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Global Racist Contagion following Donald Trump’s Election


  • Marco Giani
  • Pierre-Guillaume Méon


Using a causal inference in a cross-country regression design made possible by the coincidence that the 2016 US Presidential election occurred during the fieldwork period of the European Social Survey (ESS8), we test whether Donald Trump’s unexpected win increased the willingness to report racist attitudes. The election significantly increased the gap between the opposition to different-race immigration, which did not change, vs. same-race immigration, which significantly decreased. The finding, robust to a large set of checks, is shown to be substantially shaped by socioeconomic and partisan identities. In particular, the causal effect of Donald Trump’s unexpected win on the willingness to report racist attitudes is stronger among old men living in urban areas. Moreover, the aggregate effect is driven by extreme right-wing units with high level of political interest.

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  • Marco Giani & Pierre-Guillaume Méon, 2017. "Global Racist Contagion following Donald Trump’s Election," Working Papers CEB 17-034, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  • Handle: RePEc:sol:wpaper:2013/262257

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Leonardo Bursztyn & Georgy Egorov & Stefano Fiorin, 2017. "From Extreme to Mainstream: How Social Norms Unravel," NBER Working Papers 23415, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Jennie Huang & Corinne Low, 2017. "Trumping Norms: Lab Evidence on Aggressive Communication before and after the 2016 US Presidential Election," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(5), pages 120-124, May.
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    More about this item


    Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Political Processes: Rent-Seeking; Lobbying; Elections; Legislatures and Voting Behavior; Political Economy; Cultural Economics; Economic Sociology;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • P16 - Economic Systems - - Capitalist Systems - - - Political Economy of Capitalism
    • Z10 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics - - - General

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