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Modeling the stability dynamics of Ukrainian banking system

  • Kozmenko, Olha
  • Kuzmenko, Olha

The article is stressed on the stability indicator of the banking system as binary variable, which takes a single value in unstable condition and non-zero value otherwise. It is offered to explore stability dynamics of Ukrainian banking system as time series, suggested to perform stability indicator on the basis of stationary time series verification by adaptation of the Forster-Stewart method to the peculiarities of the research subject. In the article it is relevant to identify the main factors of stability indicator formation, realize decomposition of a system - forming components of the variable to be explained on the base of autoregression trend-seasonal additive or multiplicative models.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/50841/1/MPRA_paper_50841.pdf
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 50841.

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Date of creation: 01 Aug 2013
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Publication status: Published in Banks and Bank Systems 2.8(2013): pp. 55-62
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:50841
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  1. Tim Bollerslev, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 1986/01, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
  2. Keuzenkamp, H.A. & Magnus, J.R., 1994. "On tests and significance in econometrics," Discussion Paper 1994-31, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  3. Fumio Hayashi & Joseph Altonji & Laurence Kotlikoff, 1991. "Risk-sharing, altruism, and the factor structure of consumption," Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics 48, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  4. Donald W.K. Andrews, 1990. "Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change with Unknown Change Point," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 943, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  5. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
  6. Yehning Chen, 1999. "Banking Panics: The Role of the First-Come, First-Served Rule and Information Externalities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 107(5), pages 946-968, October.
  7. repec:ner:tilbur:urn:nbn:nl:ui:12-153236 is not listed on IDEAS
  8. Jeffrey K. MacKie-Mason, 1992. "Econometric Software: A User's View," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 6(4), pages 165-187, Fall.
  9. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974. "Spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July.
  10. Keuzenkamp, H.A. & Magnus, J.R., 1995. "On tests and significance in econometrics," Other publications TiSEM 1808e2e0-3805-4999-b9a1-5, School of Economics and Management.
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