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Rebound Effects Analysis of Electricity Efficiency Improvements in Iran: A Computable General Equilibrium Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Davood, Manzoor
  • Mohammad, Aghababaei
  • Haqiqi, Iman

Abstract

Efficiency improvement in electricity uses leads to a decrease in its demand and consequently a decline in the market price of electricity. It is expected that the induced increase in electricity demand due to this price effect offsets part of the primary reduction in consumption, a phenomenon known as "Rebound Effects". Hence, ignorance of these effects in policymaking causes overestimation of the benefits of efficiency improvement policies. This paper aims to determine the parameters that influence the magnitude of the rebound effect theoretically and to evaluate the consequences of exogenous and costless efficiency improvement in electricity use in the context of a computable general equilibrium model. This model is calibrated using Micro Consistent Matrix (MCM) constructed based on 2001 Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) of Iran assuming a small open economy. We found that electricity efficiency improvement will result in rebound effects of 14.2%. This means that 14.2% of the primary decrease in demand is offset by rebound effects. According to our results, there are significant differences between rebound effects across electricity consuming sectors. Oil and Gas sector demonstrates the highest rebound effects. Sensitivity analysis to test the response of rebounds to the specification of elasticity of substitution between electricity and fossil fuels shows that economy-wide rebound effects changes from 11.6% to 14.2% due to changes in elasticity of substitution from 0.1 to 0.9.

Suggested Citation

  • Davood, Manzoor & Mohammad, Aghababaei & Haqiqi, Iman, 2011. "Rebound Effects Analysis of Electricity Efficiency Improvements in Iran: A Computable General Equilibrium Approach," MPRA Paper 95810, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:95810
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    Cited by:

    1. Haqiqi, Iman & Bahalou, Marziyeh & Shamsaee, Arezoo, 2017. "An Economic General Equilibrium Model for Evaluation of Production Support Policies in Developing Countries," MPRA Paper 95865, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Haqiqi, Iman & Yasharel, Sepideh, 2018. "Removing Fossil Fuel Subsidies to Help the Poor," MPRA Paper 95907, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Aghababaei, Mohammad Ebrahim, 2019. "General Equilibrium Resource Elasticity in an Open Resource-Abundant Economy," MPRA Paper 97851, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Bahalou, Marziyeh & Haqiqi, Iman, 2016. "A General Equilibrium Model with Labor-Leisure and Domestic-Abroad Choice for Assessment of Labor Migration in a Small Open Economy," MPRA Paper 95863, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Haqiqi, Iman & Bahalou, Marziyeh & Hamidi, Razieh, 2014. "Measurement and Evaluation of Equality of Opportunity: A Numerical Look at Education, Health, and Income Inequality," MPRA Paper 95866, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Haqiqi, Iman & Mirian, Narges, 2015. "A Financial General Equilibrium Model for Assessment of Financial Sector Policies in Developing Countries," MPRA Paper 95841, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • Q55 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Technological Innovation

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