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A Comparison of Timber Models for Use in Public Policy Analysis

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  • Sedjo, Roger

    (Resources for the Future)

  • Sohngen, Brent

Abstract

In this paper, we compare and contrast two types of timber models that have been used for public policy analysis. These models have been variously used to predict price, inventory and market welfare impacts under different exogenous forces that impact timber markets. The framework and theory for each model type is presented and discussed. We then thoroughly test the two model types across six potential exogenous shocks to timber markets, ranging from instantaneous demand shocks to gradual supply adjustments. Our comparison indicates that these models predict potentially important differences in timber market behavior. These differences are important to consider for those who do public policy analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Sedjo, Roger & Sohngen, Brent, 1996. "A Comparison of Timber Models for Use in Public Policy Analysis," RFF Working Paper Series dp-96-12, Resources for the Future.
    • Handle: RePEc:rff:dpaper:dp-96-12
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Peter Berck, 1979. "The Economics of Timber: A Renewable Resource in the Long Run," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 10(2), pages 447-462, Autumn.
    2. Harold Hotelling, 1931. "The Economics of Exhaustible Resources," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 39(2), pages 137-137.
    3. David H. Newman & Charles B. Gilbert & William F. Hyde, 1985. "The Optimal Forest Rotation with Evolving Prices," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 64(4), pages 347-353.
    4. Robert M. Solow, 1974. "The Economics of Resources or the Resources of Economics," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Chennat Gopalakrishnan (ed.), Classic Papers in Natural Resource Economics, chapter 12, pages 257-276, Palgrave Macmillan.
    5. Lyon, Kenneth S., 1981. "Mining of the forest and the time path of the price of timber," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 330-344, December.
    6. Berck, Peter, 1981. "Optimal management of renewable resources with growing demand and stock externalities," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 105-117, June.
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    1. Sjølie, Hanne K. & Latta, Gregory S. & Adams, Darius M. & Solberg, Birger, 2011. "Impacts of agent information assumptions in forest sector modeling," Journal of Forest Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 169-184, April.
    2. Sedjo, Roger A. & Lyon, Kenneth S., 1996. "Timber Supply Model 96: A Global Timber Supply Model with a Pulpwood Component," Discussion Papers 10696, Resources for the Future.

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