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Hechos estilizados de la relación entre El Niño, La Niña y la inflación en Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Bejarano-Salcedo, Valeria
  • Caicedo-García, Edgar
  • Lizarazo-Bonilla, Nilson Felipe
  • Julio-Román, Juan Manuel
  • Cárdenas-Cárdenas, Julián Alonso

Abstract

En este documento se presenta una caracterización de los fenómenos meteorológicos de El Niño y La Niña, y una descripción de sus principales efectos sobre la inflación en Colombia. Estos episodios climáticos se vienen presentando desde hace siglos en el territorio nacional, generando cambios en el nivel de temperaturas y precipitaciones en la mayor parte del territorio colombiano, sin que hayan tenido históricamente un patrón regular de ocurrencia y de intensidad. Durante la ocurrencia de El Niño se destaca el efecto negativo sobre el sector agropecuario, que impacta fuertemente los precios de la canasta de alimentos y en menor medida la inflación anual al consumidor. A pesar de la no sistematicidad en la ocurrencia de estos eventos climáticos, la inflación de alimentos, la inflación al consumidor y el precio relativo de los alimentos muestran comportamientos alcistas durante la ocurrencia de El Niño. Durante La Niña se presenta una disminución de los precios al consumidor. El precio relativo de los alimentos muestra disminuciones al concluir cualquiera de los dos fenómenos.

Suggested Citation

  • Bejarano-Salcedo, Valeria & Caicedo-García, Edgar & Lizarazo-Bonilla, Nilson Felipe & Julio-Román, Juan Manuel & Cárdenas-Cárdenas, Julián Alonso, 2020. "Hechos estilizados de la relación entre El Niño, La Niña y la inflación en Colombia," Working papers 49, Red Investigadores de Economía.
    • Handle: RePEc:rie:riecdt:49
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    Cited by:

    1. María Lucía Martínez Martínez, 2021. "Efectos de precipitaciones en precios de la leche usando modelos con umbrales según la estructura del mercado," Documentos Departamento de Economía 20752, Universidad del Norte.
    2. Alex Perez & Jaime Carabali & Luis Meneses, 2022. "Pass-through in Colombia s Unregulated Retail Electricity Market," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(4), pages 575-583, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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