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Made in Russia? Assessing Russia's potential for import substitution

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  • Simola, Heli

Abstract

Russia's brutal military aggression on Ukraine has led to extensive economic sanctions by Western countries and the withdrawal of many foreign companies from Russian markets. The isolation of Russia from the international community has substantially restricted its access to advanced technologies and eroded the country's economic growth potential. Our analysis suggests that Russia has fairly limited possibilities for import substitution in high-technology sectors. China, which could play a key role as an alternative source for inputs, has seen its share of Russian imports, including high-tech inputs, increase substantially in recent years. The extent to which China is willing to support Russia in the current situation remains unclear, however.

Suggested Citation

  • Simola, Heli, 2022. "Made in Russia? Assessing Russia's potential for import substitution," BOFIT Policy Briefs 3/2022, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bofitb:32022
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Iikka Korhonen & Heli Simola, 2022. "How Important Are Russia's External Economic Links?," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 21(2), pages 1-13, Summer.
    2. Hinz, Julian & Monastyrenko, Evgenii, 2022. "Bearing the cost of politics: Consumer prices and welfare in Russia," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    3. Simola, Heli, 2021. "Long-term challenges to Russian economic policy," BOFIT Policy Briefs 11/2021, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    4. Korhonen, Iikka & Simola, Heli & Solanko, Laura, 2018. "Sanctions, counter-sanctions and Russia: Effects on economy, trade and finance," BOFIT Policy Briefs 4/2018, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
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    Cited by:

    1. Röyskö, Aino & Simola, Heli, 2022. "Russia's technology imports from East Asia," BOFIT Policy Briefs 6/2022, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    2. Simola, Heli, 2022. "Can Russia reorient its trade and financial flows?," BOFIT Policy Briefs 7/2022, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    3. Simola, Heli, 2022. "Russian foreign trade after four months of war in Ukraine," BOFIT Policy Briefs 5/2022, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).

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    Keywords

    Russia; trade; sanctions; import substitution;
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