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Is Rotten Tomatoes killing the movie industry? A regression discontinuity approach

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  • Marislei Nishijima
  • Mauro Rodrigues
  • Thaís Luiza Donega Souza

Abstract

We study the effect of expert reviews on consumer choice, focusing on the movie industry. Specifically, we estimate the impact of a popular movie review aggregator – Rotten Tomatoes (RT) – on box office revenue, using a sample of 1,239 movies widely-released in the U.S. between 1999 and 2019. RT’s rating system allows us to use regression discontinuity, thus avoiding problems associated with omitted unobservable characteristics of movies (such as quality and commercial appeal). We do not find evidence that RT ratings affect box office performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Marislei Nishijima & Mauro Rodrigues & Thaís Luiza Donega Souza, 2022. "Is Rotten Tomatoes killing the movie industry? A regression discontinuity approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(13), pages 1187-1192, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:29:y:2022:i:13:p:1187-1192
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.1918324
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    1. Suman Basuroy & S. Abraham Ravid & Richard T. Gretz & B. J. Allen, 2020. "Is everybody an expert? An investigation into the impact of professional versus user reviews on movie revenues," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 44(1), pages 57-96, March.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D8 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty
    • D9 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • C39 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Other

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