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The Alleged Countercyclical Nature of Argentina's Export of Manufactures

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  • Londero, Elio

Abstract

It has been suggested that during the 1970s and 1980s, excess capacity played an important role in the performance of Latin American exports of manufactures. This paper shows that countercyclical factors should be expected for most exports, and submits the hypothesis that these effects are more important for a limited subset of products with special characteristics. Econometric testing of Argentine export functions could not reject this hypothesis. The paper ends by discussing the implications for export modeling and policy analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Londero, Elio, 2000. "The Alleged Countercyclical Nature of Argentina's Export of Manufactures," MPRA Paper 85341, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:85341
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Elio Londero & Simón Teitel, 1996. "Industrialisation and the factor content of Latin American exports of manufactures," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 581-601.
    2. Sofronis K. Clerides & Saul Lach & James R. Tybout, 1998. "Is Learning by Exporting Important? Micro-Dynamic Evidence from Colombia, Mexico, and Morocco," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 113(3), pages 903-947.
    3. Barros, Alexandre Rands & Amazonas, Analice, 1996. "Manufactured exports from Brazil: determinants and consequences," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 50(1), January.
    4. Londero, Elio, 1997. "Trade Liberalization with a Fixed Exchange Rate," MPRA Paper 85340, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Andrew B. Bernard & J. Bradford Jensen, 1999. "Exporting and Productivity," NBER Working Papers 7135, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Eliana A. Cardoso & Rudiger Dornbusch, 1980. "Three Papers on Brazilian Trade and Payments," NBER Working Papers 0541, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Alexandre Rands & Analice Amazonas, 1993. "Manufacturing Exports from Brazil: Determinants and Consequences," Working Papers 11, Datamétrica Consultoria Econômica, revised 1993.
    8. André A. Hofman, 1992. "Capital Accumulation In Latin America: A Six Country Comparison For 1950–89," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 38(4), pages 365-401, December.
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    10. Teitel, Simon & Thoumi, Francisco E, 1986. "From Import Substitution to Exports: The Manufacturing Exports Experience of Argentina and Brazil," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 34(3), pages 455-490, April.
    11. Teitel, Simon & Colman Sercovich, Francisco, 1984. "Latin America," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 12(5-6), pages 645-660.
    12. Montague J. Lord (ed.), 1998. "The Handbook of Latin American Trade in Manufactures," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 1392.
    13. Londero, Elio, 1996. "Shadow Pricing Rules for Partially Traded Goods," MPRA Paper 111765, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Kosacoff, Bernardo & Azpiazu, Daniel, 1989. "La industria argentina: desarrollo y cambios estructurales," Oficina de la CEPAL en Buenos Aires (Estudios e Investigaciones) 28585, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    15. Peter Kennedy, 2003. "A Guide to Econometrics, 5th Edition," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 5, volume 1, number 026261183x, December.
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    2. Elio Londero, 2003. "Trade liberalization and adjustment in Argentina," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 225-246.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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