Refundable Tax Credits for Health Insurance: The Sensitivity of Simulated Impacts to Assumed Behavior
We replicate and extend a simulation model developed by Jonathan Gruber with the goals of illuminating Gruber's modeling of health insurance coverage under a tax credit and examining the sensitivity of the results to changes in the model's key parameters. The replications suggest that a refundable tax credit of $1,000 for a single individual or $2,000 for a family for private health insurance would reduce the number of uninsured individuals by between 17.5 and 28 percent and require new government expenditures of between $16.6 and $44 billion, of which about $7.4 - $9.7 billion would be for coverage of previously uninsured individuals. These wide simulated ranges highlight the uncertainty inherent in modeling the effects of health insurance tax credits and suggest that progress on the issue of tax credits for health insurance will require improved evidence on the likely take-up rate of a credit.
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.
|Date of creation:||Jul 2005|
|Date of revision:|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: 300 S. Westnedge Ave. Kalamazoo, MI 49007 USA|
Web page: http://www.upjohn.org
More information through EDIRC
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Ted O'Donoghue and Matthew Rabin ., 1997.
"Doing It Now or Later,"
Economics Working Papers
97-253, University of California at Berkeley.
- Ted O'Donoghue & Matthew Rabin, 1996. "Doing It Now or Later," Discussion Papers 1172, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science.
- O'Donoghue, Ted & Rabin, Matthew, 1997. "Doing It Now or Later," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt7t44m5b0, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
- Paul Decker & Christopher J. O'Leary & Stephen A. Woodbury, 2001.
"Participation in the Reemployment Bonus Experiments,"
Book chapters authored by Upjohn Institute researchers,
W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.
- Paul T Decker Christopher J OLeary Stephen A Woodbury, 2001. "Participation in the Reemployment Bonus Experiments," Mathematica Policy Research Reports 82dce21057b645028ad267bbf, Mathematica Policy Research.
- Brigitte C. Madrian & Lars John Lefgren, 1999. "A Note on Longitudinally Matching Current Population Survey (CPS) Respondents," NBER Technical Working Papers 0247, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mark V. Pauly & Bradley Herring & David Song, 2001.
"Tax Credits, the Distribution of Subsidized Health Insurance Premiums, and the Uninsured,"
NBER Working Papers
8457, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mark V. Pauly & Bradley Herring & David Song, 2002. "Tax Credits, the Distribution of Subsidized Health Insurance Premiums, and the Uninsured," NBER Chapters, in: Frontiers in Health Policy Research, Volume 5, pages 103-122 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Pauly Mark V. & Herring Bradley & Song David, 2002. "Tax Credits, the Distribution of Subsidized Health Insurance Premiums, and the Uninsured," Forum for Health Economics & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 1-22, January.
- Moffitt, Robert, 1983. "An Economic Model of Welfare Stigma," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(5), pages 1023-35, December.
- Gruber, Jonathan, 2000. "Microsimulation Estimates of the Effects of Tax Subsidies for Health Insurance," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association, vol. 53(n. 3), pages 329-42, September.
- repec:mpr:mprres:3116 is not listed on IDEAS
- Jonathan Gruber, 2000. "Tax Subsidies for Health Insurance: Evaluating the Costs and Benefits," NBER Working Papers 7553, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Janet Currie, 2004.
"The Take Up of Social Benefits,"
NBER Working Papers
10488, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Brigitte C. Madrian & Dennis F. Shea, 2001.
"The Power of Suggestion: Inertia in 401(k) Participation and Savings Behavior,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics,
Oxford University Press, vol. 116(4), pages 1149-1187.
- Brigitte C. Madrian & Dennis F. Shea, 2000. "The Power of Suggestion: Inertia in 401(k) Participation and Savings Behavior," NBER Working Papers 7682, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Dahlia K. Remler & Jason E. Rachlin & Sherry A. Glied, 2001. "What can the take-up of other programs teach us about how to improve take-up of health insurance programs?," NBER Working Papers 8185, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:upj:weupjo:05-119. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ()
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.