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Une approche prospective de la configuration des disparités économiques régionales au sein de l'Union européenne par la modélisation et la simulation
[A forward-looking approach of the configuration of the regional disparities within the European Union: modelling and simulation]

Author

Listed:
  • Bourdin, Sebastien
  • Elissalde, Bernard
  • Langlois, Patrice
  • Goya, Dominique

Abstract

The aim of this article is to replace the question of the last two enlargements in the debate on the future of the cohesion policy. The interest is to estimate the process of the spatial expression of the convergence and the regional growth in the EU. The spatial statistics and the platform of simulation Geocells will allow to analyze the evolution of the GDP/hab. in the EU 27, the spatial configurations of the regional growth and the impacts of the diverse helps granted in conformity to the criteria of the cohesion policy. In an European Union counting henceforth 27 members, a reflection will be led on the budgetary efforts of redistribution of the European regional policy. In this frame, a prospective approach will present three scenarios of spatial economic development of the European Union putting the dilemma between equity and competitiveness.

Suggested Citation

  • Bourdin, Sebastien & Elissalde, Bernard & Langlois, Patrice & Goya, Dominique, 2011. "Une approche prospective de la configuration des disparités économiques régionales au sein de l'Union européenne par la modélisation et la simulation
    [A forward-looking approach of the configuratio
    ," MPRA Paper 41307, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2011.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:41307
    as

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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/41307/2/MPRA_paper_41307.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    2. Cem Ertur & Julie Le Gallo, 2008. "Regional Growth and Convergence: Heterogenous reaction versus interaction in spatial econometric approaches," Working Papers hal-00463274, HAL.
    3. Bourdin, Sebastien, 2010. "Repenser le futur de la politique de cohésion européenne pour les pays d’europe centrale et orientale : la prise en compte de l’espace géographique comme piste de recherche
      [Rethinking the future o
      ," MPRA Paper 40888, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2010.
    4. Catherine Baumont & Cem Ertur & Julie Le Gallo, 2006. "Clubs de convergence et effets de débordements géographiques : une analyse spatiale sur données régionales européennes, 1980-1995," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(2), pages 111-134.
    5. Cem Ertur & Julie Le Gallo & Catherine Baumont, 2006. "The European Regional Convergence Process, 1980-1995: Do Spatial Regimes and Spatial Dependence Matter?," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 29(1), pages 3-34, January.
    6. BAUMONT, Catherine, 1998. "Economie géographique et intégration régionale : Quels enseignements pour les Pays d'Europe Centrale et Orientale ?," LATEC - Document de travail - Economie (1991-2003) 1998-11, LATEC, Laboratoire d'Analyse et des Techniques EConomiques, CNRS UMR 5118, Université de Bourgogne.
    7. Sandy DALL'ERBA & Julie LE GALLO, 2005. "Dynamique Du Processus De Convergence Régionale En Europe," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 21, pages 119-139.
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    9. Jan Fagerberg & Bart Verspagen, 1996. "Heading for Divergence? Regional Growth in Europe Reconsidered," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(3), pages 431-448, September.
    10. Cappelen, A. & Fagerberg, J. & Verspagen, B., 2001. "The Impact of Regional Support on Growth and Convergence in the European Union," Working Papers 01.14, Eindhoven Center for Innovation Studies.
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    14. Michel Beine & Frédéric Docquier, 2000. "Croissance et convergence économiques des régions: théorie, faits et déterminants," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/10469, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    15. Nazrul Islam, 2003. "What have We Learnt from the Convergence Debate?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(3), pages 309-362, July.
    16. repec:dau:papers:123456789/6803 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. A Getis, 1991. "Spatial Interaction and Spatial Autocorrelation: A Cross-Product Approach," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 23(9), pages 1269-1277, September.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    cohesion policy; convergence; spatial interactions; cellular automata; simulation; spatial autocorrelation;

    JEL classification:

    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy
    • R1 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics

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