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Long memory in the ukrainian stock market and financial crises

Author

Listed:
  • Maria Caporale, Guglielmo
  • Gil-Alana, Luis
  • Plastun, Alex
  • Makarenko, Inna

Abstract

This paper examines persistence in the Ukrainian stock market during the recent financial crisis. Using two different long memory approaches (R/S analysis and fractional integration) we show that this market is inefficient and the degree of persistence is not the same in different stages of the financial crisis. Therefore trading strategies might have to be modified. We also show that data smoothing is not advisable in the context of R/S analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Maria Caporale, Guglielmo & Gil-Alana, Luis & Plastun, Alex & Makarenko, Inna, 2013. "Long memory in the ukrainian stock market and financial crises," MPRA Paper 59061, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:59061
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/59061/1/MPRA_paper_59061.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Velasco, Carlos, 2000. "Non-Gaussian Log-Periodogram Regression," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(1), pages 44-79, February.
    2. Clifford M. Hurvich & Bonnie K. Ray, 1995. "Estimation Of The Memory Parameter For Nonstationary Or Noninvertible Fractionally Integrated Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(1), pages 17-41, January.
    3. Velasco, Carlos, 1999. "Non-stationary log-periodogram regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 325-371, August.
    4. Katsumi Shimotsu & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2002. "Pooled Log Periodogram Regression," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(1), pages 57-93, January.
    5. Peter M Robinson & Carlos Velasco, 2000. "Whittle Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Nonstationary Time Series - (Now published in Journal of the American Statistical Association, 95, (2000), pp.1229-1243.)," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 391, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    6. Sowell, Fallaw, 1992. "Maximum likelihood estimation of stationary univariate fractionally integrated time series models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1-3), pages 165-188.
    7. Ignacio N Lobato & Carlos Velasco, 2007. "Efficient Wald Tests for Fractional Unit Roots," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(2), pages 575-589, March.
    8. Abadir, Karim M. & Distaso, Walter & Giraitis, Liudas, 2007. "Nonstationarity-extended local Whittle estimation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 1353-1384, December.
    9. Benoit B. Mandelbrot, 1972. "Statistical Methodology for Nonperiodic Cycles: From the Covariance To R/S Analysis," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 1, number 3, pages 259-290, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Robinson, Peter M. & Velasco, Carlos, 2000. "Whittle pseudo-maximum likelihood estimation for nonstationary time series," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 2273, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Gil-Alana, Luis & Plastun, Alex, 2018. "Is market fear persistent? A long-memory analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 140-147.
    2. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2017. "Long Memory and Data Frequency in Financial Markets," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1647, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    3. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Gil-Alana, Luis & Plastun, Alex, 2018. "Persistence in the cryptocurrency market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 141-148.
    4. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun & Inna Makarenko, 2022. "Persistence in ESG and conventional stock market indices," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(4), pages 678-703, October.
    5. Daniel Agyapong & Theophilus Sakyiamah Atuah & Anthony Asare- Adu Idun, 2020. "Calendar Effect and Returns of Listed Companies on the Ghana Stock Exchange: A DOLS and GARCH Modelling," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(8), pages 920-935, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    persistence; long memory; R/S analysis; fractional integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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