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Do Local Currency Bond Markets Enhance Financial Stability?

Author

Listed:
  • Donghyun Park

    (Asian Development Bank)

  • Kwanho Shin

    (Korea University)

  • Shu Tian

    (Asian Development Bank)

Abstract

It is widely believed that local currency bond markets (LCBMs) can promote financial stability in developing countries. For instance, they can help mitigate the currency and maturity mismatch that contributed to the outbreak of the Asian financial crisis of 1997–1998. In this paper, we empirically test such conventional wisdom on the stabilizing effect of LCBMs. To do so, we analyze and compare the financial vulnerability of developing countries during two episodes of financial stress—global financial crisis and taper tantrum. During the two episodes, we find a negative association between the growth of LCBMs and the degree of currency depreciation in emerging economies. Similar association is found of bank loans but not for the stock market.

Suggested Citation

  • Donghyun Park & Kwanho Shin & Shu Tian, 2018. "Do Local Currency Bond Markets Enhance Financial Stability?," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 563, Asian Development Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbewp:0563
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Donghyun Park & Arief Ramayand & Kwanho Shin, 2016. "Capital Flows During Quantitative Easing: Experiences of Developing Countries," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(4), pages 886-903, April.
    2. Ethan Ilzetzki & Carmen M Reinhart & Kenneth S Rogoff, 2019. "Exchange Arrangements Entering the Twenty-First Century: Which Anchor will Hold?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 134(2), pages 599-646.
    3. Cyn-Young Park, 2017. "Developing Local Currency Bond Markets in Asia," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(12), pages 2826-2844, December.
    4. Eswar S. Prasad, 2011. "Rebalancing Growth in Asia," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(1), pages 27-66, April.
    5. Donghyun Park & Arief Ramayandi & Kwanho Shin, 2014. "Capital Flows During Quantitative Easing and Aftermath: Experiences of Asian Countries," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 409, Asian Development Bank.
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    Cited by:

    1. John Beirne & Nuobu Renzhi & Ulrich Volz, 2024. "Local Currency Bond Markets, Foreign Investor Participation And Capital Flow Volatility In Emerging Asia," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 69(02), pages 517-541, March.
    2. Dudzich Viktar, 2020. "Relationships between exchange rate regime, real exchange rate volatility and currency structure of government bonds in emerging markets," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 20(1), pages 3-22, March.
    3. Tian, Shu & Park, Donghyun & Cagas, Marie Anne, 2021. "Bond market development and bank stability: Evidence from emerging markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    4. Ho, Edmund Ho Cheung, 2022. "Foreign participation in local currency government bond markets in emerging Asia: Benefits and pitfalls to market stability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    5. Hong Kong Monetary Authority, 2020. "Foreign participation in the local currency bond markets of emerging market economies: good or bad for market resilience and financial stability?," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Financial market development, monetary policy and financial stability in emerging market economies, volume 113, pages 133-140, Bank for International Settlements.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F38 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Financial Policy: Financial Transactions Tax; Capital Controls
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts

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