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Single Beta Models and currency Futures Prices

Author

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  • Thomas H. McCurdy
  • Ieuan G. Morgan

Abstract

The conditional capital asset pricing model is applied to foreign currency futures prices, covariance risk being measured relative to excess returns from a broadly diversified international portfolio of equities. Positive time-varying risk premia are found in all five currencies tested when the difference between the US and the average foreign interest rates is used as an instrumental variable for the expected excess return from the common stock portfolio.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas H. McCurdy & Ieuan G. Morgan, 1991. "Single Beta Models and currency Futures Prices," Working Paper 845, Economics Department, Queen's University.
  • Handle: RePEc:qed:wpaper:845
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    File URL: http://qed.econ.queensu.ca/working_papers/papers/qed_wp_845.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Stephen J. Taylor, 1992. "Rewards Available to Currency Futures Speculators: Compensation for Risk or Evidence of Inefficient Pricing?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 68(S1), pages 105-116, December.
    3. Cheol‐Ho Park & Scott H. Irwin, 2007. "What Do We Know About The Profitability Of Technical Analysis?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 786-826, September.

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