IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/tky/fseres/2025cf1249.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Factory Automation, Labor Demand, and Market Dynamics

Author

Listed:
  • Daiji Kawaguchi

    (Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo)

  • Tetsuji Okazaki

    (, The University of Tokyo)

  • Xuanli Zhu

    (Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo)

Abstract

This study provides micro-level evidence on the labor market effects of historical au- tomation technology by studying early 20th century powerloom adoption in Japan’s silk-weaving industry. Relative to non-adopting factories in the same area, adopting factories employed more male mechanics but did not reduce female weaver employ- ment. Meanwhile, wages rose only modestly despite large productivity gains. At the industry level, however, the exit of low-wage, low-productivity plants led to sub- stantial net job losses—“technological unemployment†—and stronger overall wage growth. Nature of the technology, monopsony power, and market competition were all important in shaping these outcomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Daiji Kawaguchi & Tetsuji Okazaki & Xuanli Zhu, 2025. "Factory Automation, Labor Demand, and Market Dynamics," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1249, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
  • Handle: RePEc:tky:fseres:2025cf1249
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.cirje.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/research/dp/2025/2025cf1249.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Acemoglu, Daron & Koster, Hans R.A. & Ozgen, Ceren, 2023. "Robots and Workers: Evidence from the Netherlands," IZA Discussion Papers 15997, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Meredith M. Paker & Judy Z. Stephenson & Patrick Wallis, 2025. "Nominal wage patterns, monopsony, and labour market power in early modern England," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 78(1), pages 179-206, February.
    3. Gaggl, Paul & Gray, Rowena & Marinescu, Ioana & Morin, Miguel, 2021. "Does electricity drive structural transformation? Evidence from the United States," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    4. Lawrence F. Katz & Robert A. Margo, 2014. "Technical Change and the Relative Demand for Skilled Labor: The United States in Historical Perspective," NBER Chapters, in: Human Capital in History: The American Record, pages 15-57, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Federico,Giovanni, 2009. "An Economic History of the Silk Industry, 1830–1930," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521105262, June.
    6. James Feigenbaum & Daniel P Gross, 2024. "Answering the Call of Automation: How the Labor Market Adjusted to Mechanizing Telephone Operation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 139(3), pages 1879-1939.
    7. Robert Minton & Casey B. Mulligan, 2024. "Difference-in-Differences in the Marketplace," NBER Working Papers 32111, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Tetsuji Okazaki, 2021. "Disentangling the effects of technological and organizational changes during the rise of the factory: the case of the Japanese weaving industry, 1905−14," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 74(4), pages 976-1005, November.
    9. Daron Acemoglu, 2002. "Technical Change, Inequality, and the Labor Market," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 40(1), pages 7-72, March.
    10. Joel Mokyr & Chris Vickers & Nicolas L. Ziebarth, 2015. "The History of Technological Anxiety and the Future of Economic Growth: Is This Time Different?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 29(3), pages 31-50, Summer.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Caselli, Mauro & Fracasso, Andrea & Scicchitano, Sergio & Traverso, Silvio & Tundis, Enrico, 2025. "What workers and robots do: An activity-based analysis of the impact of robotization on changes in local employment," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(1).
    2. Xin, Baogui & Ye, Xiaopu, 2024. "Robotics applications, inclusive employment and income disparity," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    3. Miraç Fatih İLGÜN, 2020. "Industry 4.0 and Transformation in Public Finance: An Assessment by Government Expenditures," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 28(44).
    4. Gray, Rowena, 2013. "Taking technology to task: The skill content of technological change in early twentieth century United States," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 351-367.
    5. Huang, Yuhong, 2024. "Digital transformation of enterprises: Job creation or job destruction?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    6. Graetz, Georg & Feng, Andy, 2014. "Rise of the Machines: The Effects of Labor-Saving Innovations on Jobs and Wages," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100401, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    7. Jung, Sungmoon & Lee, Jeong-Dong & Hwang, Won-Sik & Yeo, Yeongjun, 2017. "Growth versus equity: A CGE analysis for effects of factor-biased technical progress on economic growth and employment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 424-438.
    8. Enflo, Kerstin & Molinder, Jakob & Karlsson, Tobias, 2019. "More Power to the People: Electricity Adoption, Technological Change and Social Conflict," CEPR Discussion Papers 13986, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Maynou, L. & McGuire, A. & Serra-Sastre, V., 2024. "What happens when the tasks dry up? Exploring the impact of medical technology on workforce planning," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
    10. Falck, Oliver & Guo, Yuchen & Langer, Christina & Lindlacher, Valentin & Wiederhold, Simon, 2024. "Training, automation, and wages: International worker-level evidence," IWH Discussion Papers 27/2024, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    11. Ben Vermeulen & Jan Kesselhut & Andreas Pyka & Pier Paolo Saviotti, 2018. "The Impact of Automation on Employment: Just the Usual Structural Change?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-27, May.
    12. Caselli, Mauro & Fracasso, Andrea & Scicchitano, Sergio & Traverso, Silvio & Tundis, Enrico, 2021. "Stop worrying and love the robot: An activity-based approach to assess the impact of robotization on employment dynamics," GLO Discussion Paper Series 802, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    13. Kerstin Hotte & Melline Somers & Angelos Theodorakopoulos, 2022. "Technology and jobs: A systematic literature review," Papers 2204.01296, arXiv.org.
    14. Daniela Vidart, 2024. "Human Capital, Female Employment, and Electricity: Evidence from the Early 20th-Century United States," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 91(1), pages 560-594.
    15. Gunther Tichy, 2016. "Geht der Arbeitsgesellschaft die Arbeit aus?," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 89(12), pages 853-871, December.
    16. Feldman, Naomi E. & van der Beek, Karine, 2016. "Skill choice and skill complementarity in eighteenth century England," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 94-113.
    17. Ojala, Jari & Pehkonen, Jaakko & Eloranta, Jari, 2016. "Deskilling and decline in skill premium during the age of sail: Swedish and Finnish seamen, 1751–1913," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 85-94.
    18. Patrizio Pagano & Massimo Sbracia, 2014. "The secular stagnation hypothesis: a review of the debate and some insights," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 231, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    19. K.V. Ramaswamy, 2018. "Technological change, automation and employment: A Short review of theory and evidence," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2018-002, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    20. Maynou, Laia & McGuire, Alistair & Serra-Sastre, Victoria, 2024. "What happens when the tasks dry up? Exploring the impact of medical technology on workforce planning," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 124065, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:tky:fseres:2025cf1249. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CIRJE administrative office (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ritokjp.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.