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Modeling Voting Behavior in the Eurovision Song Contest


  • Dogru, Bülent


We examine the determinants of voting behavior of the Eurovision Song Contest (ESC) held every year in Europe since 1956. After the televoting system was first introduced in 1998, logrolling of cultural and geographic between countries has been increased. We modeled voting behavior taking into consideration the individual characteristic of performer and voter, as well as quality of song. Estimation result of the linear voting equation shows that not only quality of the song is an important part of voting but also affinity variables are very crucial determinants of voting equation. Estimation result also indicates that order of appearance in the contest, the language of the song and the gender of the performing artist turn out to be quite important parameters in explaining voting behavior.

Suggested Citation

  • Dogru, Bülent, 2013. "Modeling Voting Behavior in the Eurovision Song Contest," MPRA Paper 42801, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:42801

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Marco Haan & S. Dijkstra & Peter Dijkstra, 2005. "Expert Judgment Versus Public Opinion – Evidence from the Eurovision Song Contest," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 29(1), pages 59-78, February.
    2. Victor Ginsburgh, 2003. "Awards, Success and Aesthetic Quality in the Arts," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 17(2), pages 99-111, Spring.
    3. Victor Ginsburgh & Renato Flores Galvao, 1996. "The Queen Elisabeth Musical Competition: how fair is the final ranking," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/1713, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    4. GINSBURGH, Victor & NOURY, Abdul, 2005. "Cultural voting : The Eurovision Song Contest," CORE Discussion Papers 2005006, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
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    More about this item


    Eurovision Song Contest; Voting Behavior; Cultural neighborhood; cultural neighborhood;

    JEL classification:

    • D71 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Social Choice; Clubs; Committees; Associations
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics


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