozumi & Yohei Yamamoto, 2015. "Confidence sets for the break date based on optimal tests," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 18(3), pages 412-435, October.
  35. Oka, Tatsushi & Qu, Zhongjun, 2011. "Estimating structural changes in regression quantiles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 248-267, June.
  36. Gregory Cox, 2022. "A Generalized Argmax Theorem with Applications," Papers 2209.08793, arXiv.org.
  37. Yao Rao & Brendan McCabe, 2020. "Structural Change and the Problem of Phantom Break Locations," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 88(1), pages 211-228, January.
  38. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J., 2016. "Improving the length of confidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknown," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 239-245.
  39. Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
  40. Zongwu Cai & Seong Yeon Chang, 2018. "A New Test In A Predictive Regression with Structural Breaks," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201811, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2018.
  41. Harris, David & Kew, Hsein & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2020. "Level shift estimation in the presence of non-stationary volatility with an application to the unit root testing problem," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 354-388.
  42. Gantungalag Altansukh & Denise R. Osborn, 2022. "Using structural break inference for forecasting time series," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 1-41, July.
  43. Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Continuous Record Asymptotics for Change-Points Models," Papers 1803.10881, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
  44. Song Shi & Vince Mangioni & Xin Janet Ge & Shanaka Herath & Fethi Rabhi & Rachida Ouysse, 2021. "House Price Forecasting from Investment Perspectives," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-17, September.
  45. Eiji Kurozumi, 2018. "Confidence Sets for the Date of a Structural Change at the End of a Sample," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(6), pages 850-862, November.
  46. Tayanagi, Toshikazu & 田柳, 俊和 & Kurozumi, Eiji & 黒住, 英司, 2022. "In-fill asymptotic distribution of the change point estimator when estimating breaks one at a time," Discussion Papers 2022-03, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
  47. Skrobotov, Anton, 2021. "Structural breaks in cointegration models," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 63, pages 117-141.
  48. Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2013. "Forecasting in macroeconomics," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 17, pages 381-408, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  49. Boot, Tom & Pick, Andreas, 2020. "Does modeling a structural break improve forecast accuracy?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(1), pages 35-59.
  50. Jiang, Liang & Wang, Xiaohu & Yu, Jun, 2018. "New distribution theory for the estimation of structural break point in mean," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 205(1), pages 156-176.
  51. KUROZUMI, Eiji & 黒住, 英司, 2017. "Confidence Sets for the Date of a Mean Shift at the End of a Sample," Discussion Papers 2017-06, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
  52. Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2015. "Continuous Record Asymptotics for Structural Change Models," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2018-010, Boston University - Department of Economics, revised Nov 2017.
  53. repec:wyi:journl:002203 is not listed on IDEAS
  54. Tuvaandorj, Purevdorj, 2020. "Regression discontinuity designs, white noise models, and minimax," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 587-608.
  55. Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2017. "Continuous Record Laplace-based Inference about the Break Date in Structural Change Models," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2018-011, Boston University - Department of Economics.
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