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Die Bewertung des DAX-Futures: Der Einfluß von Dividenden

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  • Kempf, Alexander
  • Spengel, Christoph

Abstract

Der folgende Beitrag analysiert die Auswirkungen von Dividendenzahlungen auf den arbitragefreien Kurs eines DAX-Futures. Es zeigt sich, daß die klassische Formel der Cash&Carry-Arbitrage für die Bewertung des DAX-Futures nicht sachgerecht ist, da steuerliche Effekte aus Dividendenzahlungen berücksichtigt werden müssen. Der arbitragefreie Futureskurs kann deshalb nur in Abhängigkeit von individuellen Merkmalen des Investors (z.B. Rechtsform, Einkommen, Ansässigkeitsstaat) bestimmt werden. Eine anlegerspezifische Bewertungsformel wird abgeleitet. ; The following article analyses the impact of dividends on the fair value of the German DAX-future. It is shown that the well-known cash&carry-formula cannot be used for the valuation of the DAX-future due to tax effects of dividend payments. Therefore the arbitragefree futures price depends on personal characteristics of the investor such as legal form, income, and state of residence. A formula for the arbitragefree futures price with regard to these characteristics is derived.

Suggested Citation

  • Kempf, Alexander & Spengel, Christoph, 1993. "Die Bewertung des DAX-Futures: Der Einfluß von Dividenden," ZEW Discussion Papers 93-12, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:9312
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    1. Jacobs, Otto H. & Spengel, Christoph, 1992. "Besteuerung verbundener Unternehmen und Finanzierung: Die steuerliche Behandlung der nationalen und grenzüberschreitenden Beteiligungs- und Fremdfinanzierung von Kapitalgesellschaften in Deutschland, ," ZEW Discussion Papers 92-04, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    2. Robert A. JARROW & George S. OLDFIELD, 2008. "Forward Contracts And Futures Contracts," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 11, pages 237-246, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Cornell, Bradford & Reinganum, Marc R, 1981. "Forward and Futures Prices: Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 36(5), pages 1035-1045, December.
    4. Richard, Scott F. & Sundaresan, M., 1981. "A continuous time equilibrium model of forward prices and futures prices in a multigood economy," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 347-371, December.
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    6. Cox, John C. & Ingersoll, Jonathan Jr. & Ross, Stephen A., 1981. "The relation between forward prices and futures prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 321-346, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Fink, Christopher & Theissen, Erik, 2014. "Dividend taxation and DAX futures prices," CFR Working Papers 14-08, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).

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