IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/cejnor/v33y2025i3d10.1007_s10100-025-00971-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Eurovision Song Contest: Can juries assess the quality of songs objectively?

Author

Listed:
  • Nikola Kadoić

    (University of Zagreb)

  • Nikolina Žajdela Hrustek

    (University of Zagreb)

  • Maja Gligora Marković

    (University of Rijeka)

Abstract

This paper analyses the role of jury votes in the Eurovision Song Contest (ESC). We analysed the results of the six ESCs (from 2017 to 2023) in terms of the differences (1) between public and jury votes, (2) among jury votes, and (3) among public votes at the national and ESC levels. We applied 15,251 Spearman rank correlations. The role (mission) of the jury return in the competition, as explained by the organiser, is to ensure objectivity since it was concluded that the public is not entirely capable of objectively evaluating songs. Considering the mission of the jury return and the assumption that juries can fulfil it, we expected that the correlations between each national jury and ESC jury and among national juries would be high. Furthermore, it was expected that the correlations between each national public and ESC public and among the national public would be low or at least lower than those in the jury cases. However, the results are different and are the opposite of expectations. Additionally, the influence of juries on the results is equal to that of the public (without the rest of the world). Consequently, with the current voting system, the jury mission is only partly achieved, and the inclusion of juries highly influences the winner such that the winner is different from what the public thinks it should be. The situation becomes even more severe when the public has to accept a winner that was their only fifth choice (as in ESC 2024). The final conclusion is that the (jury) voting system still needs to be upgraded in the future, and our research proposals include establishing two awards, a jury award and a public award, among others.

Suggested Citation

  • Nikola Kadoić & Nikolina Žajdela Hrustek & Maja Gligora Marković, 2025. "Eurovision Song Contest: Can juries assess the quality of songs objectively?," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 33(3), pages 859-890, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:cejnor:v:33:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s10100-025-00971-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10100-025-00971-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10100-025-00971-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10100-025-00971-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ginsburgh, Victor & Noury, Abdul G., 2008. "The Eurovision Song Contest. Is voting political or cultural?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 41-52, March.
    2. Ana Vukicevic & Milan Vukicevic & Sandro Radovanovic & Boris Delibasic, 2022. "BargCrEx: A System for Bargaining Based Aggregation of Crowd and Expert Opinions in Crowdsourcing," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 789-818, August.
    3. Sofronis Clerides & Thanasis Stengos, 2012. "Love thy Neighbour, Love Thy Kin: Strategy and Bias in the Eurovision Song Contest," Ekonomia, Cyprus Economic Society and University of Cyprus, vol. 15(1), pages 22-44, Summer.
    4. Marco Haan & S. Dijkstra & Peter Dijkstra, 2005. "Expert Judgment Versus Public Opinion – Evidence from the Eurovision Song Contest," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 29(1), pages 59-78, February.
    5. Antonios Siganos & Isaac T. Tabner, 2020. "Capturing the role of societal affinity in cross-border mergers with the Eurovision Song Contest," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 51(2), pages 263-273, March.
    6. Verrier, Diarmuid B., 2012. "Evidence for the influence of the mere-exposure effect on voting in the Eurovision Song Contest," Judgment and Decision Making, Cambridge University Press, vol. 7(5), pages 639-643, September.
    7. Victor Ginsburgh & Juan D. Moreno-Ternero, 2023. "The Eurovision Song Contest: voting rules, biases and rationality," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 47(2), pages 247-277, June.
    8. Dogru, Bülent, 2013. "Modeling Voting Behavior in the Eurovision Song Contest," MPRA Paper 42801, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Alexander V. Mantzaris & Samuel R. Rein & Alexander D. Hopkins, 2018. "Examining Collusion and Voting Biases Between Countries During the Eurovision Song Contest Since 1957," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 21(1), pages 1-1.
    10. repec:cup:judgdm:v:7:y:2012:i:5:p:639-643 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Oliver Budzinski & Julia Pannicke, 2017. "Culturally biased voting in the Eurovision Song Contest: Do national contests differ?," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 41(4), pages 343-378, November.
    12. Diarmuid B. Verrier, 2012. "Evidence for the influence of the mere-exposure effect on voting in the Eurovision Song Contest," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 7(5), pages 639-643, September.
    13. Tom Coupe & Natalia Chaban, 2020. "Creating Europe through culture? The impact of the European Song Contest on European identity," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(4), pages 885-908, November.
    14. Sofronis Clerides & Thanasis Stengos, 2006. "Love thy Neighbor, Love thy Kin: Voting Biases in the Eurovision Song Contest," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 1-2006, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
    15. Budzinski, Oliver & Gänßle, Sophia & Weimar, Daniel, 2023. "Disentangling individual biases in jury voting: An empirical analysis of voting behavior in the Eurovision Song Contest," Ilmenau Economics Discussion Papers 171, Ilmenau University of Technology, Institute of Economics.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Janez Povh & Lidija Zadnik Stirn & Janez Žerovnik, 2025. "Recent theoretical and practical contributions to the OR environment and CEJOR from the perspective of SSI-SOR," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 33(3), pages 631-640, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alexander V. Mantzaris & Samuel R. Rein & Alexander D. Hopkins, 2018. "Preference and neglect amongst countries in the Eurovision Song Contest," Journal of Computational Social Science, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 377-390, September.
    2. Budzinski, Oliver & Gänßle, Sophia & Weimar, Daniel, 2023. "Disentangling individual biases in jury voting: An empirical analysis of voting behavior in the Eurovision Song Contest," Ilmenau Economics Discussion Papers 171, Ilmenau University of Technology, Institute of Economics.
    3. Pannicke, Julia, 2015. "Abstimmungsverhalten im Bundesvision Song Contest: Regionale Nähe versus Qualität der Musik," Ilmenau Economics Discussion Papers 95, Ilmenau University of Technology, Institute of Economics.
    4. Budzinski, Oliver & Kohlschreiber, Marie & Kuchinke, Björn & Pannicke, Julia, 2019. "Does music quality matter for audience voters in a music contest?," Ilmenau Economics Discussion Papers 122, Ilmenau University of Technology, Institute of Economics.
    5. Krzysztof Kontek & Kevin Kenner, 2025. "Identifying outlier scores and outlier jurors to reduce manipulation in classical music competitions," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 49(1), pages 49-98, March.
    6. Felbermayr, Gabriel J. & Toubal, Farid, 2010. "Cultural proximity and trade," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 279-293, February.
    7. P. Battiston & M. Magnani & D. Paolini & L. Rossi, 2024. "Country vs. Music: Strategic Incentives for Competing Voters," Economics Department Working Papers 2024-EP02, Department of Economics, Parma University (Italy).
    8. Oliver Budzinski & Julia Pannicke, 2017. "Culturally biased voting in the Eurovision Song Contest: Do national contests differ?," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 41(4), pages 343-378, November.
    9. Pietro Battiston & Marco Magnani & Dimitri Paolini & Luca Rossi, 2025. "Country Music: Positional Voting and Strategic Behavior," Discussion Papers 2025/322, Dipartimento di Economia e Management (DEM), University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
    10. Budzinski, Oliver & Pannicke, Julia, 2016. "Do preferences for pop music converge across countries? Empirical evidence from the Eurovision Song Contest," Ilmenau Economics Discussion Papers 101, Ilmenau University of Technology, Institute of Economics.
    11. Budzinski, Oliver & Pannicke, Julia, 2017. "Does popularity matter in a TV song competition? Evidence from a national music contest," Ilmenau Economics Discussion Papers 106, Ilmenau University of Technology, Institute of Economics.
    12. Asmat, Roberto & Borowiecki, Karol J. & Law, Marc T., 2023. "Do experts and laypersons differ? Some evidence from international classical music competitions," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 270-290.
    13. Victor Ginsburgh & Juan D. Moreno-Ternero, 2023. "The Eurovision Song Contest: voting rules, biases and rationality," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 47(2), pages 247-277, June.
    14. Ari Kokko & Patrik Gustavsson Tingvall, 2014. "Distance, Transaction Costs, and Preferences in European Trade," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(2), pages 87-120, June.
    15. Krzysztof Kontek & Honorata Sosnowska, 2020. "Specific Tastes or Cliques of Jurors? How to Reduce the Level of Manipulation in Group Decisions?," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 29(6), pages 1057-1084, December.
    16. Jürgen Rösch & Maxi-Josephine Rauch, 2025. "‘Do songs tell stories?’ An empirical analysis of the effect of emotional arcs on success in a national song contest," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 49(3), pages 603-637, September.
    17. Aloys Prinz, 2017. "Rankings as coordination games: the Dutch Top 2000 pop song ranking," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 41(4), pages 379-401, November.
    18. Bottazzi, L. & Da Rin, M. & Hellmann, T., 2010. "The Importance of Trust for Investment : Evidence From Venture Capital (Revision of DP 2009-43)," Other publications TiSEM 27f82ebe-4bae-4bfa-a3a0-8, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    19. Diarmuid B. Verrier, 2012. "Evidence for the influence of the mere-exposure effect on voting in the Eurovision Song Contest," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 7(5), pages 639-643, September.
    20. Dinithi N. Jayasekara & Jonathan H. W. Tan, 2024. "How do intercultural proximity and social fragmentation promote international patent cooperation?," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 421-445, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:cejnor:v:33:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s10100-025-00971-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.