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Climate Change and Land Use Pattern in Brazil

Author

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  • Barbosa, Eduardo
  • Feres, José
  • Haddad, Eduardo

    (Departamento de Economia, Universidade de São Paulo)

  • Paez, Antonio

Abstract

The objective of this dissertation is to assess the impacts of climate change on the land use pattern in Brazil. To do so an economic model for optimal land use allocation was used. This model was derived from the profit maximization problem of a representative agent that has six options of land use: soybean, corn, sugar cane, other crops, pasture land and forests. From the estimated coefficients of the model simulations were carried using forecast data for temperature and precipitation in three periods of times 2010-39, 2040-69 and 2070-99. The results varied greatly in different regions but in general the area for pasture land increased while the areas for forests declined.

Suggested Citation

  • Barbosa, Eduardo & Feres, José & Haddad, Eduardo & Paez, Antonio, 2012. "Climate Change and Land Use Pattern in Brazil," TD NEREUS 12-2012, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:nereus:2012_012
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    impact assessment; climate change; land use pattern; Brazil;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General

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