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The Inflation Dynamics of the Turkish Economy in 1990-2011 Period

Author

Listed:
  • Ari, Ali
  • Yılmaz, Ahmet
  • Cergibozan, Raif
  • Ozcan, Yunus

Abstract

In 2004, Turkey managed to reduce the chronic high inflation rates that characterized its economy over the period 1975-2001 to single digits, thanks to economic policies implemented in the aftermath of the 2001 financial crisis. This paper analyzes inflation dynamics in the Turkish economy both in the short- and the long-run, over the period from January 1990 to December 2011 by using the Johansen Cointegration Test and the Vector Error Correction model (VEC). Empirical results show that the inflation rates in Turkey are mainly related to changes in money supply, economic growth, nominal exchange rates, dollarization and real wages.

Suggested Citation

  • Ari, Ali & Yılmaz, Ahmet & Cergibozan, Raif & Ozcan, Yunus, 2013. "The Inflation Dynamics of the Turkish Economy in 1990-2011 Period," MPRA Paper 95675, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:95675
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; Turkish Economy; Johansen Cointegration; Vector Error Correction; Impulse-Response Functions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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