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Multiple unemployment spells duration in Poland

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  • Ewa Gałecka-Burdziak

Abstract

I study multiple unemployment spells. I refer to Poland, as this country experiences highincidence of the long-term unemployment and long mean incomplete unemployment duration.I estimate conditional risk set model for multiple spells, and Cox model for 1st to 5th spell, separately.I use time-to-event data (complete spells) for almost 435000 individuals in the 2007-2014 period fromfive public employment offices. Almost 99% of the individuals have up to 5 spells, but ''only'' 60% ofthem experience one complete spell.I find that subsequent unemployment spells are on average shorter, but slightly moreindividuals experience longer subsequent spells. Thus, those who exit either learn how to seek job ordecide to leave the pool. Younger males with primary education are better off at leaving the pool, butthe impact of sex and education diminishes in subsequent spells. Tertiary education, since 2nd spell,also entails higher hazard of leaving the pool. Results indicate heterogeneity among job seekers andmismatch bet

Suggested Citation

  • Ewa Gałecka-Burdziak, 2016. "Multiple unemployment spells duration in Poland," KAE Working Papers 2016-019, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
  • Handle: RePEc:sgh:kaewps:2016019
    DOI: 10.33119/kaewps2016019
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    File URL: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12182/1157
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Van den Berg, Gerard J., 2001. "Duration models: specification, identification and multiple durations," Handbook of Econometrics, in: J.J. Heckman & E.E. Leamer (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 55, pages 3381-3460, Elsevier.
    2. Trivedi, P K & Alexander, J N, 1989. "Reemployment Probability and Multiple Unemployment Spells: A Partial-Likelihood Approach," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 7(3), pages 395-401, July.
    3. Lancaster, Tony, 1979. "Econometric Methods for the Duration of Unemployment," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(4), pages 939-956, July.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies

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