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The Effect of Macroeconomic Factors on Asset Returns: A Comparative Analysis of the German and the Turkish Stock Markets in an APT Framework

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  • Erdinc Altay

    (Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics)

Abstract

This paper uses factor analytic techniques for deriving factor realizations from a group of main economic indicators of both the German and the Turkish economy in order to test the effect of economic factors on asset returns in an APT framework. The factor structure of the German economy yields 4 factors, whereas the Turkish economy has only 3 factors even though the same economic indicators are employed in the factor analysis procedures. We found some evidence of the unexpected interest rate factor and the unexpected inflation factor beta coefficients having significant effects on asset returns of the German Stock Market. But we were not able to find any unexpected macroeconomic factor beta with a significant influence on asset returns in the Turkish Stock Market.

Suggested Citation

  • Erdinc Altay, 2003. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Factors on Asset Returns: A Comparative Analysis of the German and the Turkish Stock Markets in an APT Framework," Finance 0307006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0307006
    Note: Type of Document - Acrobat PDF; prepared on IBM PC ; to print on PostScript; pages: 36 ; figures: included
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Kevin Pacini & David Berg & Thomas Tischer & Peter Mayer & Jean Azam & and Joe Johnson, 2018. "Macroeconomic factors dynamics and firm performance in the United Kingdom," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 8(2), pages 1393-1393.
    3. Kevin Pacini & Peter Mayer & Stefan Attar & Jean Azam, 2017. "Macroeconomic Factors And Firm Performance In The United Kingdom," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 2(3), pages 1-11, December.
    4. Padrón, Yaiza García & Boza, Juan García, 2006. "Which are the Risk Factors in the Pricing of Personal Pension in Spain?," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 60(2), November.
    5. Kuwornu, John K.M., 2012. "Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on the Ghanaian Stock Market Returns: A Co-integration Analysis," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 4(2), pages 1-12, June.
    6. Serkan Şengül, 2023. "The Effects of Common Macroeconomics Factors on U.S. Stock Returns," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, vol. 8(3), pages 404-424.
    7. Faruque, Muhammad U, 2011. "An empirical investigation of the arbitrage pricing theory in a frontier stock market: evidence from Bangladesh," MPRA Paper 38675, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset Pricing; Arbitrage Pricing Theory; Factor Analysis; Expected Returns; Principle Components;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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