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Foreign currency lending in Albania

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  • Shijaku, Gerti

Abstract

The growth of lending in foreign currency in many Central, Eastern and South Eastern European (CESEE) countries has driven to the expansion of analyses and researches in this regard. In Albania, similar to the other regional countries, the study of main determinants of foreign currency-lending is rather important. FCL accounts for 65% of lending to private sector. This paper examines the determinants of FCL to the private sector by means of the bound test approach to Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach, based on demand and supply indicators. The results provide evidence that foreign currency lending is mainly driven by the availability of bank foreign funding deposits and minimum variance portfolio share. Foreign currency lending is more preferred under higher interest rate differentials, inflation volatility and lower exchange rate volatility. The study identifies a long-run cointegrated and stable relationship.

Suggested Citation

  • Shijaku, Gerti, 2016. "Foreign currency lending in Albania," MPRA Paper 79087, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:79087
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Olta Manjani, 2015. "Estimating the Determinants of Financial Euroization in Albania," IHEID Working Papers 07-2015, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    2. Gerti Shijaku, 2015. "The Macroeconomic Pass-through Effects of Monetary Policy through Sign Restrictions Approach: In the Case of Albania," IHEID Working Papers 11-2015, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign currency lending; dollarization; minimum variance portfolio; ARDL approach;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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