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Forecasting investment needs in South Africa's electricity and telecommunications sectors

Author

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  • Bogetic, Zeljko
  • Fedderke, Johannes W.

Abstract

The authors use a panel-data set for the period 1980-2002 to estimate demand for electricity and telecommunications services and project investment needs in South Africa through 2010 for two growth scenarios. Projections of average annual investment needs in electricity and telecommunications for the current growth scenario (3.6 percent a year) are of the order of 0.2 percent and 0.75 percent of GDP, respectively. An alternative, accelerated growth scenario (6 percent a year) implies approximate doubling of investment needs in these sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Bogetic, Zeljko & Fedderke, Johannes W., 2006. "Forecasting investment needs in South Africa's electricity and telecommunications sectors," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3829, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:3829
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Liao, Hua & Cao, Huai-Shu, 2018. "The pattern of electricity use in residential sector: The experiences from 133 economies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 515-525.
    2. Bogetic, Zeljko & Fedderke, Johannes W., 2006. "International benchmarking of South Africa's infrastructure performance," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3830, The World Bank.
    3. Bogetic, Zeljko & Fedderke, Johannes W., 2006. "International benchmarking of infrastructure performance in the Southern African Customs Union Countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3987, The World Bank.
    4. Chandan Sharma & N.R. Bhanumurthy, 2011. "Estimating Infrastructural Investment Needs for India," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 5(2), pages 221-243, May.
    5. Zhang, Yin-Fang & Ji, Shengbao, 2018. "Does infrastructure have a transitory or longer-term impact? Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 195-207.
    6. Harris, Tom & Collinson, Mark & Wittenberg, Martin, 2017. "Aiming for a Moving Target: The Dynamics of Household Electricity Connections in a Developing Context," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 14-26.
    7. Thomas M. Fullerton & George Novela & David Torres & Adam G. Walke, 2015. "Metropolitan Econometric Electric Utility Forecast Accuracy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(3), pages 738-745.

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    Keywords

    Economic Theory&Research; Investment and Investment Climate; Banks&Banking Reform; Achieving Shared Growth; ICT Policy and Strategies;
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